🚨No signals, I'm sharing my real trading analysis so you can refine your own trading criteria.
📉 I've just opened a short at $SOL . Why?
🔍 Let me explain the logic behind the entry:
— On the 4H chart, Solana is touching the upper part of a 90-day regression channel, forming a small double top, with two consecutive candles showing exhaustion in the MACD histogram.
— On the 1H chart, a triple top is forming, which is a triple rejection at a high zone.
— Additionally, the structure (BOS) has been broken on the last lower swing = additional confirmation.
— The RSI on 1H is below its moving average ➤ bearish momentum is holding.
📍 Entry activated. SL: 150 above what the price action indicates, but the numbers represent strong support and resistance levels (psychological zone on lower timeframes)
TP: 127 (important relative minimum)
🎯 It's not about guessing; it's about interpreting the context with technical logic.
📈 I just opened a long at $BTC — don't focus on the signal, focus on the analysis.
🔍 On the 4H chart, BTC is forming a bullish triangle with clear resistance at $116K and has maintained a solid upward channel since $100K.
Currently, the price is right at the support of the channel, which also coincides with a recent low.
📊 On the 1H, we observe a bearish candle with high volume, but it leaves a long wick upon touching support, signaling absorption of selling.
After retesting the area, the price leaves a bullish candle, reinforcing the rejection.
📌 I do not wait for the candle to close, as the rejection is strong and the RSI is in oversold territory, which adds probability to the setup.
🎯 Trade strategy: — TP: $113,500 (first nearby resistance) — SL: $108,500 (behind the wick with volume and upward channel) 📌 This is not intuition. It is structure, context, and management.
📉 I just opened a trade on $XRP P — I don't give signals, I share knowledge and analysis.
🔍 On the 4H chart, I identify the formation of a small bullish triangle, with resistance marked at the $2.65 area and a sustained ascending channel since $2.20.
In the last breakout attempt, the price showed rejection at resistance and the RSI in overbought confirmed signs of momentum exhaustion.
📊 On the 1H, the analysis is reinforced:
— Bearish divergence in the RSI — The price continues in the resistance area — SMC structure and technical analysis confirm possible distribution
🎯 Strategy executed:
— Entry: Short at the current zone — SL: $2.70 — TP: $2.50 — R:R Ratio: 2:1
📌 The analysis is there, the management is there, the emotion is not. Learn to read the market, not to follow signals. #analysis #TraderEducation
If you read the previous post and internalized the analysis, you saw how the movement responded precisely to the projection.
📌 Trading is not about guessing. It's about working with probabilities.
The price could have done the opposite — and that was fine, that's how this game works. But this time, the scenario with the highest probability occurred.
💡 Study. Adjust. Evolve. Don't give up. Profitability is not a stroke of luck... It's the inevitable result of doing things right over and over again. #mindsettrader $BTC
John_Profits
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Bearish
Analysis of #Bitcoin for futures — I do not give signals, I share my analysis and knowledge.
In the 4H chart, $BTC maintains a clear bullish channel since the first week of July, only broken upwards to form a double top at its ATH.
📈 After reaching the discount zone at $109K (where I took a position), the price had a strong bullish impulse up to $114.5K (I exited at $113.3K).
📍 In this area, BTC hits a relative maximum that it cannot break through strongly and begins to lateralize, while the RSI shows clear signs of exhaustion of the movement.
In 1H, a bearish divergence is confirmed in the RSI, even more relevant because it occurs in an overbought zone.
With these elements, I project that the price could seek immediate liquidity in the $112K zone, before defining a new structural movement.
Analysis leads, management decides. Follow the structure, not the impulse. Let's go Traders
Analysis of #Bitcoin for futures — I do not give signals, I share my analysis and knowledge.
In the 4H chart, $BTC maintains a clear bullish channel since the first week of July, only broken upwards to form a double top at its ATH.
📈 After reaching the discount zone at $109K (where I took a position), the price had a strong bullish impulse up to $114.5K (I exited at $113.3K).
📍 In this area, BTC hits a relative maximum that it cannot break through strongly and begins to lateralize, while the RSI shows clear signs of exhaustion of the movement.
In 1H, a bearish divergence is confirmed in the RSI, even more relevant because it occurs in an overbought zone.
With these elements, I project that the price could seek immediate liquidity in the $112K zone, before defining a new structural movement.
Analysis leads, management decides. Follow the structure, not the impulse. Let's go Traders
I recently shared two failed shorts after a long streak of winning analyses.
(I do not share signals, I share analyses and my way of viewing the market).
Some have written to me with complaints because the trades "didn't go well." To those people, I want to say something very clearly:
🚫 I am not here for you to bet your capital on my ideas. 🧠 I am here because I must do my trading log, but I moved from doing it only in an Excel to sharing part of it here and my experience to generate debate and learning so others can give their viewpoints and debate mine, which generates professionalism and improvements in the community's trading.
If you decided to enter a trade just because you read my analysis —without validating, without risk management, without your own plan— that mistake is yours, not mine, and if you do it, you are irresponsible and destined to lose your capital because you will be jumping from trader to trader for those who have had the best results in the short term, and when that stops being the case, you will change again. I know this because I went through it years ago while I was training #DYOR .
I come from a good streak, yes. But the market guarantees nothing, and once I understood that I wasn't going to win them all, but simply my strategy must be profitable not with a couple of trades but in the long term, and time and compound interest will do their magic.
What I share here is part of a new stage where I use this space to carry my log publicly, not to "sell certainties."
📊 Do your own analyses! 📚 Study. 🎯 And never, ever, put your inheritance, your salary, or your emotional stability on a single trade of mine or any trader's. Argue why you are entering like the posts I share, and you will realize that when you write it down, it becomes more objective and technical. Lying to your mind is easy, but having to write it down is psychologically much more challenging.
📈 I have opened a new long position at $ETH — it is not a signal, it is analysis based on structure and experience.
In the previous analysis, the long was closed at stop loss after the recent strong REKT of the market; by managing SL correctly, we protect capital. Still, we continue reading the structure.
🔍 On the 4H chart, the price dropped due to the recent REKT to the zone of $4,250, where it has reacted as support and is leaving a clear lower wick, a sign of rejection.
📊 On the 1H chart, ETH has just crossed a liquidity swing left since September 12 in the zone of $4,350.
This could act as a short-term liquidity sweep, attracting retail sales that interpret a false breakout.
🙋 I am also a retail trader, but I operate under Smart Money Concepts (SMC) principles.
From that perspective, the price is in a clear discount zone, with an RSI at extreme oversold, coming from 18 points. In the one-hour time frame, I see a discount.
🎯 Strategy: — Entry: current zone (around $4,300) — TP: $4,450 (next technical resistance) — SL: $4,250 (behind the rejection wick on 4H)
IF the FEAR continues protecting SL, I expect price action in the zone of 4000 for a third and final entry. Never trade out of revenge; the market can be wrong longer than we can remain in a position unless you are a whale with hyper liquidity, where the only result you will get with A MINIMUM OF KNOWLEDGE is guaranteed profitability; if you are not, SL is your friend, believe me.
📌 Sometimes the analysis fails, but the important thing is to keep managing risk and refining the market reading.
Do not trade the impulse. Trade the structure. Do you have any suggestions or opinions about the analysis? Leave me a comment and let's talk! Blessed educational synergy #analysis#TraderEducation
📈 I just opened a long at $ETH — don't focus on the signal, focus on the analysis.
🔍 On the 4H chart, #ETH maintains a bullish channel, although with lateral momentum in recent days.
That's why I looked for a technical entry in the Fibonacci golden pocket, located in the $4,500 zone, which implies the bullish impulse from the $4,200 zone to the $4,800 zone, and as an argument, the Golden pocket is in a zone that has acted as technical support within this lateral range.
📉 What are we seeing?
— The current pullback seems like a liquidity grab — Minimum target: to retest the upper part of the lateral range at $4,700
📊 Verified on the 1H chart: — The price left a candle with high volume before the recent correction that lasted a couple of days from a 4-5 hour movement, with a solid body and lower wick, a sign of absorption — My stop loss is just behind that candle, at $4,400 — TP: $4,600 (conservative zone before $4,700)
📈 Although it is not my main trigger, the RSI on the 1H shows an upward slope from oversold — a good companion to the setup.
The signal is not what matters. The analysis and management are everything. You will NEVER win them all, no matter if you lose some; the market does what it wants. You come out with SL, keep moving forward, learn if there is something to learn, and if the market was against you even without technical or fundamental analysis, it doesn't matter. You protected your capital with SL.
Once again, the analysis we conducted this time at $SOL showed that the resistance at 253 worked and took us to the TP marked at 238. I did not take the entry since the pullback on the 1H from 245 reached 248, leaving us out of the trade where we had a limit entry at 250 of #sol .
It doesn't matter if we don't win or if they all come in; patience will bring the profitability on its own. #analises
John_Profits
--
Bearish
📉 I just placed a short limit order at $SOL — but I don't share signals, I share knowledge. Stay with the analysis.
🔍 In the 4H chart, we see a strong bullish trend that brought the price to the $250 zone, with a peak in the $253 area.
There, the price left a bearish hammer candle with a pronounced upper wick, accompanied by a flat RSI around 65 for the last three days, while the price marked small rising highs.
📉 This evidences exhaustion in the bullish momentum. With this filter, I went down to the 1H chart:
— Clearly observed is the bearish pressure from $253 to $245
— Drawing Fibonacci from the peak, the golden pocket falls right at $250, a strong psychological level
— Round numbers (like $250, $500, etc.) often act as relevant resistances or supports due to their psychological impact
✅ This technical confluence increases the probability of the setup
📌 My setup: — Entry: $250 (limit order) — SL: $254 (above the relative maximum) — TP: $238
🎯 I'm not looking for a larger correction: there's a lot of FOMO in the market currently. If the trade doesn't happen, it's okay; I protect my capital with a tight and validated SL based on technical analysis and market structure.
The important things: — The analysis is structured — The risk is controlled — The capital is protected
💬 The market has its own spirit. Sometimes the analysis is right, other times it's not. And when it isn't, what matters is how you manage, learn, and evolve.
#Plume is a next-generation blockchain that allows bringing real-world assets (like real estate, commodities, or credits) into the crypto ecosystem. Binance Academy+1
Some important things it does well:
You can tokenize those real assets, allowing them to be traded, lent, or used as collateral from the blockchain.
It has an Ethereum-compatible environment, making it easier for existing projects to integrate.
Plume includes stablecoins (like pUSD) and liquid staking services, and also has regulatory compliance and governance mechanisms to ensure everything operates within clear rules. Binance Academy+1
💡 The interesting thing: Plume seeks to make traditional investment more accessible with decentralized finance tools, democratizing access to assets that were previously only available to institutions.
Bonus: I just went long on $PLUME as I expect this support in the 0.11 zone to reject up to the previous relative maximum at 0.12 on the 1H chart.
📉 I just placed a short limit order at $SOL — but I don't share signals, I share knowledge. Stay with the analysis.
🔍 In the 4H chart, we see a strong bullish trend that brought the price to the $250 zone, with a peak in the $253 area.
There, the price left a bearish hammer candle with a pronounced upper wick, accompanied by a flat RSI around 65 for the last three days, while the price marked small rising highs.
📉 This evidences exhaustion in the bullish momentum. With this filter, I went down to the 1H chart:
— Clearly observed is the bearish pressure from $253 to $245
— Drawing Fibonacci from the peak, the golden pocket falls right at $250, a strong psychological level
— Round numbers (like $250, $500, etc.) often act as relevant resistances or supports due to their psychological impact
✅ This technical confluence increases the probability of the setup
📌 My setup: — Entry: $250 (limit order) — SL: $254 (above the relative maximum) — TP: $238
🎯 I'm not looking for a larger correction: there's a lot of FOMO in the market currently. If the trade doesn't happen, it's okay; I protect my capital with a tight and validated SL based on technical analysis and market structure.
The important things: — The analysis is structured — The risk is controlled — The capital is protected
💬 The market has its own spirit. Sometimes the analysis is right, other times it's not. And when it isn't, what matters is how you manage, learn, and evolve.
#BTC maintains a sustained bullish channel since the beginning of the month, starting from $107K to reach $117K, where the CME GAP was finally closed.
That level now acts as an important relative resistance.
🔻 The RSI strongly points downwards and is already below its smoothed average, suggesting possible short-term exhaustion.
📉 In my technical analysis, I see a correction scenario from $117K to $115K on the 1H chart.
However, I am not trading it. Why?
🔍 Because from a fundamental perspective, the interest rate cut by 0.25 points and the forecast for further reductions are injecting a wave of fiat liquidity into the market.
And when that happens, Bitcoin acts as the biggest capital magnet within the crypto ecosystem.
📌 Conclusion: It is neither a time for shorts nor for longs. I prefer to wait for confirmation on the 4H chart before executing any trades. li$BTC quidity will come… but the moment must be read correctly.
📈 I just opened a long at $MYX — don't focus on the signal, focus on the analysis.
In the 1H chart, MYX had been falling sharply from $17 to the $12 area, where I had marked a relevant technical support.
🔎 Upon reaching that area, the price began to lose strength, with a clear divergence from the VWAP — it drifted too far away, a typical sign of movement exhaustion.
✅ In the 5M chart, I identified:
— A microstructure change (BOS) — Technical entry in the golden pocket of Fibonacci from the movement that the marked BOS made in the 5M chart (0.5–0.618) — Target: the return of the price to the VWAP, where I will take profits.
🧠 Additionally, I left a limit order at $10.5, in case the price drops to seek liquidity with great volatility behind the support, taking out those who have SL in that area — classic Smart Money strategy.
📌 Do not trade blind signals. Analyze, study, and understand the reason behind each entry.
📉 I opened a short at $DOGE after the strong rise of the day. Why? Let's go with the analysis:
In the 1H chart, DOGE shows a very marked bullish momentum in the last 10 candles, but it starts to show technical weakness at the highs of $0.233.
📊 Signals that triggered my entry: RSI in overbought and loss of strength in 1H 🚀TRIGGER In the 5M chart, the price moved aggressively away from the VWAP, and it is a trade with a probability based on context that should go straight to the VWAP.
— The VWAP is a volume-weighted average, and in scalping, it acts as a natural “ultra pulling magnet” for the price.
— Unlike other averages, when there is a significant departure, the price and the average tend to seek it quickly.
🔍 Why is this key?
Because larger timeframes like 4H, the price and the VWAP almost never separate. But in 5M, when they do so abruptly, the short-term reversal is probably the action that the price should take; it's not always like that but in trading, nothing is as it should be; trades are based on probabilities according to your level of technical analysis and the reversal to the VWAP with a favorable context in a trade with a high probability.
✅ Two confirmations for my entry: — Weakness in 1H — Departure from VWAP in 5M and breaking of a technical wedge downward.
All based on principles of Smart Money Concepts (SMC).
📌 Do not trade on impulse. Study your triggers. Understand why.
Don't just stick with the signal. Stick with the analysis, reason it out, and improve your trading.
📈 I just executed a trade on #Bitcoin on a 4H chart; it’s a move where I expect to stay in if the SL doesn’t take me out in 1-3 days. Why? Because we have been analyzing this movement for days.
The consolidation triangle that has been forming for over a week and we have been analyzing in 4H finally broke upwards, accompanied by a candle with volume and a clear close above $113K, which now acts as technical support.
🔹 Entry: Confirmation of the triangle breakout 🔹 SL: Behind the volume candle, at $112K 🔹 TP: $116K — a level that coincides with the CME GAP, pending closure for over a week
🧠 As I always say: I don’t share signals, I share wisdom. Trading is based on probabilities; no one reads the future. The important thing is to win more than you lose. Yes, you will ALWAYS lose some trades, but don’t let that cloud your emotions; stay disciplined.
This journey has cost me effort, discipline, and many lessons. And I still have a lot to learn.
🔑 The most important thing is not just knowing how to analyze… It’s mastering emotions, following a plan, and improving every day.
Analyze your trading. Improve your trading. Profitability is the consequence of doing things right. #Btc #analysis $BTC
Yesterday I gave you this analysis which left me a profit of +300% in one day. I'm leaving the analysis for you to assimilate and improve your trading. Here are the analyses and photos of the chart with the analysis and the result of the operation 👇👇👇
📉 I just opened a short position on $MYX (this was yesterday 09-Sep) — but don't just focus on the “signal”… focus on the analysis.
In the 1H chart, the price shows a great hype driven in part by FOMO. This is confirmed with a clear bearish divergence: 🔺 The price rises 🔻 The RSI does not follow — indicating a loss of strength
🔍 When going down to 5M to look for an entry trigger, we observe that the price had been forming a bearish channel from 18.5 to the area of $13, where the impulse retracement occurs and seeks liquidity at the previous maximum relative levels at 16 which coincides with an overbought RSI giving our entry greater probability.
📌 Trade Strategy: — Entry: area of $16.1 — TP1: $13 TP2 will be with a trailing stop through price action — SL: $16.5 (area of maximum RSI overbought)
📚 Analysis is key. Do not trade by emotion, nor by copying. Learn to read the market.
Why are so many people talking about $MITO lately?
In the crypto world, things evolve quickly. And one of the biggest challenges today is moving liquidity —that is, digital money— from one blockchain to another easily, securely, and cost-effectively.
That’s where Mitosis (MITO) comes in, a new project that is gaining attention for offering a new, powerful, and simple solution to this problem.
💡 MITO is a next-generation blockchain (layer 1) that seeks to make crypto money flow frictionlessly between different networks.
Its technology allows for more to be done with less effort within the DeFi ecosystem (decentralized finance).
The interesting part: it transforms what is normally complex (the provision of liquidity) into something more programmable and flexible, giving users access to better yields without losing control.
📈 At a time when DeFi needs more efficient solutions, MITO stands out as a key player at this point.
Will it be a key piece in the next DeFi wave? Its fundamentals, precise solution to the liquidity problem in DeFi indicate that it will.
This is one of those projects where you need to invest some of your capital and forget about it, letting it mature and being in when it explodes💥🚀 #Mitosis @MitosisOrg
The price continues to respect the formation of an ascending triangle, after bouncing from the relative low at $108K.
Since then, it has attempted to break the resistance of $113K several times, with technical pullbacks to levels of $109K, $110K, and $110.8K, suggesting a slight bullish momentum but with a key resistance at 113k.
📊 Key levels:
🔺 Resistance: $113K 🔻 Support: $108K
📈 Scenario 1: If it breaks strongly above $113K, the next target would be the CME gap at $117K, opened more than a week ago.
📉 Scenario 2: If it breaks the triangle downwards with volume, we could retest $108K.
🧐 Why are we monitoring the gap on the CME (Chicago Mercantile Exchange) chart? Because it is one of the most relevant futures markets in the world and it is the chart that major institutions follow.
Gaps on that chart often act as liquidity magnets.