Solid breakdown 👍 You’re basically describing a counter-trend scalp after a classic blow-off top → liquidation cascade. A few thoughts to add nuance, not to override your plan:
What supports the bounce thesis
Structure: That long lower wick around ~0.2169 after a stop-run does suggest sell-side exhaustion on the 1H. If that candle closes strong relative to its low, it’s often good for at least a mean-reversion pop.
Volume profile: Spike from ~70M → 119M on the dump = forced selling / liquidations. Bounces after that don’t need huge volume initially; they just need sellers to step aside.
Capital flow divergence: HTF net outflows = panic, while 15–30m inflows = early dip buyers. That’s typical at inflection points for short-term trades.
What still makes this dangerous
Trend context: This is still a lower-high, lower-low structure on 1H/4H. Any long here is renting, not owning.
Weak bounce volume: 11.9M on the bounce means this is likely short covering, not real demand yet.
Overhead supply: 0.235–0.245 isn’t just MA resistance — it’s trapped longs from the breakdown zone. Expect selling there.
Levels that matter (agreeing with your map)
0.2169–0.219: Absolute line in the sand. Lose this → bounce thesis invalidated, and 0.185–0.19 comes fast.
Price wicked into a major daily supply zone and saw a sharp rejection as volume faded at the highs. Lower timeframes are rolling over bearish, showing a clear momentum shift—setting up a high-probability corrective move with solid structure.
Already short. Risk is well managed, and the risk-to-reward on this pullback looks compelling. Who’s in? 📉
$ETH Pullback Into Local Demand After Sharp Sell-Off
ETH saw an aggressive rejection from supply and has now stabilized around a key demand zone. Selling pressure is clearly slowing, and small recovery candles are starting to print — a sign of short-term seller exhaustion.
As long as price holds this base, a bounce back toward the prior range remains likely.
Trade Setup:
Entry (EP): 3285–3300
TP1: 3340
TP2: 3380
TP3: 3420
Stop Loss: 3245
Momentum is cooling on the downside — holding demand keeps the bounce scenario alive.
Bitcoin just pushed above $96K, dragging altcoins into the green. Bull run vibes? Maybe — but not so fast. Sharp moves like this are often driven by short squeezes and FOMO, not sustainable accumulation.
A true uptrend needs clean resistance breaks, retests, and structural confirmation. The recent 91K → 96K move looks more like a fast impulse than a well-built trend, with little consolidation. Altcoin strength right now is mostly a reaction to BTC’s pump, not independent momentum.
Best approach: wait and let structure form. Two key scenarios to watch:
1️⃣ Pullback to 93K–94K with consolidation →$BTC healthier setup and lower-risk entries. 2️⃣ Hold above 96K–97K for multiple sessions → rally confirmed, stronger footing for altcoins.
Chasing here is high risk. Staying in USDT and waiting for confirmation is the smarter play.
The breakout above 90.4K executed cleanly, pushing price straight into the 97K zone. From here, a controlled pullback toward 94.5K–95K would be healthy — a reset, not a reversal.
As long as BTC holds above 94.5K–95K, the bullish structure remains intact and upside liquidity toward 100K stays in play 🚀 If buying pressure continues and the daily structure remains unbroken, an extension toward the 106K region becomes a realistic continuation 🎯
Risk scenario matters: A daily close below 94.5K would shift momentum back to sellers and likely open a move toward 92.5K support ⚠️
This is a probability game. Above 94.5K, the trend remains bullish.
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$XRP has been in a pretty bearish phase lately, but I’m starting to see signs of consolidation that could hint at a short-term turnaround. On the 1H timeframe, I’m considering a cautious long — strictly a bounce play. Volume analysis: Recent red candles came with significant volume spikes, including a standout 74.78M print, which looks a lot like capitulation. Since then, bounce attempts have occurred on noticeably lighter volume, suggesting selling pressure may be easing. Capital flows: Overall flows remain bearish, with spot outflows of -90.9M and derivatives outflows of -39.1M over the last 24 hours. That said, on lower timeframes (15m), small inflows (~180K) are starting to appear, which could indicate short-term stabilization. Trade idea (1H timeframe): Entry: Long near the strong support zone at 2.084 – 2.090 USDT, ideally after confirmation via a hammer or bullish engulfing candle with supportive volume. Stop-loss: 2.02 USDT (~4% below entry), aligned with ATR (0.0212) and current volatility. Targets: Primary target at 2.185 USDT (near the 24H high) Partial take-profit / scale-out around resistance at 2.1745 USDT Pair: XRPUSDT Perpetual Current price: 2.0993 USDT (-3.14%) Anyone else watching XRP for a short-term flip? 👀 #XRP #XRPUSDT
$DASH already hit $85… $92 on the horizon 😉😉 For those who took the risk—hold it with me, confidence fully loaded 😂😂 #CPIWatch #StrategyBTCPurchase #MarketRebound #WriteToEarnUpgrade
Bitcoin is still in full momentum mode… Eyes set on $100K! When BTC hit $82K, the signal was clear: BUY. Now trading around $95K, the upward move shows no signs of slowing. This isn’t hype—it’s raw momentum. BTC is steadily marching toward the major psychological milestone. 👀 🎯 Target: $100K Missed the early entry? No need to panic. Strong trends reward those who act with confidence, not fear. Buy wisely, hold steady, and let $100K come to you. Buy here 👉🏻 $BTC $SOL $ETH BTCUSDT i
AVAX is coiled for a potential breakout — but 60% confidence means risk is real. Are you ready? $AVAX /USDT | 🟡 Risk 6/10 (LONG) Why this setup? 4H chart shows a long opportunity within a 1D consolidation, hinting at a possible swing. Current price (~$14.53) sits near the defined entry zone ($14.51), while RSI(15m) at 35.47 signals short-term oversold conditions, supporting a bounce. Key levels: TP1 at $14.68, SL at $14.38 for tight risk control. Trade Plan: Entry: 14.507 – 14.558 Targets: TP1 14.684 | TP2 14.734 | TP3 14.835 Stop Loss: 14.381 Discussion: Is this a range-low bounce, or will price test the SL first? #Write2Earn #TradingSignals 💹💬$AVAX $BTC
I’LL BE HONEST. $BTC Everyone laughed when I said market makers wanted to keep price under the 2025 open for the reports $币安人生. I also called January bullish… and we’re already pumping above that level $BERA . Step back. Ignore the noise. Focus on the structure: Price respecting key levels Sentiment full of doubt Momentum quietly building History doesn’t lie. Those who ignored this setup? They got left behind. This isn’t luck. This is reading the market correctly. Your reputation depends on recognizing it. $BTC $BERA
2022 vs 2026 – Déjà Vu? $BERA 2022: Price lingered between 0.236–0.382 FIB for 50+ days $BLUR Breakout finally hit… straight into a 0.382 FIB bull trap $DASH Market rejected sharply and rolled over 2026 so far: Same compression zone Same slow grind Same phase of emotional exhaustion The real question isn’t whether price will reach 0.382 again — it’s whether it will be accepted this time. That level will dictate the next trend. 🔥
$CETUS S BREAKOUT LOADING 🚀 Entry Zone: 0.0280 – 0.0288 🟢 Target 1: 0.0300 🎯 Target 2: 0.0320 🎯 Target 3: 0.0350 🎯 Stop Loss: 0.0268 🔴 $CETUS is showing strong bullish momentum with clear higher highs and higher lows. Price is consolidating above solid support, setting up for a potential explosive move. This range looks like a launchpad for the next leg up. Momentum is building, structure is intact, and buyers are defending key levels. Don’t sleep on this setup — the breakout could happen fast. Trading involves risk. #CETUS #CryptoTrading #Bullish #Breakout #FOMO 🚀 CETUSUSDT | Perp