cryptopatience

最高裁はトランプ氏の関税について判断を下す予定であり、76％の確率で違法と判断される可能性があります。多くの人々がこれを利好的と呼んでいますが、実際の影響ははるかに混乱を引き起こす可能性があります。
その結果として生じる影響は非常に大きくなる可能性があります：返済額は数百億ドルに上り、投資を考慮に入れると兆ドル単位になり、米国財務省に大きな財政的ショックをもたらすでしょう。株式、債券、暗号資産の流動性は、市場が調整する際に一瞬で消え去る可能性があります。
💡 プロのインサイト：マクロ経済に20年以上携わっており、公開された形で3回の主要な市場の頂点と底値を予測してきました。

Most beginners want one thing:
To be right.
Right about direction.
Right about timing.
Right about the next big move.
That mindset quietly destroys accounts.
In crypto, you can be right and still lose money.
You can predict direction correctly — but size too big, exit too late, or hold through volatility — and the market humbles you fast.
Survival comes first. Always.
Good traders don’t obsess over being right.
They focus on:
Risk control
Position sizing
Accepting uncertainty
Protecting capital
They know losses are not mistakes — they’re costs of staying in the game.
The goal isn’t to win every trade.
The goal is to stay liquid long enough for probabilities to work in your favor.
Markets reward people who respect risk, not people who chase ego.
If you’re still here after months of ups and downs, you’re already ahead of most.
Because in crypto, survival is the edge.
Question:
Do you focus more on being right — or on staying in the game?
#CryptoPatience #CryptoLearningFun $

$DOT has recently been trading in a lower price range (~$2.1–$2.3) after a period of weakness and selling pressure.

Bullish Technical Setup

Multiple analysts highlight a potential recovery rally toward $2.75–$3.30 over the next few weeks if DOT breaks key resistance around $2.25–$2.31.

Short-term bounce targets include $2.30–$2.45 (+~9–16%) with medium-term upside toward ~$3.30 (possible +30–50%).

Immediate Support & Resistance

✔ Support: ~$1.95–$2.04 strong technical zone

📉 Resistance: ~$2.19–$2.31 (short term)

➤ Breaking above these resistances with volume could signal further momentum.

Indicator Signals

Bullish technical indicators (positive MACD histogram, momentum crossover, breakout above the Bollinger upper band) are noted but confidence is medium — meaning the move isn’t yet confirmed until key levels are cleared.

📈 Medium to Long-Term Scenarios

Bullish Forecasts (Historical & Framework)

Some forecasts from late-2025 projects potential higher range targets (e.g., $4.60–$6.50+), but these largely assumed higher price bases earlier in 2025 and a stronger overall crypto market.

Coinpedia projections (for 2026) indicate a much wider long-term upside range — though these are based on long-term models rather than current price action.

Bearish Risks

Broader crypto market weakness could keep DOT subdued or extend lower if key support breaks.

Some market sentiment on community forums describes extended underperformance compared to major altcoins and equity markets — reflecting caution and possible continued sideways movement until clear catalysts emerge.

📉 Summary — What Traders & Investors Should Watch

Short-Term (1–6 weeks)

🔑 Break above ~$2.25–$2.30 could unlock momentum toward $2.75 → $3.30.

🚨 Break below ~$1.95–$2.00 support increases risk of further downside.

Medium-Term (1–3 months)

Sustained bullish catalysts (altcoin market uplift, increased institutional flows) may revive higher targets previously mentioned by analysts (~$4+).

Long-Term (2026+)

DOT’s capped supply, staking environment, and ecosystem potential could support structural upward pressure — but depends heavily on broader crypto market cycles.
Risk Profile

DOT remains volatile and speculative. Technical setups show bounce potential, but broad macro and crypto sentiment remains critical.
#DOT_UPDATE #CryptoPatience #bitcoin