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🇩🇪 Germany’s 2nd-largest bank DZ Bank gets approval to launch retail #bitcoin and crypto trading. $BTC

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关于2026年美联储降息，目前市场预期如下：
#美国民主党BlueVault

主要机构预测：
‌高盛‌：预计6月和9月各降息25个基点，全年共50个基点。

‌摩根士丹利‌：预计4月和7月各降息25个基点，全年共50个基点。

‌野村证券‌：预计6月和9月各降息25个基点。
‌摩根大通‌：预计全年不降息，2027年第三季度可能加息25个基点。

‌花旗研究‌：预计全年降息75个基点（3次25个基点）。

‌汇丰银行和渣打银行‌：预计全年不降息。
‌麦格理银行‌：预计第四季度加息。
关键影响因素
‌通胀数据‌：核心PCE物价指数同比涨幅若持续高于2%，可能推迟降息。
‌就业市场‌：非农数据若持续强劲，可能使美联储推迟降息。
‌

罗素2000指数(追踪约2000家美国小盘股，可自行查询脑补知识)在2026年1月历史上首次突破2600点，这一突破被视作风险偏好回归和流动性宽松的关键信号。历史总在重复，即使你不相信周期，也应当尊重这种重复性。
2017年，罗素2000指数实现突破，随后，"山寨季"来临。2021年，罗素2000指数再次突破，随后，"山寨季"再次上演。尽管每一次的市场叙事不同，热门的代币各异，但其底层的驱动机制是相同的。如今，在2026年1月，罗素指数历史上首次突破2600点。
#加密市场观察 $BNB

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