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In a recent AMA livestream on Binance Square, Binance co-founder and former CEO Changpeng Zhao (CZ) shared wide-ranging views on Bitcoin’s long-term outlook, altcoin season, meme coins, trading risks, and the evolving role of social platforms in crypto.
Below is a full recap of the key takeaways.
1. CZ Warns Against Launching Meme Coins Based on His X or Binance Square Posts
CZ cautioned users against using social media posts from him or Yi He as justification to launch meme coins.
He said such projects have an extremely low success rate, with unclear origins and high failure risk, and advised users not to assume endorsement based on casual mentions or posts.
2. Beginners Should Start Small and Avoid Futures
CZ emphasized that crypto beginners should start with small capital, focusing on learning before scaling up.
He strongly advised newcomers not to begin with futures or options, recommending gradual exposure instead of leverage-driven trading.
3. Altcoin Season Is “Definitely Coming”
According to CZ, altcoin season will arrive eventually, though the exact timing, duration, and which tokens will benefit remain unpredictable.
He stressed that altcoin cycles are complex and cannot be precisely forecast.
4. BNB Ecosystem Is Stable and Has Long-Term Potential
CZ described the BNB ecosystem as large, stable, and supported by many active builders.
He expressed confidence in BNB’s long-term potential, highlighting continued development across the ecosystem.
5. Prediction Markets Are Still Early and Illiquid
On prediction markets, CZ noted that the sector remains very early-stage, with few market makers.
He said platforms like Polymarket reportedly rely on just one or two market makers, with most activity still centered on sports-related markets.
6. Bitcoin Will Reach $200,000 — Timing Is the Only Unknown
CZ reiterated a bold long-term view:
Bitcoin will “definitely” reach $200,000, with uncertainty only around when, not if.
He framed this as a conviction rather than a short-term prediction.
7. Genuine Meme Coins Must Have Historical or Cultural Meaning
CZ said truly valuable meme coins should have historical significance or strong narrative relevance.
He estimated that over 90% of meme coins fail, warning early investors about high risk and stressing personal responsibility for investment decisions.
8. Binance Square vs. X: Different Foundations
CZ explained that Binance Square and X operate on fundamentally different models.
He expressed skepticism that X could easily enable crypto trading due to KYC challenges, noting that most Binance Square users have already completed identity verification.
9. CZ Hopes Meme Coins Continue Growing — From a Builder’s Perspective
While stating he no longer relies on meme coins to “get rich overnight,” CZ said he hopes meme coins continue gaining popularity.
From a builder’s standpoint, he said his focus is on creating better, smoother tools for users rather than speculation.#cz #Binance #Square $BTC
$BNB

Everyone thinks the relationship between Elon’s X and CZ’s Binance is a partnership of equals. It isn’t. If you look at the plumbing of the crypto financial system in 2026, the leverage is heavily tilted in one direction.

Here is the unpopular truth: Binance could leave X tomorrow and survive. X cannot build its "Everything App" vision without the infrastructure giants like Binance.

1. The "Walled Garden" vs. The "Town Square"
Binance doesn't need X for distribution anymore.For years, Crypto Twitter (CT) was the heartbeat of the market. But look at what Binance has built with Binance Square. They successfully internalized the social layer inside the trading app.

Sticky Utility: You don't scroll Binance for memes; you scroll it to make money. That utility is infinitely stickier than political arguments on X.

Direct Access: Binance has direct push-notification access to 200M+ verified users. They don't need an algorithm to reach their customers; they own the pipe.

Sovereignty: If X bans crypto ads or suppresses reach (again), Binance’s volume wouldn't collapse. Their volume is driven by market volatility, not social engagement.

2. X’s "Everything App" Problem
X is trying to become WeChat, but it lacks the plumbing. Elon wants payments, tipping, and peer-to-peer transfers.

Liquidity is King: You can build a shiny "Send Crypto" button on X, but who executes the trade? Who holds the custody? Who manages the depth so a $10M trade doesn't slip 5%? X cannot build a global order book overnight. They need deep liquidity providers.

The Regulatory Moat: Binance has spent the last 5 years fighting (and settling) with every regulator on earth. They have the licenses, the compliance stacks, and the scars. For X to build a compliant crypto exchange from scratch in 2026 would be a regulatory suicide mission. It is cheaper and faster to plug into Binance’s backend.

3. The Financial Reality: Who Paid Whom?
Let’s not forget the receipt: Binance invested $500 Million into X during the acquisition.

Binance is the capital allocator; X is the capital recipient.

Binance viewed X as a strategic layer to support free speech and Web3 adoption, but financially, Binance is the whale in this room. They treated X as a portfolio investment, not a lifeline.

4. The Integration Gap
X is currently flirting with "Smart Cashtags" and Solana integrations to drive engagement. But for mass adoption—the kind where your grandma sends USDC to a merchant—X needs stablecoin rails and fiat off-ramps in 100+ countries.

Binance P2P is the actual banking layer for the developing world.

X has users in the West; Binance has the financial rails in the Global South, Asia, and Africa.

If X wants to be a global bank, they need Binance’s P2P network more than Binance needs X’s US user base.

The Verdict
X is a loud megaphone. Binance is the bank vault. You can shout into a megaphone all day, but eventually, you need to go to the bank.

X needs Binance to legitimize its financial ambitions. Binance just uses X to say "GM."
$FHE
$BTR
$DUSK
#WriteToEarnUpgrade
#BTC100kNext?
#MarketRebound
#BTCVSGOLD
#Square

I. Overview of Tellor (TRB)
Tellor (TRB) is a decentralized oracle network built on Ethereum, launched on August 1, 2019. It enables secure, permissionless submission of off-chain data (e.g., price feeds, weather data) to on-chain smart contracts. TRB serves as the native utility token, incentivizing miners to provide accurate data and allowing token holders to govern the network.

Key Features
Decentralized Oracle: Acts as a bridge between real-world data and blockchain applications.Mining Mechanism: Miners compete to submit data, earning TRB rewards.Dispute Resolution: TRB holders vote to validate or reject disputed data, ensuring integrity.

Tellor’s design addresses the "oracle problem" in blockchain by decentralizing data inputs, critical for DeFi, insurance, and prediction markets. Its use of cryptoeconomic incentives (TRB) aligns stakeholders’ interests.

II. Functions of Tellor
Operational Workflow
Data Request: A smart contract requests off-chain data (e.g., ETH/USD price).Mining Competition: Miners submit data points, with the median value selected.Validation: Miners stake TRB to participate; malicious actors lose stakes if data is disputed.Rewards: Honest miners earn TRB; validators earn fees for resolving disputes.
Tokenomics (as of 2026-01-16)
Total Supply: 2,822,536 TRB (fixed, no inflation).Circulating Supply: 2,740,967 TRB (~97% circulating).Use Cases:Mining incentives.Governance voting.Staking for dispute participation.
Reasoning:
The fixed supply creates scarcity, while high circulation (97%) limits inflationary pressure. TRB’s utility in mining and governance drives demand, though adoption rates and competition (e.g., Chainlink) influence long-term value.

III. Price Analysis as of 2026-01-16
Current Metrics
Price: $22.26 (updated to reflect real-time data).Market Cap: $61.07M.24h Volume: $18.92M.Price Trends:24h: -0.19% (minor correction).7d: +3.87% (moderate bullish momentum).30d: +10.53% (sustained upward trend).
Historical Context
A prior prediction (2025) forecasted TRB at $41.33 for 2026, but actual price is $22.26 as of 2026-01-16.Discrepancy Explanation:Overly optimistic adoption assumptions.Market-wide volatility in Q4 2025 (e.g., regulatory shifts in DeFi).Competition from other oracles reducing TRB’s market share.
Technical Analysis
Support/Resistance:Immediate Support: $21.28 (from Tweet 2).Resistance: $21.74 (from Tweet 2), $20.34 (Tweet 3).Indicators:Bullish EMA crossover (20/50/100/200-day EMAs breached upward per Tweet 5).RSI: Neutral (54), suggesting consolidation.

The price is consolidating after a 30-day rally (+10.53%), indicating potential volatility. Resistance at $21.74 aligns with recent price action, while EMA breaks signal underlying bullish sentiment.

IV. Factors Influencing TRB’s Price
Fundamentals
Strengths:Critical role in DeFi data provisioning.Fixed token supply (deflationary).Risks:Competition (Chainlink, Band Protocol).Regulatory scrutiny on decentralized oracles.
Market Sentiment
Social Media (Tweets):Mixed signals: Bullish EMA breaks (Tweet 5) vs. resistance struggles (Tweets 1–3).TRON-related tweets (6–8) are unrelated to TRB, indicating potential confusion in retail markets.
Macro Trends
DeFi growth (projected +15% YoY) could boost oracle demand.Ethereum’s scalability upgrades (e.g., Ethereum 3.0) may reduce gas fees for TRB transactions.
TRB’s price hinges on adoption within Ethereum’s ecosystem and its ability to differentiate from competitors. Social sentiment reflects cautious optimism but no clear catalyst for breakout.

V. Conclusion and Outlook
Short-Term (Q1 2026):
Price likely to test $21.74 resistance; breakout could target $23.00.Failure to hold $21.28 support may trigger correction to $20.00.
Long-Term:
Success depends on Ethereum’s DeFi dominance and Tellor’s governance agility.Fair Value Estimate: $25–$30 (assuming 10–15% annual DeFi growth).
While TRB’s fundamentals are strong, its 2026 price reflects tempered expectations versus earlier predictions. Investors should monitor Ethereum’s ecosystem developments and TRB’s governance updates.

#Square #TRB/USDT(spot) $TRB #square