Is Hyperliquid About to Break Its Downtrend — or Is This Just Another Bull Trap?
Hyperliquid (HYPE) trading around $26.00 has reignited debate among traders: is the market finally preparing for a trend reversal, or merely staging a temporary rebound within a broader downtrend? Recent technical signals suggest momentum is improving, but key hurdles still lie ahead.
On the daily timeframe, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is climbing toward the neutral 50 level, indicating a gradual shift from balance toward bullish momentum. This transition often appears during early accumulation phases, where buyers begin to regain control after prolonged selling pressure.
At the same time, the MACD indicator remains above its signal line, reflecting increasing risk appetite. If green histogram bars continue to expand above the zero line, HYPE could gather sufficient momentum to challenge the 50-day EMA near $28.22, a level that currently caps short-term upside.
However, the broader technical structure remains cautious. All three major moving averages — EMA 50 ($28.22), EMA 100 ($32.13), and EMA 200 ($33.25) — are still sloping downward, signaling that the dominant trend has not yet fully shifted bullish. A decisive daily close above this EMA cluster, along with a breakout from the descending trendline, would be required to confirm a sustainable trend reversal.
Failure to reclaim these levels could leave HYPE vulnerable to renewed selling pressure and extended consolidation near lower support zones.
Personal long-term scenarios (not financial advice):
• Buy zone: $23.50
• Bullish TP: $28.20 → $32.10 → $36.50
• Stop-loss (long): Below $21.80 (daily close)
• Sell / short consideration: Rejection near $$30.00
• Bearish TP: $22.50 → $20.00
• Stop-loss (short): Above $33.50
This article is for informational purposes only and reflects personal market analysis. It does not constitute investment advice. Readers should conduct their own research and manage risk independently. The author is not responsible for any trading decisions.
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