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Md Shahid Arman

Twitter/X- @MdShahid901 Futures strategist mastering price action market psychology turning volatility,funding shifts & liquidations into high probability wins.
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High-Frequency Trader
3.3 Years
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Bullish
$FRAX {future}(FRAXUSDT) $BTC {future}(BTCUSDT) Who has X account, you can win $100 post your outdoor photo. It's easy, you can try it.
$FRAX
$BTC
Who has X account, you can win $100 post your outdoor photo. It's easy, you can try it.
$FRAX {future}(FRAXUSDT) FRAXUSDT didn’t drop because it turned bearish. It pulled back because strong moves need time to breathe. After a sharp expansion from the 0.80 zone to above 1.30, price is now cooling near 1.09. This is where most traders make the same mistake. They see red candles after a pump and assume reversal, so they rush into shorts. Short-term momentum has slowed, with price sitting below the EMA and RSI resetting near neutral. That doesn’t mean weakness. It means the market is digesting gains and shaking out impatience. In strong impulse moves, price rarely collapses immediately. It consolidates, frustrates both sides, and only then decides continuation or deeper correction. If FRAX builds acceptance and holds structure after this pullback, upside continuation becomes valid again as late shorts get trapped. If structure fails, the market simply needs more time before the next move. This is not a prediction zone. It’s a discipline zone. Markets don’t punish direction. They punish impatience.
$FRAX
FRAXUSDT didn’t drop because it turned bearish. It pulled back because strong moves need time to breathe.

After a sharp expansion from the 0.80 zone to above 1.30, price is now cooling near 1.09. This is where most traders make the same mistake. They see red candles after a pump and assume reversal, so they rush into shorts.

Short-term momentum has slowed, with price sitting below the EMA and RSI resetting near neutral. That doesn’t mean weakness. It means the market is digesting gains and shaking out impatience.

In strong impulse moves, price rarely collapses immediately. It consolidates, frustrates both sides, and only then decides continuation or deeper correction.

If FRAX builds acceptance and holds structure after this pullback, upside continuation becomes valid again as late shorts get trapped. If structure fails, the market simply needs more time before the next move.

This is not a prediction zone. It’s a discipline zone.
Markets don’t punish direction. They punish impatience.
$BTC {future}(BTCUSDT) Long position gets profit. Don't try to short.
$BTC
Long position gets profit.

Don't try to short.
$SOL {future}(SOLUSDT) $ETH {spot}(ETHUSDT) $RIVER {future}(RIVERUSDT) When Shorts Pay Longs. The Hidden Trap in Bullish Markets. Most traders lose not because they are wrong, but because they choose the wrong side at the wrong phase. In crypto, around 80–85% of traders prefer short positions. The reason is simple. Shorts feel safer. Price already went up, so people expect it to come down. That mindset feels logical, but markets don’t reward comfort. Short positions always carry a fixed liquidation price. If price keeps rising, the outcome is binary: recover later or lose everything. There is no patience in a crowded short. During strong bullish phases, something interesting happens. Price keeps printing green candles, while most traders keep shorting, waiting for a reversal that never comes. As shorts pile in, funding rates often turn negative, meaning short traders are paying long holders every hour just to stay alive. Long traders in these phases don’t only profit from price appreciation. They also receive funding. Shorts are literally funding the trend they are fighting.
$SOL
$ETH
$RIVER
When Shorts Pay Longs.
The Hidden Trap in Bullish Markets.

Most traders lose not because they are wrong, but because they choose the wrong side at the wrong phase.

In crypto, around 80–85% of traders prefer short positions. The reason is simple. Shorts feel safer. Price already went up, so people expect it to come down. That mindset feels logical, but markets don’t reward comfort.

Short positions always carry a fixed liquidation price. If price keeps rising, the outcome is binary: recover later or lose everything. There is no patience in a crowded short.

During strong bullish phases, something interesting happens. Price keeps printing green candles, while most traders keep shorting, waiting for a reversal that never comes. As shorts pile in, funding rates often turn negative, meaning short traders are paying long holders every hour just to stay alive.

Long traders in these phases don’t only profit from price appreciation. They also receive funding. Shorts are literally funding the trend they are fighting.
$ETH {future}(ETHUSDT) ETH is moving with strength, but the real signal is in how it reacts, not how fast it moves. ETH has pushed higher alongside BTC, yet price behavior shows control rather than exhaustion. Momentum is present, but not overheated, which keeps the trend technically healthy. If ETH continues to hold above its recent breakout zone, upside continuation remains the higher-probability path as late shorts get pressured. That’s where trend-following longs stay patient and selective. If price fails to hold the structure and acceptance forms back below the range, momentum cools and a deeper reset becomes likely before the next move.
$ETH
ETH is moving with strength, but the real signal is in how it reacts, not how fast it moves.

ETH has pushed higher alongside BTC, yet price behavior shows control rather than exhaustion. Momentum is present, but not overheated, which keeps the trend technically healthy.

If ETH continues to hold above its recent breakout zone, upside continuation remains the higher-probability path as late shorts get pressured. That’s where trend-following longs stay patient and selective.

If price fails to hold the structure and acceptance forms back below the range, momentum cools and a deeper reset becomes likely before the next move.
$BNB {future}(BNBUSDT) BNB is not pumping blindly. This is a confirmed trend shift on the daily chart. On 1D timeframe, BNB is holding above. This is a classic bullish structure that usually appears at the early stage of a sustained trend, not at the end. Price has reclaimed and accepted above the 950 zone, which previously acted as resistance. Sellers from lower levels are trapped, while buyers are now defending higher prices instead of chasing breakouts. Momentum supports the move. RSI is in healthy bullish territory without showing exhaustion, and MACD has flipped positive after a long compression phase. This combination favors continuation, not sudden reversal. As long as BNB holds above the 930–950 support zone, pullbacks are more likely to be bought than sold. That’s where disciplined trend-following longs make sense. If price loses acceptance back below the EMA zone, momentum pauses and patience becomes necessary. Until then, the structure remains bullish. Strong trends reward structure. Weak hands fund pullbacks.
$BNB
BNB is not pumping blindly.
This is a confirmed trend shift on the daily chart.

On 1D timeframe, BNB is holding above. This is a classic bullish structure that usually appears at the early stage of a sustained trend, not at the end.
Price has reclaimed and accepted above the 950 zone, which previously acted as resistance. Sellers from lower levels are trapped, while buyers are now defending higher prices instead of chasing breakouts.

Momentum supports the move. RSI is in healthy bullish territory without showing exhaustion, and MACD has flipped positive after a long compression phase. This combination favors continuation, not sudden reversal.
As long as BNB holds above the 930–950 support zone, pullbacks are more likely to be bought than sold. That’s where disciplined trend-following longs make sense.

If price loses acceptance back below the EMA zone, momentum pauses and patience becomes necessary. Until then, the structure remains bullish.

Strong trends reward structure. Weak hands fund pullbacks.
$RIVER {future}(RIVERUSDT) Who’s Really in Control Right Now? Key support sits at 22.90–23.10 zone, as long as price holds above, shorts are at liquidation risk Major resistance is 24.40, clean break and hold opens path toward 26+ Bias Long on pullbacks, not short. Market psychology: late shorts are trapped, early longs are not exiting yet RIVER just printed a strong impulse from the 18.08 low to 24.37, that’s not random, that’s aggressive dip absorption clear short-term trend control by buyers EMA below at 20.54, meaning this move is not a dead cat bounce, structure already flipped bullish MACD histogram remains positive, momentum is cooling but not reversing, classic consolidation after expansion RSI around 60 shows strength without overheating, buyers still have room before exhaustion Notice how pullbacks are shallow and volume expands on green candles, that’s smart money defending levels Trade smart. Follow structure, not emotions.
$RIVER
Who’s Really in Control Right Now?

Key support sits at 22.90–23.10 zone, as long as price holds above, shorts are at liquidation risk
Major resistance is 24.40, clean break and hold opens path toward 26+

Bias Long on pullbacks, not short.

Market psychology: late shorts are trapped, early longs are not exiting yet

RIVER just printed a strong impulse from the 18.08 low to 24.37, that’s not random, that’s aggressive dip absorption
clear short-term trend control by buyers
EMA below at 20.54, meaning this move is not a dead cat bounce, structure already flipped bullish
MACD histogram remains positive, momentum is cooling but not reversing, classic consolidation after expansion
RSI around 60 shows strength without overheating, buyers still have room before exhaustion
Notice how pullbacks are shallow and volume expands on green candles, that’s smart money defending levels

Trade smart. Follow structure, not emotions.
$BNB {future}(BNBUSDT) Long position is much better now . Don't try to Short position. it will trap you. BNB just confirmed a higher-timeframe trend shift, and this is not a random pump. On the 1D chart, price is now holding . BNB reclaimed the 950 zone with acceptance, showing that sellers from the lower range are exhausted while buyers are willing to defend higher prices. Momentum indicators support this move, with RSI staying in bullish territory and MACD turning positive after long compression. As long as BNB holds above the 930–950 support zone, pullbacks favor continuation rather than breakdown. This is where disciplined trend-following longs make sense, not emotional chasing. If price loses acceptance back below the EMAs, momentum cools and patience becomes necessary. Until then, the structure remains bullish. Strong trends don’t move in straight lines, but they reward those who respect structure.
$BNB
Long position is much better now .

Don't try to Short position. it will trap you.

BNB just confirmed a higher-timeframe trend shift, and this is not a random pump.

On the 1D chart, price is now holding .
BNB reclaimed the 950 zone with acceptance, showing that sellers from the lower range are exhausted while buyers are willing to defend higher prices. Momentum indicators support this move, with RSI staying in bullish territory and MACD turning positive after long compression.
As long as BNB holds above the 930–950 support zone, pullbacks favor continuation rather than breakdown. This is where disciplined trend-following longs make sense, not emotional chasing.

If price loses acceptance back below the EMAs, momentum cools and patience becomes necessary. Until then, the structure remains bullish.

Strong trends don’t move in straight lines, but they reward those who respect structure.
$BTC {future}(BTCUSDT) BTC at 95K+ looks bullish on the surface, but this zone separates disciplined traders from emotional ones. Price already tagged 96K and is now hovering above 95K, where leverage usually spikes and late longs feel safest. When confidence rises too fast, risk quietly builds underneath. Funding staying positive here means many traders are already positioned long. That’s not bearish by itself, but it removes the element of surprise. From this level, continuation needs acceptance, not excitement. If BTC holds above 95K on pullbacks and volume remains steady, upside liquidity can still be explored and controlled longs stay valid. That is trend-following, not chasing. If price loses 95K and accepts below it, the move turns into exhaustion. In that case, downside liquidity toward the previous range becomes the higher-probability path as weak longs unwind. This is no longer a prediction zone. It’s a reaction zone. Futures traders who wait for confirmation usually survive these levels. Strong trends reward patience. Overconfidence funds liquidations.
$BTC

BTC at 95K+ looks bullish on the surface, but this zone separates disciplined traders from emotional ones.

Price already tagged 96K and is now hovering above 95K, where leverage usually spikes and late longs feel safest. When confidence rises too fast, risk quietly builds underneath.
Funding staying positive here means many traders are already positioned long. That’s not bearish by itself, but it removes the element of surprise. From this level, continuation needs acceptance, not excitement.

If BTC holds above 95K on pullbacks and volume remains steady, upside liquidity can still be explored and controlled longs stay valid. That is trend-following, not chasing.

If price loses 95K and accepts below it, the move turns into exhaustion. In that case, downside liquidity toward the previous range becomes the higher-probability path as weak longs unwind.
This is no longer a prediction zone. It’s a reaction zone. Futures traders who wait for confirmation usually survive these levels.

Strong trends reward patience. Overconfidence funds liquidations.
$BTC {future}(BTCUSDT) Long positions make you profit. Short position is risk.
$BTC
Long positions make you profit.

Short position is risk.
$BTC {spot}(BTCUSDT) BTCUSDT One Setup, One Decision All stop trader Long positions increase your profit. BTC is holding near 91.9k after absorbing heavy sell pressure is rising fast and pressing toward , signaling short-term buyer control MACD momentum is turning positive, showing bears are losing dominance RSI is back above neutral, confirming recovery strength This is not a breakout market, it’s a decision zone Above 92.5k, buyers gain continuation control Failure to hold above invites short pressure again still sits overhead, so risk management matters BTC traders should focus on one clean level, not noise Trade BTC with structure, let price decide, follow the move
$BTC
BTCUSDT One Setup, One Decision

All stop trader Long positions increase your profit.

BTC is holding near 91.9k after absorbing heavy sell pressure
is rising fast and pressing toward , signaling short-term buyer control
MACD momentum is turning positive, showing bears are losing dominance
RSI is back above neutral, confirming recovery strength
This is not a breakout market, it’s a decision zone
Above 92.5k, buyers gain continuation control
Failure to hold above invites short pressure again
still sits overhead, so risk management matters
BTC traders should focus on one clean level, not noise
Trade BTC with structure, let price decide, follow the move
$RIVER {future}(RIVERUSDT) RIVERUSDT After +23% Move | Trap or Continuation? Read Before You Click Trade. long position is good. RIVER just exploded from the 16.3 zone to near 21.9 in a short time, pure momentum play Price is now hovering around 20.8, sitting right on which is acting as short-term balance EMA structure is bullish overall with above and far below near 17.7 That tells us trend strength is still intact, but short-term energy is cooling shows no overbought condition, room exists but no free pump MACD histogram is fading, meaning momentum is slowing, not reversing yet Volume spiked on the impulse but is now normalising, classic pause after expansion Market psychology here is split, late longs chasing, early longs taking partial profits Key support zone is 20.2–20.4, as long as this holds, bulls stay in control Clean break and hold above 21.2 opens the door to 22+ continuation Lose 20.2 with volume and it becomes a short-term pullback, not a trend flip
$RIVER
RIVERUSDT After +23% Move | Trap or Continuation? Read Before You Click Trade.

long position is good.

RIVER just exploded from the 16.3 zone to near 21.9 in a short time, pure momentum play
Price is now hovering around 20.8, sitting right on which is acting as short-term balance
EMA structure is bullish overall with above and far below near 17.7
That tells us trend strength is still intact, but short-term energy is cooling
shows no overbought condition, room exists but no free pump
MACD histogram is fading, meaning momentum is slowing, not reversing yet
Volume spiked on the impulse but is now normalising, classic pause after expansion
Market psychology here is split, late longs chasing, early longs taking partial profits
Key support zone is 20.2–20.4, as long as this holds, bulls stay in control
Clean break and hold above 21.2 opens the door to 22+ continuation
Lose 20.2 with volume and it becomes a short-term pullback, not a trend flip
$ZEC {future}(ZECUSDT) Final decision long is better now. Bias is short on rejection, not blind short Wait for weakness below 405 or clear rejection near 420. ZEC is trading near 415 after an aggressive expansion move Price is stretched far above its recent value area, which increases pullback risk RSI is deep in overbought territory, showing momentum but also exhaustion risk Volume spiked on the push up, a classic sign of late participation Funding rates are elevated, meaning longs are crowded and vulnerable Market psychology here is FOMO driven, not patient accumulation Strong resistance sits between 420 to 435 from historical supply If price fails to hold above 405, fast downside liquidity opens A healthy reset would be a pullback toward 380 to 360 before continuation Chasing at highs historically punishes late buyers
$ZEC
Final decision
long is better now.

Bias is short on rejection, not blind short
Wait for weakness below 405 or clear rejection near 420.

ZEC is trading near 415 after an aggressive expansion move
Price is stretched far above its recent value area, which increases pullback risk
RSI is deep in overbought territory, showing momentum but also exhaustion risk
Volume spiked on the push up, a classic sign of late participation
Funding rates are elevated, meaning longs are crowded and vulnerable
Market psychology here is FOMO driven, not patient accumulation
Strong resistance sits between 420 to 435 from historical supply
If price fails to hold above 405, fast downside liquidity opens
A healthy reset would be a pullback toward 380 to 360 before continuation
Chasing at highs historically punishes late buyers
$SOL {future}(SOLUSDT) SOL is turning bullish. long position is good. SOL is trading around 142 after a controlled pullback, not a panic sell Price is holding above the previous demand zone around 138–140, which matters This move looks more like profit-taking than trend breakdown RSI is cooling from overbought levels and now stabilising near the mid-zone, healthy for continuation Volume has decreased on the pullback, showing sellers are not aggressive Funding rate remains neutral, so no heavy long or short crowd yet Market psychology says weak hands already exited near 145–143 As long as SOL holds above 138 on closes, buyers stay in control A clean reclaim of 145 can trigger momentum toward 150–155 Break and hold below 138 would shift bias short toward 132–128
$SOL

SOL is turning bullish.
long position is good.

SOL is trading around 142 after a controlled pullback, not a panic sell
Price is holding above the previous demand zone around 138–140, which matters
This move looks more like profit-taking than trend breakdown
RSI is cooling from overbought levels and now stabilising near the mid-zone, healthy for continuation
Volume has decreased on the pullback, showing sellers are not aggressive
Funding rate remains neutral, so no heavy long or short crowd yet
Market psychology says weak hands already exited near 145–143
As long as SOL holds above 138 on closes, buyers stay in control
A clean reclaim of 145 can trigger momentum toward 150–155
Break and hold below 138 would shift bias short toward 132–128
$XMR {future}(XMRUSDT) Breaks 521 and trades near 545 Structure stays bullish above 521 That level is now key support Hold above it favors move toward 560+ Lose 521 and breakout fails No chasing, wait for confirmation Bias bullish while above support
$XMR

Breaks 521 and trades near 545

Structure stays bullish above 521
That level is now key support
Hold above it favors move toward 560+
Lose 521 and breakout fails
No chasing, wait for confirmation
Bias bullish while above support
$BTC {future}(BTCUSDT) BTCUSDT Perp Liquidity Rejection Zone Final Trade Decision long. BTC swept liquidity above 91,100 and instantly rejected. Strong upper wick confirms smart money selling pressure.RSI showing momentum exhaustion MACD histogram is fading, bullish strength is weakening.This looks like a classic breakout trap for late longs.Failure to reclaim 90,900 keeps downside pressure activeBelow 90,700, long liquidations can expand fast. Patience beats FOMO in this structure
$BTC
BTCUSDT Perp Liquidity Rejection Zone

Final Trade Decision
long.

BTC swept liquidity above 91,100 and instantly rejected.
Strong upper wick confirms smart money selling pressure.RSI showing momentum exhaustion
MACD histogram is fading, bullish strength is weakening.This looks like a classic breakout trap for late longs.Failure to reclaim 90,900 keeps downside pressure activeBelow 90,700, long liquidations can expand fast.

Patience beats FOMO in this structure
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