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TP1: $0.08
TP2: $0.11
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Research suggests that government pressure, compliance mandates, and enforcement actions are indeed the primary drivers behind most debanking cases in the US. A report by the Cato Institute found that governmental debanking, whether direct or indirect, is the leading cause of account closures, rather than banks' own policies or biases.

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*Types of Debanking:*

- *Government Debanking*: Government pressure or directives lead to account closures.
- *Operational Debanking*: Banks choose to close accounts due to business decisions or risk assessments.
- *Political/Religious Debanking*: Accounts closed due to political or religious affiliations.

The Cato Institute report highlights that government actions, such as letters or court orders, can effectively force banks to terminate accounts. Crypto firms have been particularly affected, with regulators using regulatory risk to discourage banks from serving the sector.

The US is witnessing a major power struggle between the Federal Reserve and the Trump administration. Fed Chair Jerome Powell has revealed that the Department of Justice (DOJ) has subpoenaed the central bank and threatened him with criminal indictment over his testimony about the Fed's $2.5 billion building renovation project. This move is seen as a response to Powell's refusal to comply with President Trump's interest-rate demands.

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Powell has framed this as an attack on the Fed's independence, stating that the threat of criminal charges is a consequence of the Fed setting interest rates based on economic conditions rather than political pressure. The Trump administration, however, has denied any wrongdoing, with Trump claiming he wasn't aware of the investigation.

This development has sent shockwaves through the markets, with the US dollar weakening and gold prices hitting record highs. The situation raises concerns about the Fed's ability to make decisions without political interference, which could have far-reaching implications for the US economy and global financial markets.

Europe is indeed shifting its energy landscape, with the US emerging as its second-largest gas supplier, shipping 82.9 billion cubic meters of LNG in 2025, a 61% surge. Norway remains the top supplier with 97.1 bcm, while Russia's share has declined to 38 bcm. This shift reflects Europe's efforts to diversify its energy sources and reduce dependence on Russian gas.

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*Key Implications:*

- *Energy Security*: Europe is prioritizing security, stability, and leverage in its energy partnerships.
- *Market Shift*: Energy shifts often lead to market shifts, with capital flowing into ecosystems supporting the transition.
- *Geopolitical Dynamics*: The US is strengthening its position as a key energy supplier, potentially influencing global markets and geopolitics.

As Europe leans into US supply dominance, it's likely to impact various markets, including cryptocurrencies. Some coins worth monitoring include :
- *Energy-focused cryptocurrencies*: Those linked to energy production, trading, or innovation.
- *Geopolitically sensitive assets*: Cryptocurrencies influenced by shifts in global power dynamics.

The US economy is looking strong, with a 4.3% annualized growth rate in Q3 2025, driven by consumer spending and exports. This is the fastest pace in about two years, beating expectations of 3.3%.

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*Key Highlights:*

- *Consumer Spending*: Increased 3.5%, led by goods and services, especially health care and international travel.
- *Exports*: Rebounded sharply, contributing 0.92 percentage points to GDP growth.
- *Government Spending*: Provided a lift, mostly on defense.

*Market Reactions:*

- Volatility rose due to Powell-related headlines and policy uncertainty.
- Investors are weighing economic data against political risks.

*Looking Ahead:*

- Next official GDP release is expected soon, providing Q4 2025 results.
- Atlanta Fed's GDPNow model predicts 5.1% growth for Q4.

The Trump administration is denying involvement in the DOJ's criminal investigation into Fed Chair Jerome Powell, amid allegations of false statements about the $2.5 billion headquarters renovation. Powell claims the probe is linked to pressure over interest rate policy, while Trump says it's unrelated and criticizes Powell's leadership.

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*Key Developments:*

- *Investigation*: The DOJ has issued subpoenas to the Fed, with Powell facing potential criminal indictment over testimony about renovation costs.
- *Trump's Stance*: Trump denies directing the investigation, calling Powell "not very good at the Fed" and criticizing his interest rate decisions.
- *Market Impact*: The situation has sparked concerns about Fed independence, with markets reacting cautiously.

The investigation's outcome is uncertain, but it may have significant implications for US monetary policy and global financial stability.

Trump's proposal to cap credit card interest rates at 10% starting January 20, 2026, is shaking up the financial market. This move could save Americans around $100 billion annually, but it's also sparking concerns about reduced credit availability and tighter lending standards.

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*Key Implications:*

- *Consumer Relief*: Lower interest burden and increased monthly cash flow could boost consumer spending and confidence.
- *Banking Industry Impact*: Reduced margins might lead to stricter lending standards, reduced credit limits, and fewer approvals.
- *Market Volatility*: The proposal's uncertainty is causing market fluctuations, with financial stocks taking a hit.

The proposal has bipartisan support, but faces opposition from the banking industry, citing concerns about reduced credit access for high-risk borrowers.

Trumpův krok k nákupu 50 milionů barelů venezuelského ropy je strategický krok k zabezpečení energetických zdrojů a omezení vlivu rivalních zemí. Smlouva, jejíž hodnota činí 4,2 miliardy dolarů, zahrnuje přímý nákup ropy Spojenými státy, přičemž bylo varováno před zásahem Ruska nebo Číny. Tento krok může přepsat toky ropy, zvýšit dominantní pozici USA v západní části polokoule a ovlivnit globální trhy s ropou.

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Smlouva je součástí Trumpovy energetické doctrine "Amerika nejprve", která má obnovit výrobu v Venezuele pod vedením amerických firem a potenciálně oslabit vliv OPEC+. Společnosti jako Chevron, Exxon a Valero jsou připraveny profitovat ze smlouvy, přičemž některé vyjadřují opatrnost kvůli "nezinvestičnímu" statusu Venezuely a nevyřízeným dluhům.

Zlato právě dosáhlo nového historického maxima, překonalo 4 600 USD za troykunu! Tento vrchol odráží významný posun v investorově nastavení a globálních ekonomických podmínek, který je způsoben faktory jako geopolitické napětí, očekávání měnové politiky a obavy z inflace.

*Klíčové pohony za růstem:*

- *Geopolitické napětí*: Zhoršující se nestabilita v Iránu a východní Evropě zvyšuje poptávku po bezpečných majetkových aktivech.
- *Měnová politika*: Změny očekávání u hlavních centrálních bank ovlivňují hodnoty měn.
- *Obavy z inflace*: Investoři se obrací k zlatu, aby zachovali své bohatství v době tlaku způsobeného inflací.

Experti předpovídají, že zlato může v blízké budoucnosti dosáhnout 5 500 až 6 000 USD nebo dokonce 7 000 USD, vzhledem k současné makroekonomické situaci.

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Nezávislost Fedu je vystavena významnému výzvu, protože federální prokurátoři, vedení prokurátorem jmenovaným Trumpem, Jeanine Pirro, zahájili trestní vyšetřování proti předsedovi Fedu Jerome Powell. Vyšetřování se zaměřuje na podezření z nepravdivých prohlášení o rekonstrukci hlavního úřadu v hodnotě 2,5 miliardy dolarů, u níž došlo k překročení rozpočtu o 600 milionů dolarů. Powell označil vyšetřování za "zbrojní právo" a formu politického tlaku, zatímco trhy jej interpretují jako hrozbu pro nezávislost Fedu.

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Vyšetřování vyvolalo obavy z politického vlivu na rozhodování o měnové politice, přičemž někteří se obávají, že by to mohlo poškodit důvěryhodnost Fedu a ovlivnit světové trhy. Dolar se oslabil a ceny zlata stoupaly na rekordní výšky v reakci na zprávy.

*Hlavní důsledky:*

- *Nezávislost Fedu*: Vyšetřování vyvolává pochybnosti o schopnosti Fedu stanovovat úrokové sazby na základě ekonomických dat namísto politického tlaku.
- *Volatilita trhu*: Nejistota kolem nezávislosti Fedu vedla ke zvýšené volatilitě trhu, což může mít dopad na dluhopisy, akcie a dolar.
- *Mezinárodní důvěra*: Situace může oslabit mezinárodní důvěru v americký finanční systém.

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Japan's government bond market is experiencing significant changes, with the supply of Japanese Government Bonds (JGBs) increasing by 8% to ¥65 trillion ($415 billion). The Bank of Japan (BOJ) is reducing its bond purchases, which will lead to a decrease in its holdings by ¥46.5 trillion. This shift has pushed the 10-year JGB yield to 2.13%, the highest level since 1999. As a result, JGBs have fallen 6% last year, making them the worst-performing among major markets.

*Key Factors Contributing to Volatility:*

- *Increased Supply*: Higher JGB supply is putting pressure on the market
- *Reduced BOJ Support*: BOJ's decreased bond purchases are reducing demand
- *Higher Borrowing Costs*: Rising yields are increasing borrowing costs for the government
- *Inflation Concerns*: Tokyo's inflation rate is being closely watched by policymakers.

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