CryptoWithClarissa

Many on-chain data show that the amount of BTC leaving exchanges is increasing, with long-term wallets accumulating strongly.
On-chain looks good but the price is still falling → due to short-term selling pressure being greater.
This is a stage where the market is redistributing supply.
Newcomers look at the price → panic
Those who understand look at the data → stay calm
Experience:
Combine chart + on-chain to make decisions.
A price decrease does not mean the market is bad – it's only bad when you do not understand the bigger picture.

Newbie likes junk coins x10, x50, x100.
Coin x100 is real, but most appear from the early stage of the cycle – not when everyone knows about it.
When you know → they have bought low for a long time.
Getting in late → becoming the one paying for those who got in earlier.
Experience:
Want x5–x10: choose mid-cap projects + have reasonable tokenomics.
Finding junk coin x100 won't make you rich – it makes you poor faster.
#BTC #ETH #crypto #trading #ClarissaCrypto

Good macro news does not pull crypto up as strongly as expected.
Because institutional money is still standing outside observing.
The market wants to be more certain rather than FOMO early.
Newbies just hear good news and jump in → usually miss the timing.
Good news does not mean to enter a trade immediately.
Good news + clear technical signals = safe moment.
Good news is just one part of the game – it’s not a life-changing ticket.
#BTC #ETH #crypto #trading #ClarissaCrypto

Newbie gets stopped out, the playing field is unfair.
Most newbies' stops are placed too obviously: right above/below small support.
The big fish know this and push the price there to clean up the board.
Experience:
Set a wider stop.
Base on larger timeframes (H4 – D1) instead of M5 – M15.
Only trade when there is a setup, don't trade out of boredom.Stop-loss is not wrong. The mistake is how you set it.#BTC #ETH #crypto #trading #ClarissaCrypto

Surveys show that most newcomers buy when market sentiment is extremely optimistic.
When the press releases good news → it is often at the end of a wave.
When the chart is at its most 'beautiful' → it is again the time when big players sell.
When you feel like 'it's definitely going to rise more' → that is a false signal.
Only buy when:
The price returns to support
Volume decreases
Market sentiment is fearfulThe market doesn't harm you – your habits are what harm you.#BTC #ETH #crypto #trading #ClarissaCrypto

Sideways makes many newbies bored, give up, and not trade.
Sideways is when skilled traders 'print money' through scalping & swing.
Newbies like to trade during strong fluctuations – more likely to get killed.
When the market is sideways:
Reduce leverage
Play the resistance area
Light trading, with clear stopsFrustration is the emotion that kills accounts faster than FOMO.#BTC #ETH #crypto #trading #ClarissaCrypto

Altcoins dropped dramatically by 10–30% while BTC only fell slightly.
When the market is weak → alt is the first victim.
But it is the strong drop that creates a large profit margin for those who know how to analyze projects.
Only choose altcoins with good fundamentals, still have cash flow, do not choose those coins that are 'trending for a week'.
Only enter when BTC is stable.
Altcoins dropping is not scary – what is scary is you chasing coins that have no future.
#BTC #ETH #crypto #trading #ClarissaCrypto

On the morning of 21/11, BTC continued to adjust but the number of long-term holding wallets increased significantly.
Newbies panic, the wealthy add more.
Wealthy holders see sharp drops as a “discount” – like Black Friday.
They accumulate when the market is fearful because they understand the nature of the cycle.
The more newbies look at the chart, the more confused they become → it's easy to sell at the bottom.
It's not that falling prices are bad. What's bad is not knowing what you're doing.
Newbies run, the wealthy accumulate.

Crises scare everyone. But the paradox in crypto is: the easiest money is made when everyone is fleeing.
Low price → reduced risk → increased profit margin if there is a rebound.
Many altcoins fall deeply → but quality projects still survive → low DCA opportunities.
Condition: have capital – have a plan – no FOMO.
The fear of others → is your safety margin.
Before wanting to 'make money', make sure you know to 'wait for the right moment'.

Many people buy the right Bitcoin, the right ETH… but still lose money.
Simply put: they entered at the wrong time.
Strong coins also have cycles of increase – decrease – adjustment.
Newbies often enter when the market is heating up → get swept up in emotions → buy at the peak.
Solution: start looking at support – resistance zones; buy when the market shows signals of recovery from a strong zone; do not buy when there are continuous green candles.
Just like buying a house, location is important – but timing is even more important.

On 20/11, Bitcoin continued to fluctuate weakly, but the number of large wallets (whales) continued to increase – contrary to the general sentiment of the market.
When the price drops but large wallets increase → it is often a sign that whales are quietly accumulating at a low price.
Newbies tend to panic → sell at the bottom → giving their assets to whales.
Note: whales accumulating does not mean the market will immediately rise – sometimes it even drops further to teach FOMO a lesson.
A price drop is not always bad – sometimes it is an opportunity for 'smart money'.

The Financial Services Agency of Japan (FSA) is considering regulating crypto as a 'financial product', while reducing the crypto profit tax to 20% compared to the very high current rate.
If approved, crypto in Japan will be more clearly legalized → increasing the potential for individual and institutional capital flows into the Japanese crypto market.
Lower taxes make holding crypto in Japan more attractive than before.

Erik Thedéen – Chairman of the Basel Committee on Banking Supervision – calls for changes to capital regulations for banks holding crypto assets, as current rules require them to maintain extremely high capital levels for bitcoin and other blockchain assets.
If Basel changes the regulations, banks may find it easier to hold crypto → significant potential capital inflow.
But if the regulations continue to be strict → banks will avoid crypto → reducing institutional capital flow.

The sharp decline in Bitcoin has led many to think that crypto itself is weak.
But news from AP indicates that the crash is part of a large sell-off in traditional financial markets as stock indices plummet.
When major stock markets like S&P 500 and DAX also fall sharply, it signals that risk capital is withdrawing from all risky assets, not just crypto.
This means that the pressure on Bitcoin comes not only from within crypto but also from the macro global financial situation.

Sentiment data shows that the crypto market is extremely panicked as BTC prices plummet. This is the time when many newcomers give up, but it's also when some people wisely pick the bottom.
When people are extremely fearful → the potential for long-term accumulation is higher because many panic sell.
Newbie if still holding cash → should consider buying gradually, especially at strong support zones.
Experience: divide capital into many parts, use DCA for long-term capital, place small orders to catch falling knives.

According to Reuters, the Financial Services Agency of Japan (FSA) is considering new regulations for crypto: reducing the tax on profits from crypto transactions from a high level (up to 55% in some places) to 20%, and designating crypto as a financial product subject to rules like insider trading.
If this regulation is passed, it will be a significant reduction in fees for individual crypto investors in Japan – opening the door for personal and institutional capital into the market.

According to Thanh Niên, the price of Bitcoin has increased by about 1% on the morning of November 19 after the drop below 90,000 USD the day before.
This recovery phase is a sign of a high-probability retrace: buyers may catch the bottom or accumulate from the low region.
However, a slight recovery may not necessarily indicate a strong reversal – if the volume is not large or if there is no institutional buying pressure.
Newbie experience: it's advisable to use a small portion of capital to catch this recovery if you believe in the bottom, but still keep a lot of capital to continue buying if the price drops deeper or breaks out again.

According to AP News, Bitcoin temporarily dropped to about $89,500 on November 18 before bouncing back up to ~93,600 USD.
The drop below $90,000 indicates that the market is going through a strong cleansing phase – those using high leverage or inexperienced traders may be forced out.
But the quick rebound is a sign that buyers still have strength, or that the 'whales' are accumulating after the sell-off.
Newbie experience: this is not the time to rush into buying, but rather a moment to observe. Place light limit buy orders or gradually allocate if you believe in Bitcoin for the long term.

Breaking news on 19/11: According to MarketWatch, the iShares Bitcoin ETF (IBIT) recorded a massive withdrawal – about 1.6 billion USD from 30/10 to 17/11, with one day alone seeing ~447 million USD withdrawn.
This is a clear signal that institutional capital is withdrawing from BTC – not a massive sell-off.
The reason may be due to lower expectations of Fed rate cuts or increased macroeconomic risks → ETF investors need to shift capital to safer places.

Some experts warn: if Bitcoin breaks the 90,000 USD level, the next strong support may be around 75,000 USD.
Know the important support and resistance areas that help traders to be more proactive:
Know when the market is weak
Know when to reduce risk
Know where the buying money can appear
For newcomers:
Should set clear stop-loss points
Should not invest all capital into one price point