THIS HAS ALWAYS BEEN A BEAR MARKET SIGNAL FOR $BTC
B$BTC has once again fallen below the 50-week moving average (the yellow line)... and the story is clear on this point
Each time this moving average was broken, a BEAR MARKET or a brutal drop followed
🔍 What does the chart show?
▪️2014: -75% drop after losing the moving average ▪️2018: -60% drop after losing the moving average ▪️2022: -65% drop after losing the moving average ▪️2020: -55% drop after losing the moving average (COVID Crash)
🔻 Today, Bitcoin is once again BELOW that moving average, located near $101,000
WHAT SCENARIOS ARE POSSIBLE TODAY?
🔹SCENARIO 1: REPEATING THE PATTERN -If history repeats itself, we could see a deep correction in the coming weeks/months -The technical risk is clear—we are below the threshold that historically separates bull and bear markets
🔹SCENARIO 2: THIS TIME IT'S DIFFERENT -The macro context is not the same: record liquidity, historic institutional backing, and clear regulations on the way -It is CRITICAL to see what happens when BTC approaches $101K. If it surpasses this zone, optimism could accelerate
The coming days will be CRITICAL to assess this situation
Ripple invests $150 million in LMAX Group to implement $RLUSD as MARGIN and INSTITUTIONAL LIQUIDITY SOURCE.
LMAX is a key player in the global financial market, providing platforms to trade currencies (FOREX), metals, indices, commodities, and #cryptocurrencies.
THE 2026 WORLD ECONOMIC FORUM IS COMING AND THE #CRYPTO ECOSYSTEM IS MORE PRESENT THAN EVER!
From January 19 to 23, the 56th edition of the World Economic Forum will bring together global leaders… but also the most important figures in #crypto and #blockchain
🔹 1. THE HEAVIEST NAMES ▪️Brad Garlinghouse (Ripple) will debate with SWIFT EXECUTIVES and representatives from the IMF on cross-border payments and stablecoins. -Panel: The Future of Cross-Border Payments: Can Blockchain Scale? January 20 – 10:00 AM CET ▪️Brian Armstrong (Coinbase) will speak about regulation and global expansion in a WSJ panel. -Panel: Building the Crypto Economy: Trust, Transparency, and Safety. January 21 – 11:30 AM CET ▪️Jeremy Allaire (Circle) will present his vision of the digital dollar and the role of USDC as a payment layer for AI. -Panel: A Conversation with Circle’s CEO: The Internet of Value. January 22 – 12:00 PM CET
🔹 2. THE PARALLEL EVENTS FROM THE CRYPTO WORLD While the WEF focuses on the official agenda, the PARALLEL EVENTS ARE NOT LEFT BEHIND:
▫️GBBC Blockchain Central • Technical panels with Hyperledger, Visa, ConsenSys • Regulatory discussions with the architect of MiCA and former CFTC
▫️Web3 Hub Davos • Participants: Yat Siu (Animoca), Paolo Ardoino (Tether), Elizabeth Stark (Lightning), Jack Mallers (Strike), Adam Back (Blockstream)
Davos 2026 reflects a clear trend: Crypto is building the new global financial system. And as Scott Bessent said: “A new Bretton Woods could arrive within the next 4 years”
INSTITUTIONAL BITCOIN PURCHASES 6 TIMES HIGHER THAN MINING OUTPUT IN 2026
Institutional investors have purchased approximately six times the amount of newly mined Bitcoin in 2026, with around 30,000 bitcoins bought compared to the 5,700 $BTC mined.
Is this the main reason why PRECIOUS METALS keep rising and why $BTC is resuming its upward trend?
U.S. M2 MONEY SUPPLY INCREASED BY +$1.65 TRILLION IN 2025. IT'S THE LARGEST GROWTH SINCE 2021 AND THE THIRD CONSECUTIVE YEAR
🔹Since mid-2023, M2 has risen by +$3.7T 🔹That equals +$116,000M PER MONTH 🔹In contrast: between 2022 and early 2023, M2 DECREASED by -$28,000M PER MONTH
Why does it matter and why isn't this an isolated figure?
More M2 = more dollars in circulation = LOWER value per dollar This excess liquidity is seeking refuge in hard assets
-So what's happening in the markets? ▪️The DOLLAR is falling ▪️GOLD is hitting all-time highs ▪️SILVER is hitting all-time highs ▪️And #BITCOIN is once again surpassing $95K
The U.S. fiscal and monetary policy is unleashing a new wave of expansion... And scarce, inflation-resistant assets are soaring.
The U.S. Senate Banking Committee postpones drafting legislation on the structure of the Bitcoin and cryptocurrency market after Coinbase and others withdrew their support for the bill.
Ripple, Mastercard, WebBank, and Gemini are testing the settlement of $RLUSD on the $XRP Ledger for credit card transactions.
The initiative explores blockchain-based settlement, which operates independently from traditional card payments, potentially enabling faster and regulation-compliant settlement of fiat currency.
Arjun Sethi, executive co-director of Kraken, speaks about the delay of the cryptocurrency bill: "It's easy to walk away when a process gets complicated. What matters is staying present, resolving disagreements, and building consensus.".