#Altcoin and Major Coin Comparison; The left side covers all altcoins, the right side covers the top 10 coins. As you can see, there has been a negative divergence in altcoins since the first quarter of 2024, and it is still continuing. $BTC
$LUNC continues to fluctuate between 4412 and 4171, although it experiences upward and downward movements at these two levels, somehow buyers continue to come from the bottom and sellers from the top...
Lately, $USTC has been showing significantly stronger performance than its siblings $LUNC and Luna. Of course, it would be more accurate to say it's resisting a decline, as the market is weak at the moment.
$NEIRO has been unable to close above the resistance level of 15241, which has increased its weakness, and it will likely return to the 10000 level where it started its upward trend at the beginning of the year.
For-Exx Kripto
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Like other meme coins, $NEIRO has been very active in terms of positive price movement since the first day of January. It is heading to test an important resistance level at 15241, which I previously drew your attention to...
$LUNC has been trading sideways for a long time and is trying to break through its lower support level; it would be good if it could recover before the end of the day.
$FLOKI continues to advance towards the 4690 support area. It will probably put up some resistance when it reaches that level.
For-Exx Kripto
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Bearish
Unless there's a big surprise, $FLOKI could continue to advance towards the 4690 support area. It's risen a lot since the first day of the year, so a profit taking is definitely expected. {spot}(FLOKIUSDT)
Luna Classic (LUNC): Why Am I Technically Positive?
In crypto markets, there are certain assets that are discussed more for their behavior than for their price movements. Luna Classic fits exactly into this category. Despite years of pressure, a traumatic past, and being declared “dead” countless times, the community’s refusal to abandon the coin generates meaningful data from a technical analysis perspective on its own. The Community Factor: Resistance Reflected on the Chart
LUNC does not behave like a speculative hype coin. On the contrary:
Volume does not completely dry up during sharp declines The tendency to hold during prolonged sideways movement is preserved At critical support zones, what a p p ears is not panic, but defense These behaviors create discipline on the chart, not randomness. The December 5 Move: Not a Coincidence
The approximately 120% rise on December 5 was not a “pump” for me, but a recalibration process. What truly mattered was this: The clarification of support–resistance lines on the daily chart after the move Wicks behaving in a level-respecting manner rather than chaotically A price that was previously scattered settling into technical rules afterward This is not something seen often in the market. Most coins lose their structure after such moves. LUNC did the opposite. Daily Chart: A “Settled” Structure On the daily chart after December 5: Horizontal levels are clean Previous highs act as meaningful resistance Lows are not random, but defended within the same range This type of structure is what technical analysts favor. Because: Risk can be clearly defined Scenarios can be constructed Stops and targets can be placed logically Not a Psychological Break, but Technical Maturation
There is an important distinction here. This process is not merely a “psychological recovery”; it is technical maturation. The price is: Less manipulative Less irregular More respectful of levels And this tells me one thing: The market has begun to reprice $LUNC . Conclusion: Why Am I Positive? As a technical analyst, this is what I see when I look at LUNC: A community that has not abandoned the project A chart moving from chaos into discipline A price structure that settles rather than disperses after a strong rally For this reason, I have been technically positive since December 5. This does not mean “it will immediately take off.” But it does mean it is an asset whose chart deserves to be taken seriously.
USTC – LUNC – The 1 Dollar Scenario: A Crypto Trilogy
*Part I USTC at 1 Dollar: What Does the Return of a Stablecoin Mean?** $USTC returning to 1 dollar would be a rare event in crypto markets. This would not merely represent a price recovery, but a reopening of the debate around algorithmic stablecoins. USTC is, after all, one of the most well-known examples to have been labeled a “failed model” following its historical collapse. Reaching 1 dollar would not initially be perceived by the market as a victory, but as a test. The peg would be monitored not for days or weeks, but for months. During this period, USTC would not be evaluated alongside reserve-backed stablecoins such as USDT or USDC, but rather within the category of “restructured experimental assets.” The critical distinction here is this: If USTC succeeds, the market is forced to once again accept the idea that “there is no single correct stablecoin model.” This hardens regulatory debates while simultaneously expanding the space for innovation. However, the real test for USTC is not reaching 1 dollar, but remaining there quietly. When the noise fades and the peg is still intact, only then can USTC be said to have truly returned to the market. **Part II LUNC: Can a Token Gain Function Before Price?** $LUNC ’s fate is not independent of USTC. But this connection must not be speculative; it must be mechanical and structural. If USTC’s balance is maintained through burn, utility, or stabilization mechanisms operating on LUNC, then LUNC’s role changes entirely. At this point, LUNC: Ceases to be “a token left over from a collapse” Becomes one of the carrying elements of the ecosystem The most important consequence of this transformation is the following: Demand for LUNC would no longer stem from expectations of “price appreciation,” but from mandatory demand created by a functioning system. This is the common trait of tokens that generate lasting value in crypto markets. Those that rise through speculation fall quickly; those that gain value through function progress slowly, but firmly. At this stage, LUNC does not yet need to be 1 dollar. The truly critical threshold is whether the market begins to take LUNC seriously again. **Part III 1 Dollar LUNC: A Price Target or a Break in Market Memory?** LUNC reaching 1 dollar would not be recorded in crypto markets as a “rally,” but as a break in collective memory. Because this level represents not just a technical or mathematical target, but the surpassing of a point once described as “impossible.” If this were to happen, the market would be forced to confront the following questions: Do projects declared completely dead ever truly end? Can community strength and time replace capital? Is long-term restructuring more effective than short-term hype? A 1 dollar LUNC also introduces a new danger to the market: false generalization. The belief that every fallen project could “become LUNC” encourages excessive risk-taking. For this reason, this scenario produces not only hope, but responsibility. If LUNC can demonstrate permanence at this level, it would no longer be referred to as an altcoin, but as one of the greatest examples of restructuring in crypto history. The Shared Conclusion of the Trilogy When USTC, LUNC, and the 1 dollar scenario are evaluated together, the resulting picture is as follows: USTC → the system’s balance test LUNC → the system’s carrying force 1 Dollar → the market’s psychological threshold Unless all three function simultaneously, the story remains incomplete. But if they do work together, a new narrative emerges for crypto markets: “Some projects do not die. They simply remain silent for a very long time.”
$PEPE continues its weak performance; the 572 level is very important and should not be broken. If it is broken, it could fall to the 392 level. If it could have risen above 768, it would have turned positive, but they didn't allow it.
Nasdaq is down about 1% today, just like yesterday, but $BTC is rising. There's been no correlation between them for the past two days. If Bitcoin closes above 94652 today, the upward movement could extend to 101000.
$LUNC continues its movements within the wedge, the wedge price range will narrow day by day, and as it narrows, the breakout will be more violent. As I said, I think they will keep tightening it at least until June, unless there is a big surprise...
$BONK should be trading within the 897-1365 range I indicated. A move above 1365 would be positive, but it seems like it will likely sideways between the levels I've mentioned.
XRP managed to break through and close above an intermediate resistance level yesterday. We'll know more clearly at the end of the day whether the upward movement late yesterday was a short clearing operation or the first step towards an uptrend. There's a very important US Supreme Court decision on tariffs today. $XRP