In October 2025, Bitcoin reached its all-time high of $125,000, driven by capital inflows via spot ETFs, growing institutional interest, and a favorable macroeconomic environment. It was a milestone that marked the peak of the last bull run.
However, since November, the market has entered a correction phase. Within weeks, the price dropped to $90,000 and is currently holding around $92,000. While some viewed this as a warning sign, others see it as a healthy pause within a broader cycle.
So, are we facing a consolidation that will lead to new highs, or is the market preparing for a more sideways period?
What caused the drop after the record?
The pullback of
$BTC was the result of a combination of technical and macroeconomic factors:
Profit-taking by major investors, especially institutional funds that had been accumulating since mid-2024.
Overextended technical indicators, such as RSI and funding rates, which showed a clear signal of overbought conditions in October.
Forced liquidations of leveraged positions in derivatives, amplifying selling pressure.
A more uncertain global environment, with doubts about interest rates, geopolitical tensions, and regulatory concerns that cooled some of the excitement.
Despite this, long-term fundamentals remain strong. The supply of BTC continues to be limited, global adoption is not slowing down, and ETFs still show positive net flows.
What is supporting the market at this moment?
Although the enthusiasm from the last quarter of 2025 has moderated, several pillars remain active:
Spot ETFs: inflow has stabilized but remains positive, especially in markets like the United States, Germany, and Brazil.
Limited supply on exchanges: the volume of BTC available remains low, indicating that many holders continue to maintain their conviction.
Favorable macro narrative: central banks are already signaling potential rate cuts in 2026, which could reinvigorate appetite for scarce assets.
In Latin America, adoption continues to advance, with highlights in countries such as Argentina, Mexico, and Colombia, where inflation and the devaluation of local currencies are driving demand for alternative value reserves like Bitcoin.
Is BTC on its way to $100,000 again?
Bitcoin is currently in a technical transition zone. The support level between $85,000 and $88,000 has shown strength in recent weeks. If this level holds, it's possible the price could test the psychological threshold of $100,000 in the first half of 2026.
On the other hand, if selling pressure intensifies and that support level is lost, the next key levels would be $78,000 and $72,000—zones that were significant in previous cycles.
Most importantly, unlike past corrections, the current market appears more mature and structured, reducing the risk of an uncontrolled drop.
Investors: patience and risk management as strategy
For long-term investors, the best approach right now is to stay calm. The strategy of holding part of your positions while keeping liquidity reserved for specific opportunities is usually more effective than trying to pinpoint the exact bottom.
For more active traders, it is essential to monitor variables such as:
Funding rates and real-time volume
Liquidation levels in the derivatives market
Movements of large wallets and institutional funds
In both cases, good risk management is key. Transition phases can be traps for those operating based on emotions.
What to watch for in the coming months of 2026?
Bitcoin ends 2025 with strong appreciation compared to the previous year. It moved from trading near $40,000 to reaching a high of $125,000, and now stabilizes above $90,000. This shows that despite corrections, the asset remains in an upward trend.
Factors that could drive a new wave of growth in 2026:
Reactivation of flows into spot ETFs
More aggressive rate cuts in the United States and Europe
Greater institutional adoption
Progress in clear and favorable regulation
Expansion of Bitcoin's use as a hedging tool in emerging economies
BTC, between speculation and maturity
Bitcoin remains unpredictable, yes, but today it is stronger than ever. The ecosystem has grown, institutional players have become central actors, and the narrative of BTC as a digital reserve asset is no longer just theory—it is beginning to reflect in real portfolios.
The price may take time to return to $125,000, but all signs indicate the path is already being built.
And you? Are you ready for the next move?
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