$BTC Long-Term Projection | Linear Regression Framework (Dec 2026)
This view is based purely on Linear Regression, applied to Bitcoin’s historical price structure to outline a probability-based long-term scenario, not a guaranteed outcome.
Model insight:
Within a regression trend channel, BTC aligns with a potential ~$234K zone by Dec 2026, assuming long-term trend persistence remains intact.
High-Timeframe Framework
Entry zone: ~$70,000
TP1: ~$125,000 (structure expansion)
TP2: ~$234,000 (regression projection)
Invalidation / SL: ~$50,000
Risk–Reward: Asymmetric
Time horizon: Cycle-based / long-term
Volatility: Extremely high → position sizing matters
Important context
This framework reflects regression behavior only and intentionally excludes:
On-chain data
Liquidity & macro policy cycles
ETF and institutional flows
Geopolitical and regulatory risks
These factors can accelerate, delay, or invalidate the scenario.
Key takeaway
Linear regression doesn’t predict the future — it frames probability and risk boundaries.
Strong trades come from process, not prediction.
Educational discussion only. Not financial advice.
