#CPIWatch As of January 2026, the CPIWatch analysis (primarily tracked via financial platforms like Binance Square) highlights a general cooling of global inflation, with a specific focus on the
U.S. and India
1. United States Analysis & Rates
As of January 5, 2026, the latest CPIWatch reports provide the following data for the U.S. economy:
Headline CPI (YoY): 2.7% (recorded for November 2025). This was lower than the forecast of 3.1%.
Core CPI (YoY): 2.6%, reflecting a decrease in shelter and energy price pressures.
Forecast for 2026: Analysts expect inflation to fluctuate between 2.4% and 3.0% throughout the year.
Market Impact: The "cooling" data has strengthened the case for Federal Reserve rate cuts, historically a bullish signal for risk assets like Bitcoin and stocks.
Upcoming Data: The December 2025 CPI report is scheduled for release on January 13, 2026.
2. India Analysis & Rates
Analysis for India indicates an exceptionally low inflation environment moving into early 2026:
Retail CPI Rate: Hovered around 0.7% to 2.3% in late 2025. Some projections for the full 2025-26 fiscal year suggest a rate as low as 2%.
Key Drivers: Major factors include negative food inflation (at -3.91% in November 2025) and government cuts to GST on approximately 400 items.
Structural Changes: India is launching a new CPI series (Base Year 2024 = 100) in February 2026 to improve data accuracy.
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