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CryptoOutlook 2026 | BTC & Altcoin – What’s Next
By the end of 2025, three major signals are supporting the market:
• M2 continues to expand → Global liquidity remains strong
• RUT (Russell 2000) breakout → Risk-on sentiment is returning aggressively
• Total3 recovery & accumulation → The foundation for an Altcoin Season is still intact. But patience is required, and the focus should be on Top 100 coins, especially those tied to real-world assets.
📌 2026 Quarterly Outlook
• Q1/2026: BTC in accumulation phase – strong macro volatility while the market prepares to form a trend
January: $84,000 – $98,000
February: $92,000 – $110,000
March: $108,000 – $118,000
• Q2/2026: High probability of a strong BTC breakout – this is when Altcoins may start accelerating
→ Details will be updated in the comments
• Q3/2026: If liquidity continues to flow → Altcoin Season confirmation, capital rotates from BTC to Altcoins
→ Details will be updated in the comments
• Q4/2026: Either continuation of the rally or an adjustment phase – depending on liquidity strength & monetary policy
→ BTC officially reaches $200,000
🔥 Is Altcoin Season still possible?
→ Yes. But ONLY if:
1️⃣ BTC maintains a sustainable uptrend
2️⃣ BTC dominance declines
3️⃣ Liquidity (M2) continues expanding
4️⃣ RUT remains strongly “risk-on”
👉 2026 may not just be a Bitcoin story – it could be a year of smart capital allocation into Altcoins at the right time.
👉 And no, the scenario of BTC falling back to $70,000 is no longer on the table.
note : $SEI Blockchain on Moblie app web3 on phone android.
By the end of 2025, three major signals are supporting the market:
• M2 continues to expand → Global liquidity remains strong
• RUT (Russell 2000) breakout → Risk-on sentiment is returning aggressively
• Total3 recovery & accumulation → The foundation for an Altcoin Season is still intact. But patience is required, and the focus should be on Top 100 coins, especially those tied to real-world assets.
📌 2026 Quarterly Outlook
• Q1/2026: BTC in accumulation phase – strong macro volatility while the market prepares to form a trend
January: $84,000 – $98,000
February: $92,000 – $110,000
March: $108,000 – $118,000
• Q2/2026: High probability of a strong BTC breakout – this is when Altcoins may start accelerating
→ Details will be updated in the comments
• Q3/2026: If liquidity continues to flow → Altcoin Season confirmation, capital rotates from BTC to Altcoins
→ Details will be updated in the comments
• Q4/2026: Either continuation of the rally or an adjustment phase – depending on liquidity strength & monetary policy
→ BTC officially reaches $200,000
🔥 Is Altcoin Season still possible?
→ Yes. But ONLY if:
1️⃣ BTC maintains a sustainable uptrend
2️⃣ BTC dominance declines
3️⃣ Liquidity (M2) continues expanding
4️⃣ RUT remains strongly “risk-on”
👉 2026 may not just be a Bitcoin story – it could be a year of smart capital allocation into Altcoins at the right time.
👉 And no, the scenario of BTC falling back to $70,000 is no longer on the table.
note : $SEI Blockchain on Moblie app web3 on phone android.
See original
Following the trend again, compensating for the two orders last night 😂
Roni John
--
Bearish
🔥 Good morning, my brothers! I'm quite tired this morning after staying up all night worrying about two losing trades. It's not the loss that's sad, but the wrong signals that put my brothers in a life-or-death situation! Let's update together this morning:
• $BTC entry after 5 rounds of DCA with added VOL: $95,645 - volume 300,000$ with a loss of 8,000$ when Bitcoin hit its peak last night! This position is completely comfortable and will be held until the take-profit target is reached.
• $ZEC entry still at $417.67 - volume 30,000$. Quite a mistake in assessing that $XMR and Zcash were in the same wave. ZEC said no, completely independent from Monero, and the chart is quite strong. Will consider closing when the position breaks even.
From quick trades to difficult ones. However, since our main VOL is focused on Bitcoin, we shouldn't be too emotional. The correction rhythm from the Elder is already in place—let's just wait for the ship to dock 🫡
• $BTC entry after 5 rounds of DCA with added VOL: $95,645 - volume 300,000$ with a loss of 8,000$ when Bitcoin hit its peak last night! This position is completely comfortable and will be held until the take-profit target is reached.
• $ZEC entry still at $417.67 - volume 30,000$. Quite a mistake in assessing that $XMR and Zcash were in the same wave. ZEC said no, completely independent from Monero, and the chart is quite strong. Will consider closing when the position breaks even.
From quick trades to difficult ones. However, since our main VOL is focused on Bitcoin, we shouldn't be too emotional. The correction rhythm from the Elder is already in place—let's just wait for the ship to dock 🫡
Sourced by user sharing on Binance
See original
Chart BTC was misread, it scanned upward following the structure.
ZEC has strong support at 450 with FVG 454-468 when he was live, following that trend
ZEC has strong support at 450 with FVG 454-468 when he was live, following that trend
Roni John
--
Bearish
🔥 Good morning, my brothers! I'm quite tired this morning after staying up all night worrying about two losing trades. It's not the loss that's sad, but the wrong signals that put my brothers in a life-or-death situation! Let's update together this morning:
• $BTC entry after 5 rounds of DCA with added VOL: $95,645 - volume 300,000$ with a loss of 8,000$ when Bitcoin hit its peak last night! This position is completely comfortable and will be held until the take-profit target is reached.
• $ZEC entry still at $417.67 - volume 30,000$. Quite a mistake in assessing that $XMR and Zcash were in the same wave. ZEC said no, completely independent from Monero, and the chart is quite strong. Will consider closing when the position breaks even.
From quick trades to difficult ones. However, since our main VOL is focused on Bitcoin, we shouldn't be too emotional. The correction rhythm from the Elder is already in place—let's just wait for the ship to dock 🫡
• $BTC entry after 5 rounds of DCA with added VOL: $95,645 - volume 300,000$ with a loss of 8,000$ when Bitcoin hit its peak last night! This position is completely comfortable and will be held until the take-profit target is reached.
• $ZEC entry still at $417.67 - volume 30,000$. Quite a mistake in assessing that $XMR and Zcash were in the same wave. ZEC said no, completely independent from Monero, and the chart is quite strong. Will consider closing when the position breaks even.
From quick trades to difficult ones. However, since our main VOL is focused on Bitcoin, we shouldn't be too emotional. The correction rhythm from the Elder is already in place—let's just wait for the ship to dock 🫡
Sourced by user sharing on Binance
See original
be late a bit but still manage
Roni John
--
Bearish
🔥 I won't say that I'm having a heart attack right now, Short $BTC ! Still very confident, my friends!
With the Mèo session opening up with a 1-stick increase like this, it's highly likely there will be a correction wave that you've been waiting for by the end and middle of the session! I'll wait a bit more.
Currently still updating you: I still have 2 open orders holding on:
• BTC Short entry $95,406 - Volume 220k$
• $ZEC Short entry $417.67 - Volume 30K$
These 2 orders have already reached max volume, no more DCA will be added, just sit back and wait for the candle!
With the Mèo session opening up with a 1-stick increase like this, it's highly likely there will be a correction wave that you've been waiting for by the end and middle of the session! I'll wait a bit more.
Currently still updating you: I still have 2 open orders holding on:
• BTC Short entry $95,406 - Volume 220k$
• $ZEC Short entry $417.67 - Volume 30K$
These 2 orders have already reached max volume, no more DCA will be added, just sit back and wait for the candle!
Done TP3. Goodluck Every Body
$BTC Round 2.
Image Information trade!
Image Information trade!
See original
Cut to prepare for opening the box for 95k
A, is e still holding BTC 93.5 and ETH 3182, will it hold, or should I cut?
$BTC CPI came exactly as expected.
Headline steady. Core slightly softer.
No inflation shock.
Now the market watches liquidity, not CPI.
BTC comeback 89K After Bullrun 96K
Headline steady. Core slightly softer.
No inflation shock.
Now the market watches liquidity, not CPI.
BTC comeback 89K After Bullrun 96K
CPI steady - Core CPI softer. Inflation is cooling without breaking the economy.
CPI December 2025: Why This Data Matters More Than It Looks
At first glance, December CPI looks boring.
Headline CPI came in exactly at expectations, while Core CPI printed slightly lower.
But markets don’t move on numbers alone — they move on direction and pressure.
What this data tells us is clear:
👉 Inflation is no longer accelerating.
👉 Disinflation is stable, not collapsing demand.
👉 The Fed’s biggest enemy is no longer inflation — it’s timing.
A softer Core CPI suggests underlying price pressures are cooling without breaking the economy. This is the best-case scenario for risk assets.
That’s why this CPI print isn’t a catalyst — it’s a permission slip.
Permission for:
Liquidity to remain supportiveFinancial conditions to stay looseRisk assets to keep trending, not crashing
Markets now shift focus away from CPI headlines and toward:
Liquidity flowsPositioningCentral bank signaling
As long as inflation stays contained, price action will be driven by liquidity, not fear.
This is how bull markets continue — quietly, before headlines catch up.
At first glance, December CPI looks boring.
Headline CPI came in exactly at expectations, while Core CPI printed slightly lower.
But markets don’t move on numbers alone — they move on direction and pressure.
What this data tells us is clear:
👉 Inflation is no longer accelerating.
👉 Disinflation is stable, not collapsing demand.
👉 The Fed’s biggest enemy is no longer inflation — it’s timing.
A softer Core CPI suggests underlying price pressures are cooling without breaking the economy. This is the best-case scenario for risk assets.
That’s why this CPI print isn’t a catalyst — it’s a permission slip.
Permission for:
Liquidity to remain supportiveFinancial conditions to stay looseRisk assets to keep trending, not crashing
Markets now shift focus away from CPI headlines and toward:
Liquidity flowsPositioningCentral bank signaling
As long as inflation stays contained, price action will be driven by liquidity, not fear.
This is how bull markets continue — quietly, before headlines catch up.
See original
Cut you off, keep going down
ltc this way is hard to bear, still struggling, bro
If you’re waiting for altseason while BTC dominance is rising,
you’re watching the wrong signal.
BTC Dominance rising is not bearish for alts.
It’s a liquidity warning.
Late-cycle markets don’t chase upside.
They seek safety first.
BTC absorbs fear.
Altseason only starts when excess liquidity rotates — not hope.
Before alts run:
BTC → Dominance peak → Infrastructure leads → Apps → Memes (top).
Right now, we’re still early.
Position for structure, not noise.
you’re watching the wrong signal.
BTC Dominance rising is not bearish for alts.
It’s a liquidity warning.
Late-cycle markets don’t chase upside.
They seek safety first.
BTC absorbs fear.
Altseason only starts when excess liquidity rotates — not hope.
Before alts run:
BTC → Dominance peak → Infrastructure leads → Apps → Memes (top).
Right now, we’re still early.
Position for structure, not noise.
BTC Dominance rising is not bearish for alts. It’s a liquidity warning
BTC Dominance Is Not a Threat — It’s a Warning
Most traders misunderstand BTC Dominance.They see it rising and assume:
“Altcoins are dead.”
That’s not what the market is saying.
BTC Dominance rises when liquidity is defensive, not when opportunity disappears.
This is a late-cycle market, not an expansion phase
In late-cycle conditions:
Geopolitical risk increasesMonetary policy becomes reactiveLiquidity tightens unevenlyVolatility is suppressed, then released violently
Capital does not seek growth first.
It seeks survival. That is why Bitcoin absorbs flows. BTC here is not a risk asset.
It is a liquidity shelter. Why Altcoin Season Hasn’t Started (Yet)
Altcoin season is not triggered by:
HopeGood newsNarrativesSocial engagement*Altcoin season starts with excess liquidity.Right now:Liquidity is concentrated, not distributedRisk appetite is selectiveCapital prefers reversibility
That’s why most alt rallies feel:
ShallowShort-livedEasy to fade* These are not trends - They are liquidity tests.
The Rotation Everyone Misses
Market cycles don’t rotate randomly. They follow a strict hierarchy:
BTC absorbs uncertaintyBTC Dominance peaksInfrastructure (Infra) leads rotationApplications followMemes mark the emotional top
Retail waits for step 4.
Institutions position at step 2–3.
Right now, we are still between step 1 and 2.
Why Infrastructure Matters Now
Infrastructure does not outperform during BTC dominance. It accumulates quietly. Infra matters because it:
Benefits from future liquidity, not current hypeRepresents system-level convictionSurvives multiple cycles
Infra is not a trade - It’s a position.
Capital moves into infra before narratives turn bullish — never after.
The Image Tells the Same Story
The chaos in the image — politics, war, machines, money — points to one thing:
A world becoming:
More complexMore automatedMore fragile
In such systems, value concentrates into
Neutral money (BTC)Foundational systems (Infra)
Not into speculation. The Real Risk Right Now
The biggest risk is not missing altseason.The real risk is:
Overtrading chopChasing false breakoutsMistaking liquidity noise for trendLate-cycle markets punish impatience.
Final Takeaway
This is not a market to predict. It’s a market to position.
BTC = capital preservationInfra = early rotation exposureAlts = patience, not aggressionWhen BTC Dominance finally turns,structure will move first — not hype.And by then, positioning will matter more than timing.
Most traders misunderstand BTC Dominance.They see it rising and assume:
“Altcoins are dead.”
That’s not what the market is saying.
BTC Dominance rises when liquidity is defensive, not when opportunity disappears.
This is a late-cycle market, not an expansion phase
In late-cycle conditions:
Geopolitical risk increasesMonetary policy becomes reactiveLiquidity tightens unevenlyVolatility is suppressed, then released violently
Capital does not seek growth first.
It seeks survival. That is why Bitcoin absorbs flows. BTC here is not a risk asset.
It is a liquidity shelter. Why Altcoin Season Hasn’t Started (Yet)
Altcoin season is not triggered by:
HopeGood newsNarrativesSocial engagement*Altcoin season starts with excess liquidity.Right now:Liquidity is concentrated, not distributedRisk appetite is selectiveCapital prefers reversibility
That’s why most alt rallies feel:
ShallowShort-livedEasy to fade* These are not trends - They are liquidity tests.
The Rotation Everyone Misses
Market cycles don’t rotate randomly. They follow a strict hierarchy:
BTC absorbs uncertaintyBTC Dominance peaksInfrastructure (Infra) leads rotationApplications followMemes mark the emotional top
Retail waits for step 4.
Institutions position at step 2–3.
Right now, we are still between step 1 and 2.
Why Infrastructure Matters Now
Infrastructure does not outperform during BTC dominance. It accumulates quietly. Infra matters because it:
Benefits from future liquidity, not current hypeRepresents system-level convictionSurvives multiple cycles
Infra is not a trade - It’s a position.
Capital moves into infra before narratives turn bullish — never after.
The Image Tells the Same Story
The chaos in the image — politics, war, machines, money — points to one thing:
A world becoming:
More complexMore automatedMore fragile
In such systems, value concentrates into
Neutral money (BTC)Foundational systems (Infra)
Not into speculation. The Real Risk Right Now
The biggest risk is not missing altseason.The real risk is:
Overtrading chopChasing false breakoutsMistaking liquidity noise for trendLate-cycle markets punish impatience.
Final Takeaway
This is not a market to predict. It’s a market to position.
BTC = capital preservationInfra = early rotation exposureAlts = patience, not aggressionWhen BTC Dominance finally turns,structure will move first — not hype.And by then, positioning will matter more than timing.
ok
Binance Vietnam
--
🚀 Join the Binance Square Vietnam Content Creation Program! 🚀
From January 7th to February 7th, creators, KOLs, and active traders in Vietnam are invited to showcase their creativity and build their personal brands on Binance Square – the leading platform for Web3 creators!
💥How to participate:
1. Create at least 3 original, in-depth posts about Binance Square on external social media platforms such as Twitter, Facebook, Telegram, etc.
2. Ensure at least 1 post is published directly on Binance Square
3. Share about standout features such as Livestream, tips, gifts, trade sharing, and success in earning money.
4. Use the hashtag #BinanceSquareWithYou in all your posts
5. Submit your content via the provided link Bsurvey
💰Prizes
The top 30 creators with the most unique, insightful, and impactful content will receive exclusive Binance gift packages. Winners will be contacted within 14 working days after the program ends, so please make sure to provide a valid shipping address.
Don't miss this opportunity to elevate your creative journey and become part of the fastest-growing Web3 creator platform!
For more details and to submit your entries, join our official Telegram group or contact the Binance Vietnam team. Let's create and grow together!
From January 7th to February 7th, creators, KOLs, and active traders in Vietnam are invited to showcase their creativity and build their personal brands on Binance Square – the leading platform for Web3 creators!
💥How to participate:
1. Create at least 3 original, in-depth posts about Binance Square on external social media platforms such as Twitter, Facebook, Telegram, etc.
2. Ensure at least 1 post is published directly on Binance Square
3. Share about standout features such as Livestream, tips, gifts, trade sharing, and success in earning money.
4. Use the hashtag #BinanceSquareWithYou in all your posts
5. Submit your content via the provided link Bsurvey
💰Prizes
The top 30 creators with the most unique, insightful, and impactful content will receive exclusive Binance gift packages. Winners will be contacted within 14 working days after the program ends, so please make sure to provide a valid shipping address.
Don't miss this opportunity to elevate your creative journey and become part of the fastest-growing Web3 creator platform!
For more details and to submit your entries, join our official Telegram group or contact the Binance Vietnam team. Let's create and grow together!
BTC Dominance is rising 📈
When dominance moves up, liquidity flows back to BTC — Altcoins tend to bleed.
⚠️ For Altcoin traders:
• Stay defensive, avoid over-leverage
• Only take high-conviction setups with strong volume & narrative
• Be careful with short-term pumps
💡 A real Altseason usually starts when BTC.D tops and weakens.
Capital preservation > profits.
Opportunities never disappear — capital does.
$BTC
When dominance moves up, liquidity flows back to BTC — Altcoins tend to bleed.
⚠️ For Altcoin traders:
• Stay defensive, avoid over-leverage
• Only take high-conviction setups with strong volume & narrative
• Be careful with short-term pumps
💡 A real Altseason usually starts when BTC.D tops and weakens.
Capital preservation > profits.
Opportunities never disappear — capital does.
$BTC
See original
$BERA Everyone should not follow the call bet on this artist's horse, beware of encountering a Daoist.
If you want to bet on this horse, bet quickly and then dodge. I've timed the BTC quite accurately
If you want to bet on this horse, bet quickly and then dodge. I've timed the BTC quite accurately
See original
Done TP2
Done TP1. Waiting TP2 everybody
Done TP1. Waiting TP2 everybody
$BTC Round 2.
Image Information trade!
Image Information trade!
$BTC BTC Is Still Trapped Inside the Box
Bitcoin is currently consolidating inside a clear range between $90.2K and $91.3K after being strongly rejected from $92.5K. This price action suggests distribution rather than accumulation at this stage.
On the 4H timeframe, BTC remains below the MA50, indicating that the broader momentum is still weak. Moving averages are compressed, showing a lack of directional conviction. RSI is hovering below neutral, leaving room for further downside liquidity grabs.
On 1H and 15M, multiple attempts to reclaim the top of the range have failed with declining volume, a classic sign of buyer exhaustion. The sharp rejection from $92.5K reinforces the idea that higher prices are currently being sold into by larger players.
Key takeaway:
BTC is not ready for a clean breakout yet. A real breakout only becomes valid with:
• A strong 1H close above $91.3K
• Noticeable volume expansion
• Successful retest holding above the range
Until then, this remains a market maker range, where liquidity is hunted on both sides. Expect fake breakouts and stop hunts before any decisive move.
📌 Patience beats prediction in a boxed market.
Bitcoin is currently consolidating inside a clear range between $90.2K and $91.3K after being strongly rejected from $92.5K. This price action suggests distribution rather than accumulation at this stage.
On the 4H timeframe, BTC remains below the MA50, indicating that the broader momentum is still weak. Moving averages are compressed, showing a lack of directional conviction. RSI is hovering below neutral, leaving room for further downside liquidity grabs.
On 1H and 15M, multiple attempts to reclaim the top of the range have failed with declining volume, a classic sign of buyer exhaustion. The sharp rejection from $92.5K reinforces the idea that higher prices are currently being sold into by larger players.
Key takeaway:
BTC is not ready for a clean breakout yet. A real breakout only becomes valid with:
• A strong 1H close above $91.3K
• Noticeable volume expansion
• Successful retest holding above the range
Until then, this remains a market maker range, where liquidity is hunted on both sides. Expect fake breakouts and stop hunts before any decisive move.
📌 Patience beats prediction in a boxed market.
BTC Is Still Trapped Inside the Box
Bitcoin is currently consolidating inside a clear range between $90.2K and $91.3K after being strongly rejected from $92.5K. This price action suggests distribution rather than accumulation at this stage.
On the 4H timeframe, BTC remains below the MA50, indicating that the broader momentum is still weak. Moving averages are compressed, showing a lack of directional conviction. RSI is hovering below neutral, leaving room for further downside liquidity grabs.
On 1H and 15M, multiple attempts to reclaim the top of the range have failed with declining volume, a classic sign of buyer exhaustion. The sharp rejection from $92.5K reinforces the idea that higher prices are currently being sold into by larger players.
Key takeaway:
BTC is not ready for a clean breakout yet. A real breakout only becomes valid with:
• A strong 1H close above $91.3K
• Noticeable volume expansion
• Successful retest holding above the range
Until then, this remains a market maker range, where liquidity is hunted on both sides. Expect fake breakouts and stop hunts before any decisive move.
📌 Patience beats prediction in a boxed market.$BTC
Bitcoin is currently consolidating inside a clear range between $90.2K and $91.3K after being strongly rejected from $92.5K. This price action suggests distribution rather than accumulation at this stage.
On the 4H timeframe, BTC remains below the MA50, indicating that the broader momentum is still weak. Moving averages are compressed, showing a lack of directional conviction. RSI is hovering below neutral, leaving room for further downside liquidity grabs.
On 1H and 15M, multiple attempts to reclaim the top of the range have failed with declining volume, a classic sign of buyer exhaustion. The sharp rejection from $92.5K reinforces the idea that higher prices are currently being sold into by larger players.
Key takeaway:
BTC is not ready for a clean breakout yet. A real breakout only becomes valid with:
• A strong 1H close above $91.3K
• Noticeable volume expansion
• Successful retest holding above the range
Until then, this remains a market maker range, where liquidity is hunted on both sides. Expect fake breakouts and stop hunts before any decisive move.
📌 Patience beats prediction in a boxed market.$BTC
See original
The transfer is over, compared to the previous milestone, you can see
Long-term holders have started selling $BTC again.
Not a good sign.
Not a good sign.
$BTC Round 2.
Image Information trade!
Image Information trade!
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