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CryptoScenarios

Análisis claro de $BTC, $ETH y altcoins clave. Escenarios, niveles y contexto para decidir sin hype.
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📌 Quick market summary (today): mixed crypto + macro pressure • BTC drops slightly (~95.3K) • ETH and XRP correct, while SOL holds up better ✅ Meanwhile, safe havens are also cooling down: • Silver falls ~2% (after recent rally) • Gold retreats with less geopolitical tension 📉 And watch out for the factor that usually moves everything: strong employment data in the U.S. = less likelihood of rate cuts soon, which typically pressures "risk-on" assets (crypto included). 👉 On days like this, rather than chasing pumps, it helps to look at which assets resist the drop better. Which one is showing more relative strength today on your radar: $SOL , $BTC or $ETH ? 👇 #Crypto #macroeconomy #Bitcoin
📌 Quick market summary (today): mixed crypto + macro pressure
• BTC drops slightly (~95.3K)
• ETH and XRP correct, while SOL holds up better ✅
Meanwhile, safe havens are also cooling down:
• Silver falls ~2% (after recent rally)
• Gold retreats with less geopolitical tension
📉 And watch out for the factor that usually moves everything:
strong employment data in the U.S. = less likelihood of rate cuts soon, which typically pressures "risk-on" assets (crypto included).
👉 On days like this, rather than chasing pumps, it helps to look at which assets resist the drop better.
Which one is showing more relative strength today on your radar: $SOL , $BTC or $ETH ? 👇
#Crypto #macroeconomy #Bitcoin
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IBIT (BlackRock) inflows: What does this chart tell us about Bitcoin This chart shows 2 things: 🟩 Green bars = daily inflows (entries of the day) → days with high entries = more buying via spot ETF. ⬛️ Black line = accumulated inflows (historical total) → if this line rises, it means that overall, capital continues to flow in even if some days are negative. 📌 The important thing: Although daily inflows have ups and downs, the total accumulated continues to trend upwards → institutional demand remains active. This does not guarantee an immediate rally, but it is usually a strong "narrative floor" for $BTC when the market enters consolidation mode. $BTC #Bitcoin #ETFs
IBIT (BlackRock) inflows: What does this chart tell us about Bitcoin
This chart shows 2 things:
🟩 Green bars = daily inflows (entries of the day) → days with high entries = more buying via spot ETF.
⬛️ Black line = accumulated inflows (historical total) → if this line rises, it means that overall, capital continues to flow in even if some days are negative.
📌 The important thing:
Although daily inflows have ups and downs, the total accumulated continues to trend upwards → institutional demand remains active.
This does not guarantee an immediate rally, but it is usually a strong "narrative floor" for $BTC when the market enters consolidation mode.
$BTC #Bitcoin #ETFs
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📌 I just published my weekly Market Wrap, I invite you to check it out ✅ BTC and ETH are consolidating in high zones, XRP remains lateral and DASH stands out for relative strength. I also added silver (XAG) as a macro thermometer. 👉 I left key levels + scenarios in the article (with charts). I am interested in reading your opinions: what asset do you see with a better setup for next week? 👇 $BTC $ETH $XRP DASH #CryptoMarkets
📌 I just published my weekly Market Wrap, I invite you to check it out ✅
BTC and ETH are consolidating in high zones, XRP remains lateral and DASH stands out for relative strength.
I also added silver (XAG) as a macro thermometer.
👉 I left key levels + scenarios in the article (with charts).
I am interested in reading your opinions: what asset do you see with a better setup for next week? 👇
$BTC $ETH $XRP DASH #CryptoMarkets
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Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP, DASH and Silver: weekly analysis and key levelsThis week the market remains constructive, with $BTC and $ETH consolidating in high zones, while some internal rotations begin to stand out. In parallel, assets like DASH and silver show more aggressive impulses, suggesting a market in a phase of reorganization. Next, I leave the key levels and main scenarios for each asset. Bitcoin (BTC) BTC remains strong above the 95K area, with a weekly range between 93K–98K. ✅ Key support: 93K–94K

Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP, DASH and Silver: weekly analysis and key levels

This week the market remains constructive, with $BTC and $ETH consolidating in high zones, while some internal rotations begin to stand out.
In parallel, assets like DASH and silver show more aggressive impulses, suggesting a market in a phase of reorganization.
Next, I leave the key levels and main scenarios for each asset.
Bitcoin (BTC)
BTC remains strong above the 95K area, with a weekly range between 93K–98K.
✅ Key support: 93K–94K
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The "enemy" for many holders of $XRP is not the price: it's time. XRP continues consolidating near $2, and this often wears down more than a sharp drop: – Interest declines – Doubt emerges – Patience is lost But a prolonged consolidation can also be a phase of buildup, if support holds and momentum isn't completely broken. Scenario (simple): ✅ Hold the ~$2 zone → patience / structure ⚠️ Lose ~$2 → retracement and new testing
The "enemy" for many holders of $XRP is not the price: it's time.

XRP continues consolidating near $2, and this often wears down more than a sharp drop:

– Interest declines
– Doubt emerges
– Patience is lost

But a prolonged consolidation can also be a phase of buildup, if support holds and momentum isn't completely broken.

Scenario (simple):
✅ Hold the ~$2 zone → patience / structure
⚠️ Lose ~$2 → retracement and new testing
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Regulation in the U.S.: a significant pause. The Senate delayed the progress of the "CLARITY Act" (market structure for digital assets) after Coinbase publicly withdrew its support. The most debated points, according to Coinbase: – Restrictions on DeFi (risk to privacy and access) – Limits on stablecoins (rewards/benefits) – Halt to asset tokenization (tokenized stocks) – Tension between the SEC and CFTC in oversight This reinforces that 2026 may be defined as much by technology as by the rules of the game. Are you more interested in the impact on $BTC , $ETH , or DeFi?
Regulation in the U.S.: a significant pause.

The Senate delayed the progress of the "CLARITY Act" (market structure for digital assets) after Coinbase publicly withdrew its support.

The most debated points, according to Coinbase:

– Restrictions on DeFi (risk to privacy and access)
– Limits on stablecoins (rewards/benefits)
– Halt to asset tokenization (tokenized stocks)
– Tension between the SEC and CFTC in oversight

This reinforces that 2026 may be defined as much by technology as by the rules of the game.

Are you more interested in the impact on $BTC , $ETH , or DeFi?
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Today I'm watching 2 things: 1) whether the price maintains its structure, 2) whether the Fear & Greed index rises too quickly. What are you guys watching?
Today I'm watching 2 things: 1) whether the price maintains its structure, 2) whether the Fear & Greed index rises too quickly. What are you guys watching?
CryptoScenarios
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$BTC returns to "neutral" for the first time in months.

The Fear & Greed index marks 48 (Neutral), after having been in the fear zone. This usually signals a stabilization of sentiment, not necessarily euphoria.

And pay attention to the context: the rebound also triggered a strong short liquidation event (Glassnode), typical when the price accelerates and the market is poorly positioned.

Scenario (simple):
✅ Neutral + liquidations → the momentum may sustain if rapid euphoria doesn't occur
⚠️ If the index quickly spikes to "Greed" → increases the risk of overheating

Is this the start of a momentum or a rebound that is cooling down? A / B 👇
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$BTC returns to "neutral" for the first time in months. The Fear & Greed index marks 48 (Neutral), after having been in the fear zone. This usually signals a stabilization of sentiment, not necessarily euphoria. And pay attention to the context: the rebound also triggered a strong short liquidation event (Glassnode), typical when the price accelerates and the market is poorly positioned. Scenario (simple): ✅ Neutral + liquidations → the momentum may sustain if rapid euphoria doesn't occur ⚠️ If the index quickly spikes to "Greed" → increases the risk of overheating Is this the start of a momentum or a rebound that is cooling down? A / B 👇
$BTC returns to "neutral" for the first time in months.

The Fear & Greed index marks 48 (Neutral), after having been in the fear zone. This usually signals a stabilization of sentiment, not necessarily euphoria.

And pay attention to the context: the rebound also triggered a strong short liquidation event (Glassnode), typical when the price accelerates and the market is poorly positioned.

Scenario (simple):
✅ Neutral + liquidations → the momentum may sustain if rapid euphoria doesn't occur
⚠️ If the index quickly spikes to "Greed" → increases the risk of overheating

Is this the start of a momentum or a rebound that is cooling down? A / B 👇
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The yen (USDJPY) falls to 18-month lows and once again approaches the 160 zone, reactivating the risk of a possible intervention in Japan. Such movements are not just "FX": when the USD strengthens rapidly, it often increases sensitivity in risk markets, including crypto. Scenario to watch today: – If the USD continues gaining strength, BTC may become more reactive (volatility) – If stabilization/intervention appears, it could alleviate pressure and support the structure In this context, rather than anticipating, the focus is on how BTC responds to changing macro conditions. 👉 Check the price of $BTC and evaluate your scenario #YenNews #BTC
The yen (USDJPY) falls to 18-month lows and once again approaches the 160 zone, reactivating the risk of a possible intervention in Japan.

Such movements are not just "FX": when the USD strengthens rapidly, it often increases sensitivity in risk markets, including crypto.

Scenario to watch today:

– If the USD continues gaining strength, BTC may become more reactive (volatility)
– If stabilization/intervention appears, it could alleviate pressure and support the structure

In this context, rather than anticipating, the focus is on how BTC responds to changing macro conditions.

👉 Check the price of $BTC and evaluate your scenario

#YenNews #BTC
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Many talk about a "slow" market, but this kind of calm is often the precursor to major movements. In a recent analysis, analyst Arnau Catalist suggests that Ethereum is still in a accumulation phase and that the most explosive cycle has not yet been activated. The key point is not the exact number, but the context: there is almost no euphoria, which resembles a macro correction rather than a definitive bear market. 🔎 Scenario $ETH (according to this thesis): • ETH has gone through 2 major accumulations since 2021 • It is now consolidating near the "equilibrium" of the range • If the structure holds, the next phase would be expansion (minimum target set: 7,500 USD) 🧩 Altcoins and dominance $BTC : For altcoins to have a sustained bullish phase, Bitcoin's dominance usually needs to decline. This outlook projects a dominance range dropping toward 54–53% as a first scenario, which could create space for strong ETH and top 30 altcoins regaining momentum. 📌 The key here: it's not "buy because it's good," but understanding the cycle: – If BTC dominates strongly → altcoins lag behind – If BTC starts to give way → ETH typically leads the phase change 👉 Check the price of $ETH and assess your scenario: accumulation or beginning of expansion?
Many talk about a "slow" market, but this kind of calm is often the precursor to major movements.

In a recent analysis, analyst Arnau Catalist suggests that Ethereum is still in a accumulation phase and that the most explosive cycle has not yet been activated. The key point is not the exact number, but the context: there is almost no euphoria, which resembles a macro correction rather than a definitive bear market.

🔎 Scenario $ETH (according to this thesis):

• ETH has gone through 2 major accumulations since 2021
• It is now consolidating near the "equilibrium" of the range
• If the structure holds, the next phase would be expansion (minimum target set: 7,500 USD)

🧩 Altcoins and dominance $BTC :

For altcoins to have a sustained bullish phase, Bitcoin's dominance usually needs to decline. This outlook projects a dominance range dropping toward 54–53% as a first scenario, which could create space for strong ETH and top 30 altcoins regaining momentum.

📌 The key here: it's not "buy because it's good," but understanding the cycle:

– If BTC dominates strongly → altcoins lag behind
– If BTC starts to give way → ETH typically leads the phase change

👉 Check the price of $ETH and assess your scenario: accumulation or beginning of expansion?
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$XRP re-activates and today marks momentum. On the chart, a sustained advance is seen and the price remains close to $2.13 (+3.2%), which typically attracts attention from both retail and short-term traders. Key scenario (simple and useful): ✅ If $XRP holds above the 2.10–2.13 zone, the move may continue with stronger buying pressure. ⚠️ If it loses that zone, the most likely scenario is a cooling pullback before attempting another push. 👉 Check the current price of $XRP and evaluate your scenario Question: Does XRP continue the momentum today or pull back to test support? 👇 #CryptoMarket
$XRP re-activates and today marks momentum.

On the chart, a sustained advance is seen and the price remains close to $2.13 (+3.2%), which typically attracts attention from both retail and short-term traders.

Key scenario (simple and useful):

✅ If $XRP holds above the 2.10–2.13 zone, the move may continue with stronger buying pressure.
⚠️ If it loses that zone, the most likely scenario is a cooling pullback before attempting another push.

👉 Check the current price of $XRP and evaluate your scenario

Question: Does XRP continue the momentum today or pull back to test support? 👇

#CryptoMarket
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$BTC sube con fuerza y cotiza cerca de 95.4k (+4.6%), marcando un máximo diario alrededor de 96.2k. El impulso llega con CPI en línea (2.7% YoY) + mayor demanda de refugio y entradas netas en ETFs spot. El volumen también sube, señal de interés real (institucional + retail). Escenario clave: – sostener 95k mantiene continuidad – perderlo puede traer pullback hacia 93.5k–92k sin romper estructura 👉 Revisa el precio de $BTC y evalúa tu escenario #StrategyBTCPurchase
$BTC sube con fuerza y cotiza cerca de 95.4k (+4.6%), marcando un máximo diario alrededor de 96.2k.

El impulso llega con CPI en línea (2.7% YoY) + mayor demanda de refugio y entradas netas en ETFs spot. El volumen también sube, señal de interés real (institucional + retail).

Escenario clave:
– sostener 95k mantiene continuidad
– perderlo puede traer pullback hacia 93.5k–92k sin romper estructura

👉 Revisa el precio de $BTC y evalúa tu escenario

#StrategyBTCPurchase
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$BTC quotes around 92.3k (+1,22%) as it presses key levels toward 93.5k–95k. Meanwhile, an interesting long-term factor emerges: a testnet focused on quantum-resistant (post-quantum security) cryptography. In sentiment, NUPL improves (fewer unrealized losses), more indicative of stabilization than euphoria. Scenario: – breaking 95k reinforces continuity – rejection may bring a pullback without breaking structure 👉 Check the price of $BTC and evaluate your scenario #StrategyBTCPurchase
$BTC quotes around 92.3k (+1,22%) as it presses key levels toward 93.5k–95k.

Meanwhile, an interesting long-term factor emerges: a testnet focused on quantum-resistant (post-quantum security) cryptography.

In sentiment, NUPL improves (fewer unrealized losses), more indicative of stabilization than euphoria.

Scenario:
– breaking 95k reinforces continuity
– rejection may bring a pullback without breaking structure

👉 Check the price of $BTC and evaluate your scenario

#StrategyBTCPurchase
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$WAL propose a project focused on infrastructure and modular design within the Web3 ecosystem, an approach that seeks to solve scalability and flexibility issues. The work of @walrusprotocol aims to build a technical foundation adaptable to various use cases, something crucial in an increasingly demanding environment. It's worth observing how this approach evolves. #Walrus
$WAL propose a project focused on infrastructure and modular design within the Web3 ecosystem, an approach that seeks to solve scalability and flexibility issues.

The work of @walrusprotocol aims to build a technical foundation adaptable to various use cases, something crucial in an increasingly demanding environment.

It's worth observing how this approach evolves.

#Walrus
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DUSK: context, seasonality, and why not all years are the sameThe historical behavior of $DUSK shows that it is not an asset with a linear or constant pattern over time. When observing its seasonality, it becomes evident that some years exhibit significantly stronger movements than others, while at different periods the performance has been clearly weak or sideways. This suggests that $DUSK responds more to specific market context windows than to regular cycles. In years like 2021, the overall liquidity environment and narrative favored extreme movements, whereas in subsequent periods the asset remained contained, reflecting a more selective and demanding market.

DUSK: context, seasonality, and why not all years are the same

The historical behavior of $DUSK shows that it is not an asset with a linear or constant pattern over time. When observing its seasonality, it becomes evident that some years exhibit significantly stronger movements than others, while at different periods the performance has been clearly weak or sideways.
This suggests that $DUSK responds more to specific market context windows than to regular cycles. In years like 2021, the overall liquidity environment and narrative favored extreme movements, whereas in subsequent periods the asset remained contained, reflecting a more selective and demanding market.
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$DUSK proposes a privacy layer focused on regulatory compliance, a topic increasingly relevant in the current Web3 context. The approach of @dusk_foundation aims to balance privacy, scalability, and institutional use cases, something uncommon in the ecosystem. It's worth observing how it evolves within this scenario. #Dusk
$DUSK proposes a privacy layer focused on regulatory compliance, a topic increasingly relevant in the current Web3 context.

The approach of @dusk_foundation aims to balance privacy, scalability, and institutional use cases, something uncommon in the ecosystem.

It's worth observing how it evolves within this scenario.

#Dusk
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$BTC se mantiene firme sobre 91k, apoyado por flujo hacia activos refugio. Con el oro en máximos históricos, el mercado sigue buscando cobertura fuera del sistema tradicional. Aquí el escenario es claro: – Mientras BTC sostenga esta zona, el sesgo se mantiene – Perderla cambia el contexto 👉 Revisa el precio actual de $BTC y evalúa tu escenario
$BTC se mantiene firme sobre 91k, apoyado por flujo hacia activos refugio. Con el oro en máximos históricos, el mercado sigue buscando cobertura fuera del sistema tradicional.

Aquí el escenario es claro:
– Mientras BTC sostenga esta zona, el sesgo se mantiene
– Perderla cambia el contexto

👉 Revisa el precio actual de $BTC y evalúa tu escenario
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