葉問打饼YynOne11

More than a week, 4wU has reached 10wU, recently my trading has been hot, continuously making profits, always gaining, my bull has arrived, the air force has been living well during this time.
Still the same saying, remember to withdraw the principal after making a profit, use the earnings to keep running.
I have always insisted that bull and bear markets do not alternate; they coexist, just manifesting on different time scales. What we need to do is stay in a rhythm we are familiar with, striking hard at the drowning dogs🤑$ETH #加密市场回调

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The Binance chat room has opened the 【private chat】 function, making communication easier for everyone, and no longer worrying about messages getting lost!

The usage method is super simple:

① Enter 【chat room】 in the search bar to find the entrance.

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Once added, you can privately chat about the market trends instantly, no more missing out on market movements!

If you want to make money, have ambition, and have good horses and mentors, why worry about not making money? Follow Ye brother's rhythm, and take one step at a time!

In the crypto circle, stay with YeWin, neither greedy nor afraid, steadily profitable;
Getting rich a hundred times is like floating clouds, the one who smiles until the end is the real winner!

The global rate-cutting cycle has officially started. The U.S. will at least cut rates by 150 basis points, which essentially means pumping liquidity—there's no other way. Europe, Japan, and China will definitely follow, making balance sheet expansion and liquidity injection a global standard move.

Currency devaluation is inevitable. Financial markets will remain volatile for a while longer—the cycle is far from over. As for the stock market, there won't be major turbulence before the midterm elections.

Think about it—under these circumstances, the return of liquidity to the crypto market is inevitable. Not just possible, but certain. The first and second quarters are the window of opportunity, and the chance is right in front of you. Going all-in and waiting for the launch isn't gambling—it's following the big trend. Only the bold will be rewarded. $BTC #加密市场观察

Recently, many brothers have been asking Ye Ge: isn't Ye Ge a short seller? Why has he been shouting bullish lately?

In short, the current rally is for a better dump. Just follow the path of least resistance in the market.

Now, BTC has just started to rise after $BTC , so it's irrational to prematurely short at the top. Although BTC won't skyrocket immediately, in the current cycle, going long is much more comfortable than going short.

However, there are several potential bearish factors or reasons that could hinder further rebounds.

1. The CLARITY Act review has been delayed again, keeping the bullish sentiment for digital currencies hanging.

2. The U.S. crackdown on Iran has shifted from a low-probability event to a high-probability one due to Iran's own ineffectiveness. And given Trump's recent style, the strike could suddenly happen on a weekend, leaving the crypto market to bear the brunt while the stock market gets two days of buffer.

3. U.S. stocks and precious metals are rising higher, possibly creating a need for a correction. In that case, BTC might be blamed for falling without following the rally.

Therefore, my current trading strategy is to stay cautious for now, waiting until the upward momentum is truly exhausted and shows signs of weakness, then combine macro information and resistance signals to close long positions or open short positions.

As I've said before, around 100k is more reliable and offers better value. In today's market, the tolerance for errors in shorting is far lower than in going long. Don't be reckless—don't fight your own money. #BTC

$BTC 98k reached multiple critical points
Funding conditions were still very hot yesterday.. Behind the spot CVD net buying over 1000, ETFs added another 800 million.

However, selling pressure emerged around 97k~98k, with buying orders being absorbed by the sell side.
98k is a major point of divergence.
1. From the K-line perspective, 98k~99k was where several rapid dips occurred before the decisive break below 100k on November 14th. It was also the original consensus support level after October 11th.

After several tests of 99k, a large amount of bottom-fishing positions accumulated here. Once the level was broken, these became long-term holdings - > thus support and resistance reversed.
The stronger the consensus for bottom-fishing back then, the greater the pressure for these trapped positions to be unwound now.

(Recall how many people said they'd exit entirely if it returned to 98k or 100k when it was around 80k?)

2. From the volume distribution standpoint: after October 11th, 98k has been a volume vacuum zone with almost no turnover (since the drop from 99k to 96k when breaking below 100k was extremely smooth).

This imbalance in trading volume suggests a future need for rebalancing (i.e., consolidation and turnover here, forming a new consensus between bulls and bears). Trapped positions handing over their shares to new buyers.

Therefore, it's still hard to judge what will happen next—everything depends on the US market funding conditions, and whether the US market fires up on Thursday and Friday.

For example, yesterday, technical analysis suggested a consolidation or pullback, but the US market directly triggered FOMO with 800 million entering (BlackRock alone added 600 million), which pushed prices even higher directly.

As for today, I'm even more inclined to what I've said many times: the rally is to set up a better dump. The real dump begins once it goes above 100k. So what to do now needs no further explanation.#BTC走势分析

Recently, Chen Xiaoqun, known as the 'King of Speculators,' has been quite popular. Many outstanding individuals share similar qualities, and the path of trading is often the same for many. I've also looked into his story from multiple angles.

From 300,000 to 5 billion, his style is extremely aggressive and bold.

Chen Xiaoqun's trading logic can be summarized in two words: main theme +龙头 (leading stocks).
He never participates in non-mainstream themes, always focusing only on the hottest, most liquid main themes across the entire market.
As long as the logic is solid, he dares to enter even at high positions; once the logic is proven invalid, he cuts losses no matter how painful it is.

A typical example is the aerospace sector at the end of 2025, where he made a name for himself in one battle. However, this also drew increased attention from regulators, and he is likely to go低调 (low-key) for a while.

He is very confident, claiming he has the 'fate of an emperor.' Additionally, some of his thoughts and insights are worth learning from—these align closely with my own experiences and reflections from many years in the crypto world.

1. Awareness and Essence
Trading is the manifestation of awareness; losses reflect awareness deficiencies.
Understanding ability is the key factor that separates traders.
Weak traders pursue probability (win rate), while strong traders pursue payoff ratio.

2. On Main Themes and Leading Stocks
Focus only on core assets, only on main themes.
Find the central choice in the hottest part of the entire market.
Don't fear high prices—high positions are rewards for courage and sources of security.

3. Reaction and Execution
Trading isn't about predicting the future, but reacting to the present.
Buy on divergence, sell on consensus.
Holding a position isn't about stubbornly holding on, but sticking to the logic as long as it hasn't been proven invalid.

4. Mindset and Evolution
Being empty-handed is the highest skill.
Every major loss is an opportunity for evolution.

In summary: Focus on main themes, embrace leading stocks; respect the market, follow the trend; prioritize logic, act decisively.$BTC #交易训练

Every strategy for making money has a shelf life. The arbitrage opportunity that works today might disappear tomorrow. Either the price difference vanishes, or a better tool is discovered. At that point, I might scale down or even completely change my approach.

But what I've gained from this journey is worth far more than the numbers in my account. It's like attending a training camp, where I was forced to learn three fundamental mindsets that are applicable not just in the crypto world, but across the entire investment landscape.

First: Risk has a price
Before, when people said "high risk, high return," I just repeated it without truly understanding. It wasn't until I experienced it firsthand that I realized—

Want to use leverage for bigger returns? Sure, but the cost is clearly stated: higher liquidation risk, and your health factor is constantly under pressure. The system doesn't make excuses—it shows you the cost in cold, hard data.

Want to avoid being liquidated during a sharp drop? That's possible too. But you'll either absorb the slippage cost, or have to add more margin—your opportunity cost is right in front of you.

In this system, every decision aimed at improving efficiency comes with a clear risk invoice. Over time, this becomes instinctive—before acting, I now automatically ask myself: What's the risk cost of this move, and can the potential return cover it? This mindset is truly priceless.

Second: Constantly evolve yourself to stay in sync with market complexity
Here, you'll face all kinds of challenges—network congestion, slippage, interest rate fluctuations, even contract risks.

The key is learning to coexist with this complexity, rather than fleeing at the first sign of trouble. The real experts are those who can see the risks clearly but aren't scared off. $BTC #加密市场观察

BSC Foundation buys ecosystem tokens again after four days

▶︎ Binance Life: $100,000, second purchase
▶︎ I'm Actually Here: $100,000, second purchase

This is too risky; avoid it as much as possible. Yegge has always advocated doing only what you're confident in and continuously improving within your comfort zone

$币安人生 $我踏马来了 #meme季节即将到来

The independence of the Federal Reserve is facing unprecedented pressure. When policy-making power begins to interfere with central bank decisions, the global financial system holds its breath. The warnings from central bank governors are no idle threat—once such interference becomes routine, the impact on the credibility of the US dollar system would be fatal.

Consider this: what truly underpins the status of the US dollar? Not military might, but the worldwide trust in its stability. Once the Federal Reserve becomes a political tool, that trust will rapidly erode. Uncontrolled money printing, imbalanced debt, global inflation—this is not alarmism, but basic economic logic.

Yet every fissure in the old system is precisely the moment new order begins to grow. Satoshi Nakamoto's original intention in designing Bitcoin was to deliver a final response to this trap of centralized money. As the foundations of the traditional monetary system begin to weaken, assets with absolutely fixed supply and impossible to manipulate become increasingly valuable.

History is never short of irony—every attempt by power to control only proves why we need decentralized alternatives. In the storm, only the truly solid things shine. $BTC , keep going, push it to 100,000! #BTC走势分析

In the past few days, many friends have been asking Ye Ge: 'Is this rise in BTC real?' This question has almost become the most frequently asked one recently. After the largest single-day short squeeze since October 11th, when the price briefly touched around the key level of 98,000, Bitcoin's funding rate unexpectedly turned negative again. This market sentiment actually resembles the previous surge in November 2024.

So far, during the climb from 87,000 to 98,000, the funding rate has turned negative twice, and it remains very low, indicating that short positions in the derivatives market are still dominant. Remember what I mentioned earlier? Once the price reaches 100,000, it will clear out the shorts and then start targeting long positions. I've said this at least five times. Everyone has their own perspective—everyone sees Hamlet differently. I respect everyone's opinion.

Ye Ge tends to believe this rally is genuine. On-chain data shows unusual activity from large whales, which seems to be increasing. See you later. $BTC #BTC走势分析

The Federal Reserve power play unfolds, how should the market place its bets?

The plot twist comes unexpectedly. The long-anticipated rate cut plan now seems far off, yet the data from prediction markets tell a different story—expectations for Fed Chair Powell's retention are quietly shifting. Data shows the probability of his departure in May has dropped from 74% to 45%, with many institutions now betting he will stay until 2028.

Even more intriguing is that the originally favored successor's popularity is waning, while support for his hawkish opponent is rising. What game is the market playing? Analysts point out that the situation has completely reversed, developments now diverging sharply from the original script.

The underlying logic is worth pondering. Rather than forcing out the current chair, the Department of Justice investigation may instead enable him to remain in control through a board member role, safeguarding the Fed's independence. Observers suggest the original "informal agreement" between the parties may have already broken down, with the current chair potentially becoming an unseen influence from behind the scenes, subtly shaping policy direction.

Trying to pressure the Fed into changing course? The outcome may be futile. The true winner is often the one who stays silent and survives. What should the crypto market consider: what does the uncertainty of Fed policy mean for assets like $ETH , $ZEC , $BTC ?

The policy direction may still be pending, but market rhythms are already adjusting.

Trump's remarks on the economy triggered a sudden surge in Bitcoin prices, with CZ live-streaming from Plaza expressing optimism that Bitcoin could reach $200,000.

After Trump's strong statements on the economy and the Federal Reserve, Bitcoin briefly tested the $96,000 level.

In the past 24 hours, the largest cryptocurrency rose by over 4%, with market volatility significantly increasing.

On social media, Trump stated that the U.S. economy is undergoing a "deflationary economic explosion," emphasizing a strong rebound in manufacturing, rising household incomes, and high private-sector investment.

This blonde old man believes the inflation outlook is "quite favorable" and claims the U.S. is the hottest economy in the world. He also criticized the Federal Reserve for not being proactive enough in cutting interest rates, saying the central bank's stance is suppressing growth trends.

The weapon also publicly supported Iran's protests again. On Truth Social, this old man urged Iranians to "keep protesting and reclaim your institutions. Aid is on the way."

This message comes as the Tehran government cracks down on the largest wave of demonstrations in recent years. The move has escalated geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and boosted global market confidence in safe-haven assets.

Driven by these remarks, Bitcoin rose to the $96,000 level. Market data shows BTC climbed approximately 4.36% in the past 24 hours, stabilizing around $95,000.

During the rally, the derivatives market saw intense liquidations.
In the past 24 hours, total liquidation reached $648.4 million, with short liquidations amounting to $567 million and long liquidations at $81 million. The massive short liquidations became one of the key factors driving the price increase.

On the other hand, market expectations for the Federal Reserve to remain cautious in the near term remain high.

The probability of a 25-basis-point rate cut in January is 2.8%, while the probability of holding rates steady is 97.2%. By March, the probability of a cumulative 25-basis-point cut is 26.8%, and unchanged rates is 72.5%. $BTC #加密周期

No need to say too much, just get to the point
Near 955, defend at 945, target 10
Brothers who joined early don't rush, I'm still holding multiple orders at 912, let's aim for the 100,000 milestone together, conquer 2026, meet at the peak. Let you go back home for the New Year sitting at the top table from start to finish. Come on, brothers, show your courage! $BTC
#BTC走势分析

Continue holding the multiple positions of 912, this wave $BTC Yeguo sees breaking 100,000, has said many times, before the lunar new year there will definitely be a surge, luring more than 10 long positions in, to be slaughtered like pigs, this will be the most satisfying time for me, the old short investor, to profit from the long positions #BTC走势分析

Bitcoin has broken through the consolidation zone. Will it continue to rise? Where should you exit at the top? Hurry up and take a look.

1. As shown in the chart, Bitcoin's resistance at 94,500 has finally been broken. The next resistance level will be around 98,000, which is extremely strong—make sure to short a position here! But the question is, why did BTC suddenly surge?

2. If you look at the timeline, you'll clearly see that Bitcoin started skyrocketing after last night's CPI data release. Since the core CPI came in below expectations, it favors future Fed rate cuts.

3. Unfortunately, Ye Ge wants to tell you that there will definitely be no rate cut in January. We can already see this in the Wall Street interest rate market. If a cut does happen in January, then the current rally might just be the final 'dead cat bounce.' The resistance at 98,000 or even 100,000 could very well be the peak of this two-month rally.

4. Looking at the short-term picture, Ye Ge promptly shared the latest CPI positive news yesterday—hopefully everyone saw it and was prepared. Before the CPI data, I advised against shorting at 92,500, as it looked like a breakout was imminent. At minimum, you should have shorted near the previous resistance level of 94,000–95,000.

5. Now that we've returned to the 94,000–95,000 range, traders playing the short-term strategy can consider closing their positions for now and wait. Re-enter with a larger position around 97,500 to short.

5. Our goal this time is to push through the 100,000 mark and then reverse. By then, it's likely already late January, and with no Fed rate cut expected, the market will probably see a significant pullback. Whether right or wrong, success or failure—history will judge. We'll know for sure by late January! $BTC #BTC走势分析

The latest data released by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics shows that the year-on-year increase in the CPI for December reached 2.7%, perfectly in line with economists' expectations, while the month-on-month increase was 0.3%, broadly in line with market forecasts. What does this number mean? It indicates that inflation pressure has neither worsened further nor significantly eased—essentially maintaining a stable situation.

More noteworthy is the performance of the core CPI. Excluding food and energy factors, the year-on-year increase in core CPI for December was 2.6%, with a month-on-month rise of only 0.2%, which is even lower than the expected 0.3% by economists. In other words, after removing the volatile food and energy components, underlying price increases are actually slowing down.

That said, the data quality itself still has some issues. Due to the earlier government shutdown, CPI data for October could not be released normally, and November's data also showed anomalies due to insufficient data collection. By December, data collection and processing had finally returned to normal, but economists generally believe that these technical impacts will take time to fully dissipate.

From a market perspective, this stable CPI data is likely to prompt the Federal Reserve to keep interest rates unchanged at its monetary policy meeting on January 27-28. Meanwhile, the labor market shows no signs of deterioration—December's unemployment rate even dropped to 4.4%. However, one point worth noting is that inflation has now exceeded the Fed's 2% target for 55 consecutive months, a situation that has become the new norm.

Looking ahead, economists generally expect that as companies begin to pass tariff pressures on to consumers, price pressures may rise again in the coming months. This could be a potential variable for the market.$BTC #CPI数据

How will the market move tonight? A look at key data and policy signals
🔍 Core Schedule
21:30 → U.S. November retail sales month-on-month, PPI data
23:00 → U.S. December existing home sales data
23:30 → U.S. EIA crude oil inventory for the week ending January 9
Pending time → Supreme Court issues ruling on tariff-related matters
Next day 01:00 → EIA Monthly Energy Outlook
Next day 01:45 → Important person delivers speech

💡 The True Meaning of Three Key Data Points
PPI Data — The expected annual rate of U.S. November PPI at 21:30 is 2.7%. This figure essentially reflects whether "inflation is still cooling down." If the actual figure comes in below expectations, the story of cooling inflation becomes more credible, typically boosting the valuation of risk assets. Conversely, if the data is stronger than expected, the market will reassess future rate cut potential. $BTC and $ETH are particularly sensitive to such data.

Crude Oil Inventory — The previous drop of 3.832 million barrels directly drove up oil prices. Tonight's expected decrease is 1.702 million barrels. If this materializes, the discussion on inflation pressure will resurface; however, if inventories instead increase, the market may breathe a sigh of relief.

Policy Ruling — The Supreme Court's statement touches on the legal boundaries of trade policy, and the outcome remains uncertain. Any unexpected ruling could shake investor expectations regarding the U.S. dollar and the global trade system.

🎯 Market Logic Chain
In essence: these data points and policy signals → affect "inflation expectations" and "probability of rate cuts" → thereby altering investors' appetite for risk assets.
Mild or weaker data + rising rate cut expectations = Bitcoin, Ethereum, and other risk assets may find support
Stronger data + declining rate cut expectations = market pressure increases, volatility rises
Additional uncertainty comes from the policy front. The speech early in the morning could bring further market shocks, especially when trade and exchange rate issues are involved.
$BTC #PPI