Bit_Rase
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Crypto Enthusiast | #BTC since 2017 | NFTs, Exchanges and Blockchain Analysis #Binance kol @Bit_Rise #CMC kol X. 👉@Meech_1000x kol @Bit_Rise #DM #TG @Bit_Risee
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Hey @Binance News
Thanks for the Crypto Leader shoutout in my #2025withBinance recap
Active, trusted & helping grow the community let's keep building in 2026!
Who's got their badge? Drop it below#2025withBinance 💚💚
Thanks for the Crypto Leader shoutout in my #2025withBinance recap
Active, trusted & helping grow the community let's keep building in 2026!
Who's got their badge? Drop it below#2025withBinance 💚💚
$TURTLE strong momentum just kicked in after a clean impulse move and quick pullback
Entry Zone: 0.0635 – 0.0642
Bullish Above: 0.0630
Stop Loss: 0.0618
Targets:
TP1: 0.0660
TP2: 0.0685
TP3: 0.0710
Momentum-based scalp/swing manage risk and trail if targets start hitting💸💸
Entry Zone: 0.0635 – 0.0642
Bullish Above: 0.0630
Stop Loss: 0.0618
Targets:
TP1: 0.0660
TP2: 0.0685
TP3: 0.0710
Momentum-based scalp/swing manage risk and trail if targets start hitting💸💸
$ARC quick pullback after impulse, buyers stepping back in near demand Structure favors continuation if price holds.
Entry Zone: 0.0525 – 0.0534
Stop Loss: 0.0508
Targets:
TP1: 0.0550
TP2: 0.0570
TP3: 0.0595💸💸
Entry Zone: 0.0525 – 0.0534
Stop Loss: 0.0508
Targets:
TP1: 0.0550
TP2: 0.0570
TP3: 0.0595💸💸
$VFY clean bounce from local bottom with strong bullish candles
Entry Zone: 0.0310 – 0.0318
Stop Loss: 0.0298
Targets:
TP1: 0.0328
TP2: 0.0342
TP3: 0.0360💸💸
Entry Zone: 0.0310 – 0.0318
Stop Loss: 0.0298
Targets:
TP1: 0.0328
TP2: 0.0342
TP3: 0.0360💸💸
$WAL
stabilized immediately after liquidation, forming a base for continuation.
EP: $0.159 – $0.160
TP: $0.168 → $0.179 → $0.193
SL: $0.156
As long as $WAL holds above $0.159, bullish momentum remains valid. A breakout above $0.162 can fuel the next leg higher💸💸
stabilized immediately after liquidation, forming a base for continuation.
EP: $0.159 – $0.160
TP: $0.168 → $0.179 → $0.193
SL: $0.156
As long as $WAL holds above $0.159, bullish momentum remains valid. A breakout above $0.162 can fuel the next leg higher💸💸
$PIPPIN Strong higher-low structure with buyers stepping in fast💸💸
Entry Zone: 0.332 – 0.336
Stop Loss: 0.324
Targets:
TP1: 0.345
TP2: 0.358
TP3: 0.372
Entry Zone: 0.332 – 0.336
Stop Loss: 0.324
Targets:
TP1: 0.345
TP2: 0.358
TP3: 0.372
Application TVL on Solana increased 10 times since the beginning of 2024
Solana is showing a very noteworthy growth phase at the application level. Since January 2024, the total TVL at the application layer on Solana has increased by about 10 times, reflecting strong expansion not only in terms of capital scale but also in actual usage levels.
Currently, applications built on Solana are managing over 30 billion USD in user assets. This capital flow is distributed across various sectors, including DeFi, liquid staking, restaking, stablecoins, and derivative products, indicating that the ecosystem has moved beyond dependence on a few individual use cases.
One noteworthy point is that the growth of TVL does not come from a single protocol but is spread across the entire ecosystem. Many new and old applications are recording steady growth, indicating that capital flow tends to stay rather than just circulate short-term according to narratives.
With low transaction costs, minimal delays, and an increasingly refined user experience, Solana is gradually shifting from the story of 'high performance' to the role of a platform that can truly absorb and retain large capital flows over the long term.
#solana $SOL
Solana is showing a very noteworthy growth phase at the application level. Since January 2024, the total TVL at the application layer on Solana has increased by about 10 times, reflecting strong expansion not only in terms of capital scale but also in actual usage levels.
Currently, applications built on Solana are managing over 30 billion USD in user assets. This capital flow is distributed across various sectors, including DeFi, liquid staking, restaking, stablecoins, and derivative products, indicating that the ecosystem has moved beyond dependence on a few individual use cases.
One noteworthy point is that the growth of TVL does not come from a single protocol but is spread across the entire ecosystem. Many new and old applications are recording steady growth, indicating that capital flow tends to stay rather than just circulate short-term according to narratives.
With low transaction costs, minimal delays, and an increasingly refined user experience, Solana is gradually shifting from the story of 'high performance' to the role of a platform that can truly absorb and retain large capital flows over the long term.
#solana $SOL
Bitcoin cycle and the possibility of hitting the bottom in 2026
Bitcoin cycle and the possibility of hitting the bottom in 2026
As we enter 2026, I no longer view Bitcoin in a state of 'only two possibilities: continue to rise or move sideways.'
For me, the market is currently faced with a more uncomfortable choice: either the bull cycle truly extends, or we have entered the early stage of a deep and prolonged correction process. Personally, I lean more towards the second scenario.
The reason does not come from emotion, but from how previous Bitcoin cycles have operated. In past cycles, Bitcoin often takes about 1,064 days to go from bottom to peak, followed by about 364 days from peak back to the next bottom.
If we maintain this structure and apply it to the nearest peak in October 2025, then the timeframe for the next bottom falls quite close to October 2026.
In terms of price, history is also not very pleasant. Major corrections of Bitcoin often fall around 77% to 84% from the peak.
I do not think the exact number is important, but if we take an average of around 80% as a reference, then a peak around 126,000 USD could lead to a bottom somewhere around 37,000–40,000 USD. For me, the range of 38,000 to 50,000 USD is a more reasonable band to consider, rather than trying to pin down a specific number.
What I want to emphasize is that this scenario does not mean the market is about to collapse right away. On the contrary, I see the current movement of Bitcoin as a prolonged distribution and digestion phase, where prices may fluctuate wildly, move sideways, or gradually decline over time, rather than continuing a parabolic upward trend as many still expect.
If this cycle truly repeats, then the downside risk and market discomfort could extend into 2026. For me, this is not a forecast to scare, but a reminder: the phase ahead may require more patience, more discipline, and less illusion than what the market has been accustomed to in previous bull runs.
#BTC
Bitcoin cycle and the possibility of hitting the bottom in 2026
As we enter 2026, I no longer view Bitcoin in a state of 'only two possibilities: continue to rise or move sideways.'
For me, the market is currently faced with a more uncomfortable choice: either the bull cycle truly extends, or we have entered the early stage of a deep and prolonged correction process. Personally, I lean more towards the second scenario.
The reason does not come from emotion, but from how previous Bitcoin cycles have operated. In past cycles, Bitcoin often takes about 1,064 days to go from bottom to peak, followed by about 364 days from peak back to the next bottom.
If we maintain this structure and apply it to the nearest peak in October 2025, then the timeframe for the next bottom falls quite close to October 2026.
In terms of price, history is also not very pleasant. Major corrections of Bitcoin often fall around 77% to 84% from the peak.
I do not think the exact number is important, but if we take an average of around 80% as a reference, then a peak around 126,000 USD could lead to a bottom somewhere around 37,000–40,000 USD. For me, the range of 38,000 to 50,000 USD is a more reasonable band to consider, rather than trying to pin down a specific number.
What I want to emphasize is that this scenario does not mean the market is about to collapse right away. On the contrary, I see the current movement of Bitcoin as a prolonged distribution and digestion phase, where prices may fluctuate wildly, move sideways, or gradually decline over time, rather than continuing a parabolic upward trend as many still expect.
If this cycle truly repeats, then the downside risk and market discomfort could extend into 2026. For me, this is not a forecast to scare, but a reminder: the phase ahead may require more patience, more discipline, and less illusion than what the market has been accustomed to in previous bull runs.
#BTC
Data shows that Bitcoin often decreases in price after mid-January
Throughout 8 consecutive months, the market has recorded a fairly consistent reaction. After these time frames, $BTC typically adjusts by an average of about 5–6%, and sometimes the decline is even deeper.
According to historical data, after the 14th, Bitcoin often continues to decline by about 5–8%. At the moment, the price has adjusted nearly 4% from the most recent peak, quite consistent with this pattern.
Therefore, the time frame around January 28 is the next milestone that I am particularly monitoring for the possibility of additional selling pressure.
I have been trading based on this repeating pattern for about 5 months now and will continue to follow it until the market shows clear signs of invalidation.
What's important to me is not trying to guess the top or bottom, but reacting based on historical probabilities, managing risk tightly, and being ready to change my perspective as soon as the data no longer supports this scenario.
#BTC #MarketRebound
Throughout 8 consecutive months, the market has recorded a fairly consistent reaction. After these time frames, $BTC typically adjusts by an average of about 5–6%, and sometimes the decline is even deeper.
According to historical data, after the 14th, Bitcoin often continues to decline by about 5–8%. At the moment, the price has adjusted nearly 4% from the most recent peak, quite consistent with this pattern.
Therefore, the time frame around January 28 is the next milestone that I am particularly monitoring for the possibility of additional selling pressure.
I have been trading based on this repeating pattern for about 5 months now and will continue to follow it until the market shows clear signs of invalidation.
What's important to me is not trying to guess the top or bottom, but reacting based on historical probabilities, managing risk tightly, and being ready to change my perspective as soon as the data no longer supports this scenario.
#BTC #MarketRebound
CLARITY Act hearing on January 27! Regulatory reassessment window for SOL and XRP
On January 27, the U.S. Senate Agriculture Committee will vote on the CLARITY Act. If passed, tokens like SOL and XRP may be officially recognized as "commodities" rather than "securities." This is the biggest regulatory boon since the SEC's wave of lawsuits in 2025.
The core of the CLARITY Act is to delineate the jurisdictional boundaries between the SEC and CFTC. In simple terms: securities fall under the SEC's jurisdiction, while commodities fall under the CFTC's. The issue is that most tokens are neither traditional securities nor commodities. If the Act passes, it will provide a clear compliance pathway for them.
On January 27, the U.S. Senate Agriculture Committee will vote on the CLARITY Act. If passed, tokens like SOL and XRP may be officially recognized as "commodities" rather than "securities." This is the biggest regulatory boon since the SEC's wave of lawsuits in 2025.
The core of the CLARITY Act is to delineate the jurisdictional boundaries between the SEC and CFTC. In simple terms: securities fall under the SEC's jurisdiction, while commodities fall under the CFTC's. The issue is that most tokens are neither traditional securities nor commodities. If the Act passes, it will provide a clear compliance pathway for them.
What Are We Witnessing When Gold and Bitcoin Strengthen Simultaneously?
Trump imposed tariffs on 8 countries, protests in Iran continue, and the global geopolitical risk index has risen to its highest level since the Russia-Ukraine war in 2022. In this environment, the correlation between Bitcoin and gold is hitting historical highs.
In 2025, the 30-day correlation between Bitcoin and gold repeatedly exceeded 0.6, something that had almost never happened before 2020. Traditionally, BTC has been classified as a "risk asset"—rising and falling in tandem with the Nasdaq. However, its behavior pattern is changing over the past two years.
There are several reasons.
Trump imposed tariffs on 8 countries, protests in Iran continue, and the global geopolitical risk index has risen to its highest level since the Russia-Ukraine war in 2022. In this environment, the correlation between Bitcoin and gold is hitting historical highs.
In 2025, the 30-day correlation between Bitcoin and gold repeatedly exceeded 0.6, something that had almost never happened before 2020. Traditionally, BTC has been classified as a "risk asset"—rising and falling in tandem with the Nasdaq. However, its behavior pattern is changing over the past two years.
There are several reasons.
CLARITY Act Markup Hearing on January 27: A Decisive Moment for Crypto Regulation
The U.S. Senate Agriculture Committee will hold a markup hearing on the CLARITY Act on January 27.
This bill is the result of "months of bipartisan negotiations" and will define the regulatory framework for Crypto in the United States.
Key Points: The jurisdictional division between CFTC and SEC, which tokens are considered commodities and which are considered securities.
The implied volatility of these two currencies will rise before January 27.
There may be trading opportunities in the options market.
The U.S. Senate Agriculture Committee will hold a markup hearing on the CLARITY Act on January 27.
This bill is the result of "months of bipartisan negotiations" and will define the regulatory framework for Crypto in the United States.
Key Points: The jurisdictional division between CFTC and SEC, which tokens are considered commodities and which are considered securities.
The implied volatility of these two currencies will rise before January 27.
There may be trading opportunities in the options market.
Mossad's intervention in Iran + Trump's pressure: Middle East premium returns to oil prices and BTC
The Turkish Foreign Minister publicly stated that Mossad "is intervening in Iran", and Israel "did not deny it"—this is a signal-level statement.
Additionally, Khamenei said "thousands have died in the turmoil", "Trump is a criminal"...
Geopolitical risks in the Middle East are being repriced.
Historically, every time there is tension in the Middle East, crude oil and $BTC have shown a correlation.
Logic: Any shake-up of the petrodollar system benefits the "digital gold" narrative.
The Turkish Foreign Minister publicly stated that Mossad "is intervening in Iran", and Israel "did not deny it"—this is a signal-level statement.
Additionally, Khamenei said "thousands have died in the turmoil", "Trump is a criminal"...
Geopolitical risks in the Middle East are being repriced.
Historically, every time there is tension in the Middle East, crude oil and $BTC have shown a correlation.
Logic: Any shake-up of the petrodollar system benefits the "digital gold" narrative.
Big move... Interactive Brokers launches 24/7 USDC deposits
Supports instant $USDC conversion, bypassing bank hours and time zone restrictions.
ZeroHash custody, 0.30% fee rate. RLUSD and PYUSD support coming soon.
Supports instant $USDC conversion, bypassing bank hours and time zone restrictions.
ZeroHash custody, 0.30% fee rate. RLUSD and PYUSD support coming soon.
$DUSK
sellers were absorbed near support, leaving price ready for continuation once the base holds.
EP: $0.150 – $0.153
TP: $0.162 → $0.175 → $0.195
SL: $0.145
As long as $DUSK holds above $0.150, bullish structure remains intact. A move above $0.156 can lead to a rapid upside expansion💸💸
sellers were absorbed near support, leaving price ready for continuation once the base holds.
EP: $0.150 – $0.153
TP: $0.162 → $0.175 → $0.195
SL: $0.145
As long as $DUSK holds above $0.150, bullish structure remains intact. A move above $0.156 can lead to a rapid upside expansion💸💸
Dispute Resolution Is the Missing Layer in Most Blockchains
Most blockchain designs assume disputes are rare or external. In real finance, disputes are normal. They are resolved through evidence, verification, and clear rule application. Dusk Network accounts for this by enabling transactions to produce proofs that can be used when disagreements arise. Privacy is preserved during normal operation, but the system can still support resolution when challenged. For crypto-native users focused on long-term reliability, this is a critical distinction. Infrastructure that cannot support dispute resolution tends to rely on off-chain trust, undermining decentralization when it matters most.
@Dusk #dusk $DUSK
@Dusk #dusk $DUSK
Institutional Adoption Stalls When Confidentiality Cannot Be Scoped
Institutions do not ask for absolute privacy. They ask for scoped confidentiality. Information should be visible only to the parties that are authorized to see it, and verifiable by others when required. Many blockchains struggle to express this nuance. Dusk Network is built around controlled disclosure rather than blanket exposure or secrecy. This allows financial activity to remain confidential while still fitting within structured oversight models. For crypto-native observers, this explains why some systems remain experimental while others move closer to production. Scoped confidentiality aligns more closely with how real financial operations function.
@Dusk #dusk $DUSK
@Dusk #dusk $DUSK
Long-Term Financial Networks Optimize for Boring Outcomes
The most reliable financial systems are often the least dramatic. They prioritize consistency, predictability, and defensible behavior over rapid experimentation. Dusk Network reflects this mindset. Its focus on verifiable privacy, upgrade safety, and compliance-aware design trades short-term attention for long-term credibility. For crypto-native users who value infrastructure that survives market cycles, this matters. Networks optimized for excitement tend to struggle under scrutiny. Networks optimized for boring outcomes tend to last. Dusk is built to remain functional when novelty fades and expectations increase.
@Dusk #dusk $DUSK
@Dusk #dusk $DUSK
Trustless Storage Requires Explicit Failure Models
Trustless systems are defined by how they fail. If failure behavior is unclear, trust shifts back to operators or intermediaries. The protocol defines its failure model explicitly. Partial outages are expected, and recovery is built into the design. This reduces ambiguity when things go wrong. For crypto-native users who care about trustless infrastructure, explicit failure handling is a credibility signal. Systems that assume perfection tend to lose trust under stress. Systems that assume failure and plan for it tend to earn trust over time.
@Walrus 🦭/acc #walrus $WAL
@Walrus 🦭/acc #walrus $WAL
Trustless Storage Requires Explicit Failure Models
Trustless systems are defined by how they fail. If failure behavior is unclear, trust shifts back to operators or intermediaries. The protocol defines its failure model explicitly. Partial outages are expected, and recovery is built into the design. This reduces ambiguity when things go wrong. For crypto-native users who care about trustless infrastructure, explicit failure handling is a credibility signal. Systems that assume perfection tend to lose trust under stress. Systems that assume failure and plan for it tend to earn trust over time.
@Walrus 🦭/acc #walrus $WAL
@Walrus 🦭/acc #walrus $WAL
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