xag

$XAG I’ve spent the last $BTR 12 hours digging into the silver market, and the deeper I went, the more alarming it became.
Let’s start with the raw numbers:
Global silver production: #River ~800 million ounces per year
Bank short exposure: 4.4 BILLION ounces
If silver continues higher,#xag the pressure on major U.S. banks becomes existential.
Here’s what most people missed:
Silver surged to $92, then suddenly dumped more than 6% within minutes, rebounded near $91, and rolled over again.
To the average trader, this looks like a routine pullback.
To me, after two decades in these markets, it looks like a manufactured trap.
At $90/oz, the collective short exposure translates to roughly $390 BILLION in liability.
That number alone exceeds the market capitalization of many global banks.
This isn’t about profit anymore — this is about survival.
Why was silver smashed to $86 overnight?
Because it had to be.
A clean break above $100 would have triggered cascading margin calls. Forced liquidations. Systemic damage.
So what did they do?
They dumped massive paper contracts during thin overnight liquidity to deliberately push price lower.
But here’s where it gets interesting…
The physical market tells a completely different story
While the paper price dropped $6:
Silver lease rates exploded higher
Borrowing physical metal became dramatically more expensive
We officially entered backwardation
That means spot prices are higher than futures.
In plain terms:
No one wants a paper promise six months from now — they want actual metal immediately.
The supply math is brutal
Shorts: 4.4 billion ounces
Annual mine supply: ~800 million ounces
Recycling supply dries up at higher prices as holders refuse to sell
Industrial demand (AI, solar, EVs, electronics) is non-negotiable
Factories don’t stop because silver is expensive.
They buy — at any price.
Banks like BofA and Citi aren’t just short silver —
they’re effectively short the next industrial cycle.
What comes next: Force majeure
I warned weeks ago about cash settlement.
It’s no longer theoretical.
In wholesale markets:
Large deliveries are being quoted as “unavailable”
Others are pushed out 4–6 weeks
Physical supply is tightening fast
When silver reclaims $92 — and it will — the move won’t pause at $100.
The next leg is a gap move.
$150 isn’t a target — it’s a consequence
when the first major short admits they can’t deliver.
Two markets now exist
Screen Price (~$88): Algorithmic, synthetic, paper-based
Real-World Price: Scarce, delayed, and increasingly unobtainable
This final shakeout is designed to scare holders into selling physical metal.
Don’t fall for it.
What we’re watching is the slow collapse of the paper derivatives illusion.
This is the opening act of the commodities supercycle.
I’ve been trading macro since 2003.
I’ve navigated multiple cycles, called major turns, and survived what most didn’t.
From here forward, I’ll be sharing my positioning and views openly.
Those who pay attention now will understand later.
Many won’t —
and they’ll wish they had acted sooner

$FHE

Kamēr daudzi cilvēki joprojām ir iemērkti stāstā par „naudu, ko nopelnīt ar Bitcoin”, tirgus patiesībā jau ir mainījies. Bitcoin ir iegājis lāča tirgus fāzē, svārstību struktūra ir sarežģīta, un emocijas ir ievērojami dominējošas, savukārt zelts un sudrabs atrodas skaidrākā un stabilākā lielā tirgus tendencē.#XAU
Tas nav teikts, lai noliegtu Bitcoin, bet gan reāls novērtējums: parastiem tirgotājiem, īpaši iesācējiem, zeltam var būt draudzīgāka un vieglāk saprotama tirgus vide.#XAG
Viens, kur ir atšķirības starp zeltu un Bitcoin?
Neapstrīdams fakts ir tas, ka zelta tirgus apjoms ir lielāks un manipulācijas iespējas ir mazākas.

Друзі, давайте поговоримо про справжній game-changer, який зараз переформатовує фінансові ринки. Поки більшість гониться за хайпом, "розумні гроші" вже активно перетікають у сектор Real World Assets (RWA).
​Це не просто тренд, це майбутнє:
​Токенізовані Метали: Забудьте про фізичні злитки та сховища. Тепер ви можете володіти золотом чи сріблом у вигляді токенів на блокчейні (наприклад, PAXG для золота чи XAG для срібла). Це дає вам можливість купувати, продавати та зберігати цінні метали миттєво, 24/7, з будь-якої точки світу.
​AI в Дії: Штучний інтелект вже не просто аналізує графіки. Він оптимізує процеси токенізації, забезпечує ліквідність та допомагає управляти ризиками в цьому новому класі активів. Це створює надійний міст між традиційними фінансами та Web3.
​Доступність та Гнучкість: Завдяки RWA-проєктам, такі активи як золото стають доступними для широкого кола інвесторів, з низьким порогом входу та високою ліквідністю.
​RWA – це не просто токен, це цифрова власність, підкріплена реальним світом. Це саме те, що приведе трильйони капіталу в криптоіндустрію.
​👇 Чи готові ви до цієї революції? Що для вас надійніше: цифрове золото чи Bitcoin? Діліться думками в коментарях!
​

Gold( $XAU ) and Silver ( $XAG ) are currently moving through a period of consolidation as shifting macro conditions reshape short-term momentum. A firmer U.S. dollar, combined with a cooling of geopolitical stress around Iran, has reduced immediate demand for defensive assets. As a result, gold prices are hovering near the $4,600 region, while silver has eased back toward the $90 zone.
Recent sessions have highlighted gold’s difficulty in sustaining upside traction. Strong U.S. economic signals, particularly from employment and growth data, have reinforced confidence in the dollar and encouraged traders to lock in profits from earlier rallies. With the greenback gaining strength, gold’s role as a currency hedge has temporarily weakened, applying pressure on prices. At the same time, reduced fears of escalation in the Middle East have lowered the urgency for capital to move into traditional safe havens.
Silver has followed a similar path. After posting historically elevated levels earlier this year, the metal has entered a corrective phase. The pullback reflects a reassessment of risk conditions rather than a breakdown in fundamentals. While industrial demand for silver remains solid, near-term price behavior shows sensitivity to dollar movements and broader risk sentiment.
From a technical perspective, both metals are approaching zones that market participants are watching closely. For gold, the $4,600 area represents a crucial balance point between buyers and sellers. Holding above this level would suggest that long-term bullish conviction remains intact, while a decisive move below it could open the door to a deeper retracement. Silver’s interaction with the $90 level carries similar significance, acting as a barometer for trader confidence under current macro pressures.
The next directional move will likely depend on external catalysts. Upcoming U.S. data releases, shifts in Federal Reserve expectations, and any renewed geopolitical instability could quickly change market dynamics. A softer dollar or renewed global uncertainty would favor a rebound in precious metals, while continued dollar resilience and geopolitical calm may keep prices range-bound near current support areas.
#XAU #XAG