cpiwatch

The walls are closing in. The data is speaking. And the pressure is exploding.
📉 THE INFLATION STORY JUST CHANGED
The latest CPI print landed with a quiet but powerful message:
• Headline CPI: steady at 2.7%
• Core CPI: cooled further to 2.6%
This is not re-acceleration. This is disinflation in motion.
The Fed’s long-held fear — that inflation would roar back — simply isn’t showing up.
Even real-time indicators like Truflation are flashing cooler readings 🌬️
The fire the Fed warned about? It’s fading, not spreading.
👷‍♂️ THE LABOR MARKET IS CRACKING
While inflation cools, the other side of the mandate is weakening:
• Unemployment: up to 4.4%
• Hiring momentum is slowing
• Labor conditions are softening at the edges
This is the danger zone ⚠️
High rates + cooling inflation + weakening jobs = policy mistake risk

🏛️ PRESSURE ON THE FED IS BOILING OVER
President Trump is seizing the moment, pointing directly at this CPI print and demanding immediate rate cuts 📣
Political scrutiny around Jerome Powell is intensifying, and markets are watching every move.
The Fed kept rates high betting inflation would reheat.
Instead, inflation is drifting toward target… quietly, stubbornly, relentlessly.
⏳ THE CLOCK IS TICKING
If inflation is cooling ❄️
If the labor market is weakening 📉
If real-time data confirms the trend 📊
Then one conclusion becomes unavoidable:
💥 RATE CUTS IN 2026 ARE NO LONGER A QUESTION — THEY’RE A MATTER OF TIMING 💥
Jerome Powell’s room to maneuver is shrinking.
The data is tightening the vise.
And the next policy mistake could echo across stocks, bonds, and crypto 🌍🔥
Wall Street knows it.
Washington feels it.
The market is already positioning for it. 🚀
#MarketRebound #ppi #USNonFarmPayrollReport #USDemocraticPartyBlueVault #CPIWatch
$BERA
$RIVER
$DASH

Markets are entering a critical volatility window.
Over the next 24 hours, two major U.S. events are set to collide — and together they could rapidly reset expectations around economic growth, recession risk, interest rates, and risk assets, including crypto.
This is not a routine trading period.
This is a high-stakes macro inflection point.
⚖️ Event #1: U.S. Supreme Court Ruling on Trump-Era Tariffs
The U.S. Supreme Court is expected to rule on the legality of tariffs imposed during the Trump administration — a policy pillar that markets have quietly treated as supportive for years.
Current market pricing suggests roughly a 77% probability that the tariffs are struck down.
If that happens, the consequences could be significant:
The U.S. government may be forced to refund a large portion of the $600B+ already collected
Trade policy uncertainty would surge overnight
While the President retains alternative legal paths, those options are slower, weaker, and far less predictable
But the real risk is not policy mechanics — it’s sentiment.
Markets have priced tariffs as a known variable.
Removing them abruptly could trigger a sharp repricing of downside risk across equities, bonds, and crypto.
📊 Event #2: U.S. Jobless Data (8:30 AM ET)
Just hours earlier, the U.S. will release its latest unemployment figures.
Expected: 4.5%
Previous: 4.6%
At first glance, the data looks benign.
In reality, it presents a lose-lose setup.
The Market Trap:
Higher unemployment → recession fears accelerate
Lower unemployment → recession fears cool, but rate cuts get pushed further out
The probability of a January rate cut is already low (~11%).
Stronger-than-expected labor data could effectively erase that expectation entirely.
⚠️ An Unforgiving Market Setup
Markets are boxed in by two unfavorable outcomes:
Weak data fuels recession anxiety
Strong data locks in tighter monetary policy for longer
There is very little room for relief.
With these two macro catalysts landing almost back-to-back, the next 24 hours represent a high-risk volatility window across:
📉 Stocks
📊 Bonds
₿ Crypto markets
Expect fast reactions, not slow trends.
Expect liquidity-driven moves, not fundamentals.
🧠 Final Thought: Discipline Over Prediction
This is not the moment to chase headlines or force trades.
Volatility doesn’t reward speed — it rewards discipline.
Manage risk. Control position sizing. Respect uncertainty.
These are the conditions where capital preservation matters more than conviction.
Tags:
$ETH
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$SOL
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#Notcoin #NOT #NOTUSDT #CPIWatch

How far up can Notcoin go?
What's the total growth potential?
Where is the first target?

In order to project a target we use the Fibonacci extension tool. Targets are not extracted at random but rather based on the shape and size of the previous market cycle.

The bigger the crash, the stronger the bullish wave that follows. Notcoin went through a brutal bear market and this in return opens the doors for a massive bullish phase.

The first target based on Fibonacci extension sits at $0.011, which opens up 1,659% profits potential. This is all because of the size of the bear market. This is absolutely possible and do-able and this is only the first target.

The main resistance zone for this current move is the 0.618 Fib. extension level at $0.018, and this one opens up a massive 2,725%.

Notice that today NOTUSDT is moving above EMA55. This is a very strong signal and it is happening after a higher low. The higher low came in 18-December vs the market flush low in October. There is also high volume recently. Here we have multiple bullish signals combined. This all points to a very strong bullish wave developing next. By next I mean now.

Thank you for reading. Prepare for massive growth.

Full trade-numbers.

Namaste.

✅ Trade here on $NOT

🛢️ Venezuela. Sanctions. Corporate reality check.
Donald Trump’s bold attempt to drag U.S. oil giants into Venezuela’s oil bonanza has hit a brick wall. What was sold as a “historic energy comeback”… is turning into a geopolitical embarrassment. �
Reuters +1
Here’s the brutal breakdown 👇
💥 1) Trump promised billions and guarantees
He invited top oil executives to the White House, promising them safety and profit in Venezuela after the U.S. ousted Nicolás Maduro. �
Al Jazeera
😬 2) Big Oil executives weren’t impressed
ExxonMobil’s CEO bluntly called Venezuela “uninvestable” without major legal and structural reforms, leaving Trump visibly annoyed. �
AP News
😶 3) Silence. Awkwardness. Reality bites.
Rather than cheering the deal, industry leaders raised red flags about security, sanctions, and how the U.S. itself is the obstacle to investment. �
Reuters
👉 ExxonMobil may even be shut out entirely because of its skeptical response — Trump is “inclined” to exclude them from any future Venezuela oil deals. �
AP News
So what’s the real problem? 🤔
🔹 US sanctions are the biggest blocker
Oil companies are legitimately cautious — they don’t want big legal battles and billions lost like last time they operated there. �
Reuters
🔹 The oil is heavy & hard to sell
Venezuelan crude isn’t light and sweet — it’s heavy and traditionally sold to eastern markets like China and India. Trump wants to reroute it away from China & Russia, but there’s no real market.
🔹 Only Chevron is playing ball
Chevron might get an expanded licence to operate — but with limits. They’re basically the only U.S. company still active, and even that deal is cautious. �
Reuters
📉 In short:
Trump’s hype about billions in U.S. oil investment is clashing with cold hard commercial reality. Sanctions, legal fears, and doubts about Venezuela’s oil infrastructure have left the plan teetering. �
Reuters
⚠️ Geopolitics, not profit, driving this plan
Washington’s attempt to block China and Russia from Venezuelan oil — without giving companies a workable market — means investors aren’t biting. So far it’s isolation, not integration. �
Reuters
📊 Markets are watching.
Volatility ahead? Very likely. Energy markets hate uncertainty — and this failed push adds more of it. 🔥
👉 Follow for the hottest geopolitical & financial updates! 🚀📈
$TRUMP $OIL $VENEZUELA
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