Od_staR
BTC Holder
Occasional Trader
1.1 Years
20 Following
40 Followers
19 Liked
2 Shared
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1
#中美贸易谈判
1. Four Major Emotional Indicators
Fear and Greed Index
Below 20: Market Fear, suitable for incremental buying
Above 80: Market Greed, consider incremental selling
Below 20: Market Fear, can buy
Above 80: Market Greed, suggested to sell
Tools: AICOIN or TradingView
Below 15: Market Depression, suitable for ambush
Above 200: Market Madness, need to liquidate
Query: mempool.space (Bitcoin)
2. Candlestick Patterns and Trading Volume
Hammer Candlestick: End of decline, buying interest enters, sentiment turns optimistic
Bullish Engulfing: Large bullish candle covers bearish candle, confidence increases
Dark Cloud Cover: High open and low close at high levels, selling pressure intensifies
Increased Trading Volume: Capital is active, bullish sentiment is high
3. Operational Suggestions
Short-term: Focus on support levels of $90500-90800, can short if it breaks.
Long-term: If it holds the support, a new round of upward movement may come.📈
{future}(BTCUSDT)
{future}(ETHUSDT)
1. Four Major Emotional Indicators
Fear and Greed Index
Below 20: Market Fear, suitable for incremental buying
Above 80: Market Greed, consider incremental selling
Below 20: Market Fear, can buy
Above 80: Market Greed, suggested to sell
Tools: AICOIN or TradingView
Below 15: Market Depression, suitable for ambush
Above 200: Market Madness, need to liquidate
Query: mempool.space (Bitcoin)
2. Candlestick Patterns and Trading Volume
Hammer Candlestick: End of decline, buying interest enters, sentiment turns optimistic
Bullish Engulfing: Large bullish candle covers bearish candle, confidence increases
Dark Cloud Cover: High open and low close at high levels, selling pressure intensifies
Increased Trading Volume: Capital is active, bullish sentiment is high
3. Operational Suggestions
Short-term: Focus on support levels of $90500-90800, can short if it breaks.
Long-term: If it holds the support, a new round of upward movement may come.📈
{future}(BTCUSDT)
{future}(ETHUSDT)
1
Will the dollar system collapse?
#BTC
The dollar system will not collapse in the short term, but it faces challenges in the long run. Currently, the dollar still accounts for 56% of global foreign exchange reserves, and hard currencies like oil transactions and chips are also tied to the dollar, making its international status difficult to shake in the short term.
However, the scale of U.S. national debt has exceeded 31 trillion dollars, with interest payments accounting for 5.4% of GDP, and debt issues may affect credit. At the same time, the trend of de-dollarization is evident, with the dollar's share of global foreign exchange reserves declining and the internationalization of the renminbi accelerating.
In the next 5-10 years, the dollar is unlikely to collapse, but attention should be paid to Federal Reserve policies, the progress of local currency settlements in various countries, and the speed of renminbi internationalization. Investors should diversify their asset allocation; the story of the dollar is far from over.
{future}(WLFIUSDT)
{future}(BNBUSDT)
#BTC
The dollar system will not collapse in the short term, but it faces challenges in the long run. Currently, the dollar still accounts for 56% of global foreign exchange reserves, and hard currencies like oil transactions and chips are also tied to the dollar, making its international status difficult to shake in the short term.
However, the scale of U.S. national debt has exceeded 31 trillion dollars, with interest payments accounting for 5.4% of GDP, and debt issues may affect credit. At the same time, the trend of de-dollarization is evident, with the dollar's share of global foreign exchange reserves declining and the internationalization of the renminbi accelerating.
In the next 5-10 years, the dollar is unlikely to collapse, but attention should be paid to Federal Reserve policies, the progress of local currency settlements in various countries, and the speed of renminbi internationalization. Investors should diversify their asset allocation; the story of the dollar is far from over.
{future}(WLFIUSDT)
{future}(BNBUSDT)
1
What is the Federal Reserve System? (FRS)
#BTC
The Federal Reserve System, abbreviated as the Fed, was established in 1913 and is the privately owned central bank of the United States. It operates independently of Congress and has dual responsibilities of formulating and executing monetary policy as well as regulating financial institutions. The current Chair of the Fed is Jerome Powell, appointed by Trump.
In 1836, the Second Bank of the United States was closed. For the next 70 years, the U.S. experienced a period of free banking, during which six financial crises occurred. In 1912, President Wilson took office, and in 1913, the Federal Reserve Act was passed by Congress. Under this act, the Federal Reserve System was created. The act granted independence to the Fed, ultimately resulting in a U.S.-style central bank with a framework of multiple checks and balances. Its three key entities include the Board of Governors, the Federal Open Market Committee, and 12 Federal Reserve Banks.
The Board of Governors is the core, a government agency, and the highest decision-making body for monetary policy; the 12 Federal Reserve Banks are part of a stockholder system that holds the assets of the Fed, with the backing consortium primarily coming from member institutions of the Fed. The Federal Open Market Committee formulates and executes monetary policy objectives through open market operations.
#BTC
The Federal Reserve System, abbreviated as the Fed, was established in 1913 and is the privately owned central bank of the United States. It operates independently of Congress and has dual responsibilities of formulating and executing monetary policy as well as regulating financial institutions. The current Chair of the Fed is Jerome Powell, appointed by Trump.
In 1836, the Second Bank of the United States was closed. For the next 70 years, the U.S. experienced a period of free banking, during which six financial crises occurred. In 1912, President Wilson took office, and in 1913, the Federal Reserve Act was passed by Congress. Under this act, the Federal Reserve System was created. The act granted independence to the Fed, ultimately resulting in a U.S.-style central bank with a framework of multiple checks and balances. Its three key entities include the Board of Governors, the Federal Open Market Committee, and 12 Federal Reserve Banks.
The Board of Governors is the core, a government agency, and the highest decision-making body for monetary policy; the 12 Federal Reserve Banks are part of a stockholder system that holds the assets of the Fed, with the backing consortium primarily coming from member institutions of the Fed. The Federal Open Market Committee formulates and executes monetary policy objectives through open market operations.
1
Is there still room for silver to rise?
#BTC走势分析
Silver still has room for appreciation in the medium to long term, but short-term volatility will be relatively high. We can look at it from the following aspects:
I. Supply and Demand: The Gap Continues to Widen
Supply Side: The global silver mining lifespan is extending. Due to slow approval of new projects under environmental policies in major producing countries Peru and Mexico, primary mineral production is expected to increase by only slightly by 1% in 2025. Mexican production decreased by 10.8% compared to 2021, while Peru's decreased by 14.3%.
Demand Side: Industrial silver consumption has risen to 56%. Each gigawatt of photovoltaic power requires 7 tons of silver, and the amount of silver used per new energy vehicle is 71% higher than that of gasoline vehicles. Industrial silver consumption is expected to exceed 700 million ounces in 2025, with a supply-demand gap potentially reaching 117.6 million ounces.
II. Financial Attributes: Significant Room for Gold-Silver Ratio Correction
The current gold-silver ratio is higher than 80:1, far exceeding the historical average of 60:1. Goldman Sachs predicts the silver-to-gold ratio may fall to 70:1 by the end of 2025, potentially making silver a better performer relative to gold.
The world's largest silver ETF saw its holdings reach a three-year high, with funds accelerating their inflow.
III. Policy and Market Sentiment: Rate Cut Expectations Support the Market
The Federal Reserve may cut interest rates by 50 basis points in 2025, reducing the opportunity cost of holding silver. Geopolitical risks (such as the Red Sea shipping crisis and the Mexican mining strike) are also driving safe-haven funds to allocate to silver.
IV. Institutional Expectations: Divergent Target Prices
Bank of America predicts silver prices may reach $40 by early 2026 (an increase of approximately 11% from current levels). TD Securities is bullish to $4, while UBS predicts prices will rise to $38-40 by 2025.
V. Risk Warnings
High Volatility: Geopolitical events and a shift in Federal Reserve policy could trigger sharp short-term fluctuations.
Market Bubble: Some silver stocks are being hyped; caution is advised regarding a false boom.
Uncertainty in industrial demand: A global economic slowdown or slower-than-expected growth in the new energy industry could weaken demand support.
Summary: The medium- to long-term upward trend for silver is clear, but short-term volatility risks should be noted. Before investing, it is recommended to pay attention to supply and demand changes and policy trends, and to implement effective risk management.
#BTC走势分析
Silver still has room for appreciation in the medium to long term, but short-term volatility will be relatively high. We can look at it from the following aspects:
I. Supply and Demand: The Gap Continues to Widen
Supply Side: The global silver mining lifespan is extending. Due to slow approval of new projects under environmental policies in major producing countries Peru and Mexico, primary mineral production is expected to increase by only slightly by 1% in 2025. Mexican production decreased by 10.8% compared to 2021, while Peru's decreased by 14.3%.
Demand Side: Industrial silver consumption has risen to 56%. Each gigawatt of photovoltaic power requires 7 tons of silver, and the amount of silver used per new energy vehicle is 71% higher than that of gasoline vehicles. Industrial silver consumption is expected to exceed 700 million ounces in 2025, with a supply-demand gap potentially reaching 117.6 million ounces.
II. Financial Attributes: Significant Room for Gold-Silver Ratio Correction
The current gold-silver ratio is higher than 80:1, far exceeding the historical average of 60:1. Goldman Sachs predicts the silver-to-gold ratio may fall to 70:1 by the end of 2025, potentially making silver a better performer relative to gold.
The world's largest silver ETF saw its holdings reach a three-year high, with funds accelerating their inflow.
III. Policy and Market Sentiment: Rate Cut Expectations Support the Market
The Federal Reserve may cut interest rates by 50 basis points in 2025, reducing the opportunity cost of holding silver. Geopolitical risks (such as the Red Sea shipping crisis and the Mexican mining strike) are also driving safe-haven funds to allocate to silver.
IV. Institutional Expectations: Divergent Target Prices
Bank of America predicts silver prices may reach $40 by early 2026 (an increase of approximately 11% from current levels). TD Securities is bullish to $4, while UBS predicts prices will rise to $38-40 by 2025.
V. Risk Warnings
High Volatility: Geopolitical events and a shift in Federal Reserve policy could trigger sharp short-term fluctuations.
Market Bubble: Some silver stocks are being hyped; caution is advised regarding a false boom.
Uncertainty in industrial demand: A global economic slowdown or slower-than-expected growth in the new energy industry could weaken demand support.
Summary: The medium- to long-term upward trend for silver is clear, but short-term volatility risks should be noted. Before investing, it is recommended to pay attention to supply and demand changes and policy trends, and to implement effective risk management.
Gm
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What is the connection between the cryptocurrency market and the US stock market?
#BTC走势分析
There is indeed a correlation between the US stock market and the cryptocurrency market.
When US stocks rise, investors' risk appetite increases, and funds may flow into highly volatile assets such as Bitcoin and Ethereum, pushing up coin prices. For example, when Circle's stock price surged 15% in a single day in 2025, Bitcoin rose in tandem. Conversely, a US stock market crash can trigger panic selling in the cryptocurrency market, such as the March 2020 US stock market crash which caused Bitcoin to fall by more than 50% in 48 hours.
If the high US stock market is driven by expectations of a Federal Reserve interest rate cut, a weaker dollar may prompt funds to flow into the cryptocurrency market. However, a sustained strong US stock market could also draw funds away from the cryptocurrency market, inhibiting its growth. Furthermore, when the Dow Jones Industrial Average falls by more than 5% in a single day, discussions about "Bitcoin crash" surge on social media, reflecting the rapid transmission of panic.
Cryptocurrency concept stocks drive the market.
Although there is a short-term correlation, the long-term price of cryptocurrencies is still driven by their own fundamentals. For example, the Bitcoin halving cycle (occurring every four years) significantly impacts the supply-demand balance. After the May 2020 halving, the price surged from $9,000 to $60,000, unrelated to the then-moderate recovery in the US stock market. Furthermore, global regulatory policies (such as the EU's MiCA regulations and the US SEC's stance on crypto ETFs) have a profound impact on the cryptocurrency market.
Market Divergence and Trends in 2025:
In 2025, precious metals (silver up approximately 140% for the year, gold up approximately 70%) and US stocks (Nasdaq up 19%) performed strongly, while cryptocurrencies (Bitcoin down approximately 6% for the year, Ethereum down approximately 12%) failed to maintain the inflows seen at the beginning of the year. The market favors highly liquid, regulated assets with clear rules.
The launch of US spot Bitcoin ETFs lowered the entry barrier for institutional investors, but the ETF effect will fade in the second half of 2025, leaving the market facing issues such as fragile liquidity and high regulatory risks.
Regulation may further converge, and more traditional companies may consider using cryptocurrencies as asset reserves. Cryptocurrencies are likely to continue to correlate with traditional markets, making them more like tech stocks in a risk-averse environment and less predictable in a risk-averse environment. Asset holdings will expand into the broader crypto ecosystem (such as DeFi and Web3) and emerging asset classes (such as altcoins like Solana).
{future}(BTCUSDT)
{future}(ETHUSDT)
{future}(SOLUSDT)
#BTC走势分析
There is indeed a correlation between the US stock market and the cryptocurrency market.
When US stocks rise, investors' risk appetite increases, and funds may flow into highly volatile assets such as Bitcoin and Ethereum, pushing up coin prices. For example, when Circle's stock price surged 15% in a single day in 2025, Bitcoin rose in tandem. Conversely, a US stock market crash can trigger panic selling in the cryptocurrency market, such as the March 2020 US stock market crash which caused Bitcoin to fall by more than 50% in 48 hours.
If the high US stock market is driven by expectations of a Federal Reserve interest rate cut, a weaker dollar may prompt funds to flow into the cryptocurrency market. However, a sustained strong US stock market could also draw funds away from the cryptocurrency market, inhibiting its growth. Furthermore, when the Dow Jones Industrial Average falls by more than 5% in a single day, discussions about "Bitcoin crash" surge on social media, reflecting the rapid transmission of panic.
Cryptocurrency concept stocks drive the market.
Although there is a short-term correlation, the long-term price of cryptocurrencies is still driven by their own fundamentals. For example, the Bitcoin halving cycle (occurring every four years) significantly impacts the supply-demand balance. After the May 2020 halving, the price surged from $9,000 to $60,000, unrelated to the then-moderate recovery in the US stock market. Furthermore, global regulatory policies (such as the EU's MiCA regulations and the US SEC's stance on crypto ETFs) have a profound impact on the cryptocurrency market.
Market Divergence and Trends in 2025:
In 2025, precious metals (silver up approximately 140% for the year, gold up approximately 70%) and US stocks (Nasdaq up 19%) performed strongly, while cryptocurrencies (Bitcoin down approximately 6% for the year, Ethereum down approximately 12%) failed to maintain the inflows seen at the beginning of the year. The market favors highly liquid, regulated assets with clear rules.
The launch of US spot Bitcoin ETFs lowered the entry barrier for institutional investors, but the ETF effect will fade in the second half of 2025, leaving the market facing issues such as fragile liquidity and high regulatory risks.
Regulation may further converge, and more traditional companies may consider using cryptocurrencies as asset reserves. Cryptocurrencies are likely to continue to correlate with traditional markets, making them more like tech stocks in a risk-averse environment and less predictable in a risk-averse environment. Asset holdings will expand into the broader crypto ecosystem (such as DeFi and Web3) and emerging asset classes (such as altcoins like Solana).
{future}(BTCUSDT)
{future}(ETHUSDT)
{future}(SOLUSDT)
1
How much do you know about Christmas?
Christmas is coming🎄
#比特币与黄金战争
China's approach to Christmas is not simply a prohibition, but is based on cultural confidence and traditional wisdom, emphasizing the value of local traditional festivals.
The conflict between the Five Elements and culture: Christmas belongs to metal in the Five Elements, while Chinese traditional culture places more emphasis on the virtue of earth. Metal overcomes wood; excessive admiration for Western festivals may weaken the foundation of local culture.
The Book of Changes emphasizes "The movement of heaven is strong; a gentleman should constantly strive for self-improvement", adhering to one's own cultural traditions is more in line with Chinese wisdom.
The natural way of traditional festivals: China's twenty-four solar terms are closely related to the laws of celestial and terrestrial motion, for example, eating dumplings during the winter solstice aligns with the balance of yin and yang. In contrast, the red elements of Christmas (which belong to fire in the Five Elements) clash with metal and do not match the traditional atmosphere of China.
It is not a strict prohibition of Christmas, but rather a reinforcement of cultural identity through the promotion of traditional festivals (such as Spring Festival and Winter Solstice).
Modern interpretation of traditional wisdom: From the perspective of destiny and feng shui, the choice of festivals should align with the local atmosphere. For example, Santa Claus's red outfit (fire) clashes with metal, while the colors of Chinese festivals are more harmonious with the Five Elements, reflecting the philosophical idea of "heaven and man in harmony".
{future}(ETHUSDT)
{future}(BTCUSDT)
Christmas is coming🎄
#比特币与黄金战争
China's approach to Christmas is not simply a prohibition, but is based on cultural confidence and traditional wisdom, emphasizing the value of local traditional festivals.
The conflict between the Five Elements and culture: Christmas belongs to metal in the Five Elements, while Chinese traditional culture places more emphasis on the virtue of earth. Metal overcomes wood; excessive admiration for Western festivals may weaken the foundation of local culture.
The Book of Changes emphasizes "The movement of heaven is strong; a gentleman should constantly strive for self-improvement", adhering to one's own cultural traditions is more in line with Chinese wisdom.
The natural way of traditional festivals: China's twenty-four solar terms are closely related to the laws of celestial and terrestrial motion, for example, eating dumplings during the winter solstice aligns with the balance of yin and yang. In contrast, the red elements of Christmas (which belong to fire in the Five Elements) clash with metal and do not match the traditional atmosphere of China.
It is not a strict prohibition of Christmas, but rather a reinforcement of cultural identity through the promotion of traditional festivals (such as Spring Festival and Winter Solstice).
Modern interpretation of traditional wisdom: From the perspective of destiny and feng shui, the choice of festivals should align with the local atmosphere. For example, Santa Claus's red outfit (fire) clashes with metal, while the colors of Chinese festivals are more harmonious with the Five Elements, reflecting the philosophical idea of "heaven and man in harmony".
{future}(ETHUSDT)
{future}(BTCUSDT)
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The Bank of Japan announced an interest rate hike around 11:00 AM Beijing time on December 19, 2025, raising the benchmark rate from 0.5% to 0.75%, in line with market expectations.
This interest rate increase is the first time Japan has reached this rate level since 1995.
This interest rate increase is the first time Japan has reached this rate level since 1995.
1
Currently, at this time of the year-end, I believe the most important thing is 'risk control'.
💸#BTC走势分析
A few days ago, the market fluctuated too much, and everyone has seen it; the signs of the庄出货 and market manipulation are very obvious.
So I personally feel that we should not take large positions to bet on a rebound, because the timing is not right. Also, do not use leverage to go all in, as it is easy to get liquidated with just one fluctuation. These are all dangerous ⚠️
Continuous profit 💰
Take the profit and run 💰
Little by little, it adds up 💰
I personally think this is the best investment strategy at the moment.
Everyone must not get overly excited and mindlessly gamble!
(The above is purely personal sharing and does not constitute investment advice; please make your own choices.)
💸#BTC走势分析
A few days ago, the market fluctuated too much, and everyone has seen it; the signs of the庄出货 and market manipulation are very obvious.
So I personally feel that we should not take large positions to bet on a rebound, because the timing is not right. Also, do not use leverage to go all in, as it is easy to get liquidated with just one fluctuation. These are all dangerous ⚠️
Continuous profit 💰
Take the profit and run 💰
Little by little, it adds up 💰
I personally think this is the best investment strategy at the moment.
Everyone must not get overly excited and mindlessly gamble!
(The above is purely personal sharing and does not constitute investment advice; please make your own choices.)
1
#PIPPIN
This coin is indeed a monster!👺
It blew up my two small positions💥
I don't plan to operate anymore, waiting for a higher point, and I will definitely give it back! Could it go to 1Ｕ?🤣🤣 It probably can't
At this time point, I don't think it can go too high, because the market doesn't allow it.
I have prepared funds, and I am always paying attention to you, this little garbage coin!
This coin is indeed a monster!👺
It blew up my two small positions💥
I don't plan to operate anymore, waiting for a higher point, and I will definitely give it back! Could it go to 1Ｕ?🤣🤣 It probably can't
At this time point, I don't think it can go too high, because the market doesn't allow it.
I have prepared funds, and I am always paying attention to you, this little garbage coin!
1
⚠️Contract Goddess Recruitment Across the Network⚡️
Requirements: 1. Just be pretty😀
2. Know how to play contracts💸
3. Have your own trading strategy, mindset, and insights🫡
🌪️🎄🎄🎄🎄🎄🎄
#BTC
This live broadcast room provides funds, with 100U operating capital for each person!
If you have the ability, come on down!
🎁🎁🎁🎁🎁
Contract Goddess Trading Competition. 💸
If you are interested, you can contact me to participate!
Do you play contracts? Then come and join the competition!！💰💰💰💰🎁🎁🎁
{future}(BTCUSDT)
Requirements: 1. Just be pretty😀
2. Know how to play contracts💸
3. Have your own trading strategy, mindset, and insights🫡
🌪️🎄🎄🎄🎄🎄🎄
#BTC
This live broadcast room provides funds, with 100U operating capital for each person!
If you have the ability, come on down!
🎁🎁🎁🎁🎁
Contract Goddess Trading Competition. 💸
If you are interested, you can contact me to participate!
Do you play contracts? Then come and join the competition!！💰💰💰💰🎁🎁🎁
{future}(BTCUSDT)
Btc
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Byc
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Isn't this just the moment for a crash?🤣🤣🈳
Unfortunately, the price point is a bit too high...
#PIPPIN
{future}(PIPPINUSDT)
Unfortunately, the price point is a bit too high...
#PIPPIN
{future}(PIPPINUSDT)
1
The Goddess of Contract Trading Competition is tonight, from 20:00—0:00PM，Beijing time.
All the surprises are in the Cola Crypto‘s live stream!
Stay Tuned！💸
🎁 🎁 🎁
All the surprises are in the Cola Crypto‘s live stream!
Stay Tuned！💸
🎁 🎁 🎁
Fheup
Naccy小妹
--
Alert! $FHE 's big ups and downs hide opportunities, a showdown between bulls and bears is timely
Soaring from a bottom of 0.014U to around 0.08U, FHE has experienced a violent rally, and its volatile trend is particularly appealing to contract players!
Binance's contract trading volume has surged sharply, with the trading volume to market cap ratio approaching 1:1, and the extremely high turnover rate confirms the market's heightened attention. The battle between bulls and bears is fierce, and the arbitrage window is clearly visible, making it a golden target for swing trading.
The core driver of this market wave is a significant good news released by the project team: directly throwing 1% of Pippin tokens into ecological incentives, showcasing their confidence with real financial investment. More notably, FHE is anchored to the Solana ecosystem expansion, collaborating with Pippin to deeply cultivate the AI Agent scenario implementation, moving beyond mere technical concepts to address the genuine needs of the mainstream ecosystem.
With the staking activities linked to Chainlink, under the resonance of multiple positive factors, the popularity of $FHE continues to rise. Many players are slapping their thighs in regret, having missed the first wave of dividends from the official announcement—understanding the trend is essential to keep up with this ecological explosion!
$FHE #FHE
Soaring from a bottom of 0.014U to around 0.08U, FHE has experienced a violent rally, and its volatile trend is particularly appealing to contract players!
Binance's contract trading volume has surged sharply, with the trading volume to market cap ratio approaching 1:1, and the extremely high turnover rate confirms the market's heightened attention. The battle between bulls and bears is fierce, and the arbitrage window is clearly visible, making it a golden target for swing trading.
The core driver of this market wave is a significant good news released by the project team: directly throwing 1% of Pippin tokens into ecological incentives, showcasing their confidence with real financial investment. More notably, FHE is anchored to the Solana ecosystem expansion, collaborating with Pippin to deeply cultivate the AI Agent scenario implementation, moving beyond mere technical concepts to address the genuine needs of the mainstream ecosystem.
With the staking activities linked to Chainlink, under the resonance of multiple positive factors, the popularity of $FHE continues to rise. Many players are slapping their thighs in regret, having missed the first wave of dividends from the official announcement—understanding the trend is essential to keep up with this ecological explosion!
$FHE #FHE
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