Plenty of times I receive this controversial question:
Ok, I got you..you're afraid of selling too early or too late, isn't it? Let's therefore bring some data analyzing what happened in the past to have a compass for the future. 🔸Byproduct of human's greed Read the title, then read it twice. Now you have the perfect definition of what an altseason is. It's not something that happens during the first or middle phase of the cycle where Bitcoin takes the spotlight (contrary to what most accounts want you to believe for engagement purposes) but instead during the last phase of the cycle. This is logical as retails start to pay attention exclusively when BTC breaks the past ATH and the media attention threshold drastically raises, "forcing" them to look at cheap coins that can turn them into intra-day millionaires. In this chart you can find the correlation between the break of BTC's ATH and the drop in BTC D. which flashes risk aversion and retails inflow. 🔸Ethereum/Bitcoin pair One of the biggest signal for evaluating if we're entering the altseason, is surely looking at the BTC D. to drop but also to the ETH/BTC breakout, which are inversely correlated. By looking at the past 2 cycles, we can find an interesting data : the parabolic move made by ETH/BTC and which leads to the whole altcoin sector to rise fast lasts approximately 40 days, less or more. In the classic green/red colors you can see ETH making the parabolic move, while in black the OTHERS chart, which represents the purest state of the altcoin market. 🔸"Wait, does this mean we have just 40 days to make money?" Well, no. If you look at the OTHERS chart, you can see that historically speaking, from when it abandons the accumulation stage to the expansion stage pic, approximately 500 days pass. This means that you if you're positioned since the accumulation stage (4/6 months prior to the halving is the sweet spot) you'll likely to enjoy big profits all the way up, without caring too much about the perfect top. What's interesting to notice here, is that it seems we already left the accumulation stage, and projecting another 500 days of expansion, would put the altcoins top around the Q1 of 2025. (to take with a pinch of salt) But if we peak earlier than the common cycle, this can be a potential outcome. 🔸In conclusion, what we can evince? Focusing on how much an altseason can last isn't the best way to approach the market, as it would likely "force" you to wait for the perfect moment to sell everything, severely increasing the risk of selling too late. What matters, in my opinion, is positioning ourselves earlier than the masses and then evaluating: - When BTC break its previous ATH - When BTC D. starts to drop - When OTHERS starts to go parabolic - When ETH/BTC starts to outperform All of these 4 signals are crucial for determining when we have to raise our attention threshold and start looking for de-risking from the market (together with your hairdresser asking for financial advice and celebrities promoting crypto projects) Just take note, and that's one of the most important things, that retails will not look for HTF closure below key zones. (🔨) That's why they'll become exit liquidity. #Write2Earn $SOL $XRP $BTC
Approximately 21 days remain until the Bitcoin Halving in April 2024
And ~60 days before the Halving, a Pre-Halving rally tends to occur (light blue)
History has repeated in this respect
In fact, the Pre-Halving Rally breakout was a little ahead of schedule by a handful of days
Moreover, Bitcoin performed a historic, never-before-done feat in its price action in the Pre-Halving period by breaking to new All Time Highs...
That being said however, the upside momentum has since slowed
In fact, Bitcoin in recent weeks pulled back by -18%
It is clear that the "Pre-Halving Rally" phase has transitioned into the next phase in the Bitcoin Halving Cycle:
The "Pre-Halving Retrace" phase
As a result, it is very likely that the "Pre-Halving Rally" phase is over
Bitcoin has since transitioned into the "Pre-Halving Retrace" phase
2. Final Pre-Halving Retrace
A Pre-Halving retrace tends to occur a 28 to 14 days before the Halving event itself (dark blue circle)
In 2016, this Pre-Halving retrace was -38% deep and lasted 3-4 days
In 2020, this Pre-Halving retrace was -20% deep and lasted 56 days (8 weeks)
Currently, $BTC is 21 days away from the Halving, pulled back -18% last week, and since has recovered to ~$70000
If the Pre-Halving Retrace bottom is in...
BTC therefore would've repeated a lot of qualities from the Pre-Halving Retrace of 2020
After all, the most recent retrace was -18% deep and lasted 7 days or so
However, Bitcoin in 2024 also repeated some 2016-like qualities as well
Because Bitcoin began its Pre-Halving Retrace ~30 days before the Halving whereas in 2016 Bitcoin began its retrace 28 days before the Halving
As a result, it looks like Bitcoin may be repeating pieces of both 2016 and 2020 Pre-Halving price tendencies
But the goal of a Pre-Halving Retrace is three-fold:
a) To offer one final bargain-buying opportunity in the Pre-Halving period
b) To form the Range Low of the future Re-Accumulation Range
c) To set up the next phase in the Bitcoin Halving Cycle: "Re-Accumulation" (red box)
3. Re-Accumulation
The beginning of the "Re-Accumulation" phase occurs once the Pre-Halving Retrace has bottomed
In other words, the bottom of the Pre-Halving Retrace becomes the bottom of the Re-Accumulation Range (red)
It's still uncertain if the Pre-Halving Retrace bottom is in
However, because a Pre-Halving Retrace has occurred already...
It is possible that Bitcoin is slowly transitioning away from its Pre-Halving Retrace phase into its "Re-Accumulation" phase (red)
The goal now is for Bitcoin to move sideways going into the Halving and beyond
The Re-Accumulation phase can last multiple weeks and even up to 150 days (i.e 5 months)
Many investors get shaken-out in this stage due to boredom, impatience, and disappointment with lack of major results in their BTC investment in the immediate aftermath of the Halving
However, in this cycle it is the very first time that this Re-Accumulation Range is developing around the New All Time High area
As a result, this Re-Accumulation Range may simply take the shape of a regular sideways range like we've seen throughout the cycle thus far and may not last very long before additional uptrend continuation
4. Parabolic Uptrend
Once Bitcoin breaks out from the re-accumulation area breakout into the parabolic uptrend (green)
It is during this phase Bitcoin experiences accelerated growth into a parabolic uptrend
Historically, this phase has lasted just over a year (~385 days) however with a potential Accelerated Cycle occurring right now, this figure may get cut in half in this market cycle
ETF Mania: Billions Pour into BTC, ETH, & XRP – What This Means for Your Portfolio
The institutional floodgates are truly open in the crypto space, and the latest ETF inflow data confirms it. We're seeing unprecedented capital pour into Bitcoin, Ethereum, and even XRP products, signaling a significant shift in how traditional finance views digital assets. This isn't just about price action; it's about market maturity and mainstream adoption taking concrete shape. Let's break down the latest numbers: Bitcoin ETFs: The King Still Reigns, with Massive Inflows Just when you thought the initial hype might cool, U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs (#BTC) just delivered one of their strongest performances yet. We saw a whopping $ 843.6 million in net inflows on Wednesday alone, contributing to an impressive $ 1.71 billion over a three-day streak. BlackRock's iShares Bitcoin Trust (#IBIT) was a standout, gobbling up $648 million of that. This isn't just retail dipping their toes in; this is serious institutional money finding a comfortable on-ramp to Bitcoin. The consistent demand validates the narrative that Bitcoin is becoming a staple asset, a digital gold that funds want exposure to. Expect this trend to continue as more advisors become comfortable allocating to these products. Visualizing the significant capital influx into various crypto ETF products, highlighting market growth. Ethereum ETFs: Catching the Wave with Significant Momentum Ethereum (#ETH) ETFs are also proving to be a formidable magnet for capital. On January 15th, spot Ethereum ETFs recorded a substantial $ 164.32 million in net inflows, with BlackRock's ETHA product leading the charge at $149.11 million. Over four consecutive days, these ETFs raked in a total of $474.6 million, with Wednesday marking the highest single-day inflow of 2026 at $175.1 million. The growing interest in #ETH ETFs underscores Ethereum's critical role in the Web3 ecosystem as the foundational layer for DeFi, NFTs, and dApps. As the network continues to evolve and scale, institutional confidence is clearly following suit. XRP ETFs: The Underdog Story with Surprising Strength Perhaps the most intriguing development comes from XRP (#XRP) ETFs. While Bitcoin ETFs saw broader market outflows on some days, XRP ETFs led the pack on January 15th with $ 17.06 million in inflows, marking their sixth consecutive day of attracting capital. Since their launch in November 2025, these products have collectively amassed over $ 1.2 billion in cumulative net inflows, with some reports even pushing that figure closer to $1.37 billion. Funds like Bitwise's "XRP" and Grayscale's "GXRP" are seeing notable traction. This consistent inflow into XRP ETFs, especially when other major crypto ETFs faced outflows, suggests a unique and growing institutional appetite for XRP's utility and perhaps its potential in cross-border payments. It's a clear signal that the market sees value beyond just the top two. The Takeaway & What's Next: These numbers aren't just statistics; they paint a clear picture: institutional adoption of cryptocurrencies through regulated ETF products is accelerating. We're moving beyond speculative individual investments into a phase where traditional finance is integrating digital assets into diversified portfolios. Predictions: Diversification Drive: Expect institutions to further diversify their crypto exposure beyond just Bitcoin, with Ethereum leading the charge and other altcoins (like XRP) gaining more attention as their underlying utility becomes clearer.Product Innovation: The success of these ETFs will likely spur the development and approval of more crypto-related financial products, expanding access to a wider range of digital assets.Increased Volatility (Paradoxically): While institutional money brings stability over the long term, the sheer volume of capital can also amplify short-term market movements as large funds rebalance or enter/exit positions. This is a pivotal moment for #Web3. The financial world is not just observing; it's actively participating. Keep a close eye on these inflow trends—they are often leading indicators of broader market sentiment and future price action. #CryptoETFs #Bitcoin #Ethereum #XRP #MarketUpdate #Web3 #InstitutionalFlows #DigitalAssets
Bitcoin Roars to Two-Month High: Is Pure Greed Driving the Crypto Market?
The crypto market is buzzing, and for good reason: Bitcoin is making serious moves. As of yesterday, January 15, 2026, $BTC surged to a two-month high, flirting with the $98,000 mark. This isn't just a ripple; it's a wave that's propelled overall market sentiment firmly into "greed" territory. Since early October, we've been seeing bullish signals building, and it feels like the floodgates are finally opening. What's driving this impressive rally? It's a potent mix of factors. We've witnessed a period of capitulation from retail traders, often a precursor to a market turning point. Now, we're seeing renewed, robust demand from institutional investors, with U.S. spot $BTC ETFs recording significant net cash inflows. This institutional embrace is a powerful validator for Bitcoin's maturing market presence.
Beyond crypto-specific dynamics, broader macroeconomic winds are also fueling the fire. Hopes for lower interest rates in the near future, spurred by a mixed jobs report and lighter-than-expected inflation data, are sending positive tremors across risk assets, and crypto is clearly benefiting. This confluence of events has added a staggering $161 billion to the global crypto market's aggregate value between January 10 and January 14 alone. Now, while the headline screams "greed," it's worth a quick check on the Crypto Fear & Greed Index. Interestingly, it briefly touched a "neutral" score of 49 recently, a dip from "greed" the day before and "fear" last week. But let's be clear: this seems like a momentary blip. The overwhelming price action, with $BTC comfortably above $95,000 and pushing higher, speaks volumes about underlying bullish conviction. The index, which accounts for volatility, momentum, social media, and Bitcoin dominance, might be catching up, but the market's directional bias is unmistakable. So, what's next? Analysts are already eyeing significant milestones. Some are anticipating Bitcoin to potentially reach $105,000 in the near term, with more ambitious projections even suggesting a push toward $200,000. While these are strong predictions, the current momentum, coupled with institutional buying and favorable macro sentiment, certainly lays a solid foundation. Key Takeaway: The market is showing real strength, driven by fundamental shifts in investor participation and a hopeful macro outlook. However, as always, rapid ascents can invite volatility. Keep an eye on the macroeconomic indicators and ETF flows. Staying informed and agile will be crucial in navigating this exciting phase. #CryptoMarket
💸 How to Earn $20–$200 Daily on Binance Without Spending a Dime
When most people think about making money with crypto, they assume it takes big investments or risky trading. But here’s the truth: 👉 You can earn daily income on Binance without investing anything upfront. From writing content to completing simple tasks and joining events, Binance offers multiple legit ways to earn free crypto daily. With consistency, creativity, and smart participation, beginners can earn between $20 to $200 per day. 🔥 1. Binance Square – Write2Earn Program Binance Square is a social platform where users share insights, news, and opinions about crypto—and get paid for it! ✍️ Create high-quality posts, use trending hashtags, and join Write2Earn campaigns. 💰 Earnings range from $20 to $100+ per day based on views, likes, and campaign rewards. Top creators can go over $200/day. 🔑 Pro Tip: Focus on valuable, original content. The more engagement your post gets, the higher your rewards. 🎓 2. Learn & Earn – Get Paid to Learn Crypto Binance partners with top crypto projects to offer free tokens when you watch short videos and complete quizzes. 📚 Complete multiple courses and stack up to $20–$50/day when campaigns are active. ✅ Great for beginners—you earn while understanding the crypto world better. 💡 Pro Tip: Stay updated on new Learn & Earn launches to be first in line. 🎁 3. Airdrops, Missions & Campaigns Binance constantly runs event-based challenges and airdrop missions that reward users with free tokens or vouchers. 🎯 Tasks are easy: join a campaign, trade a little (with bonuses), or complete missions. 💸 Daily earnings can reach $10–$30, with even higher bonuses during major events. 📢 Pro Tip: Check the Binance Announcement section daily for new airdrops. 👥 4. Referral Program + Daily Tasks Invite your friends to Binance and earn a percentage of their trading fees—passive income at its best! 👫 With just a few active referrals, you can earn $20+ per day, and it scales as your network grows. ✅ Also complete simple tasks like using Convert, Swap Farming, or Earn features for small bonuses. 🚀 Pro Tip: Share your referral link with helpful crypto content on social media or groups. 🌐 5. Community Engagement Rewards Being active in the Binance community pays off! 🗣️ Join AMAs, comment on Binance Square posts, and take part in live campaigns. 💰 Binance often rewards engaged users with spot tokens, gift cards, and exclusive perks. ✨ Pro Tip: Add thoughtful comments and engage early—this increases your visibility and reward chances. 📊 Daily Earning Potential Breakdown: User TypeEstimated Daily Earnings 🔰 Beginners$20 – $50 💼 Active Users$50 – $100 🌟 Top Contributors$100 – $200+ ✅ Final Thoughts: No Investment, Just Involvement You don’t need capital to start earning on Binance. All it takes is time, effort, and consistency. Your No-Investment Earning Toolkit: ✅ Binance Square (Write2Earn)✅ Learn & Earn Programs✅ Airdrops & Campaigns✅ Referrals & Daily Tasks✅ Community Engagement Rewards
💡 Pro Tip: Check the Binance app daily—especially the Square trending section and Announcements. Early participation = higher rewards!
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→ BTC pumps → ETH pumps → BTC pumps again → ETH breaks ATH → Large caps pump → BTC makes new ATH → ETH + large caps hit ATH → Mid caps pump → Low caps pump
🗞️Update on a few Web3 projects putting in WORK lately
$ONDO OUSG 99% of Fidelity's FDIT $SEI adds US Dept of Commerce data $LINK partner with Polymarket for data $INJ Pineapple Fin $100 Mil INJ Treasury $SUI Sui Group SUI Treasury passes $300 Mil $NEAR Intents partner with $APT Shelby $AERO had 7.4% DEX trading market share in Aug
Regardless of where the market's going these projects are continuing to deliver.
And with results being delivered, sooner or later the market's gonna feel it...🤫