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PhyrexNi

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Russell 2000 & Ethereum & Altcoin Season (II)According to the expected data for earnings growth in 2026 provided by Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research, Goldman believes that 2026 should be a year of comprehensive explosion for the US stock market. The five indices include the S&P 500, equal-weighted S&P 500, Nasdaq 100, S&P MidCap 400, and Russell 2000. The expectations for these five indices are that they will exceed 2025 and 2024 in 2026. However, the growth rates of the first three indices are relatively limited, while the S&P MidCap 400 and Russell 2000 show significant improvements, especially the earnings expectation for Russell 2000 can grow by 66%. This indicates that Goldman expects small-cap stocks to likely experience a cyclical explosion from 'earnings bottom to earnings reversal' in 2026.

Russell 2000 & Ethereum & Altcoin Season (II)

According to the expected data for earnings growth in 2026 provided by Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research, Goldman believes that 2026 should be a year of comprehensive explosion for the US stock market. The five indices include the S&P 500, equal-weighted S&P 500, Nasdaq 100, S&P MidCap 400, and Russell 2000. The expectations for these five indices are that they will exceed 2025 and 2024 in 2026.

However, the growth rates of the first three indices are relatively limited, while the S&P MidCap 400 and Russell 2000 show significant improvements, especially the earnings expectation for Russell 2000 can grow by 66%. This indicates that Goldman expects small-cap stocks to likely experience a cyclical explosion from 'earnings bottom to earnings reversal' in 2026.
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Russell 2000 & Ethereum & Altcoin SeasonMy personal opinion remains that the Russell 2000 will have a certain connection with $ETH and the altcoin season. The Russell 2000 represents small-cap stocks in the US market. When the overall market liquidity is poor and risk appetite is low, funds tend to concentrate on relatively safer assets, such as the biggest safe assets this cycle, which are AI and tech stocks. Comparison of the performance of the Russell 2000 and ETH As the leader of altcoins, it can basically be judged that if ETH does not rise, the arrival of the altcoin season will be very difficult. Moreover, ETH and $BTC have a similar status in the political realm, both being the first and second spot ETFs, and the only two ETFs actively applied for by BlackRock. Although there is still some gap in terms of capital, the correlation between these two cryptocurrencies is the highest in terms of political relevance and narrative.

Russell 2000 & Ethereum & Altcoin Season

My personal opinion remains that the Russell 2000 will have a certain connection with $ETH and the altcoin season. The Russell 2000 represents small-cap stocks in the US market. When the overall market liquidity is poor and risk appetite is low, funds tend to concentrate on relatively safer assets, such as the biggest safe assets this cycle, which are AI and tech stocks.

Comparison of the performance of the Russell 2000 and ETH
As the leader of altcoins, it can basically be judged that if ETH does not rise, the arrival of the altcoin season will be very difficult. Moreover, ETH and $BTC have a similar status in the political realm, both being the first and second spot ETFs, and the only two ETFs actively applied for by BlackRock. Although there is still some gap in terms of capital, the correlation between these two cryptocurrencies is the highest in terms of political relevance and narrative.
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This time I filmed the entire venue of #BBWDubai2025 , recorded over 200G, interviewed more than 30 friends, with a total duration of over four hours. I am currently editing it and will first show the trailer to the friends in the square.
This time I filmed the entire venue of #BBWDubai2025 , recorded over 200G, interviewed more than 30 friends, with a total duration of over four hours. I am currently editing it and will first show the trailer to the friends in the square.
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Just saw Binance's new Alpha and the contract has also entered the currently popular x402 track, with projects in the related track rising in turn, and the Semantic Layer is also beginning to emerge. It is a decentralized semantic layer network that gives each dApp sovereignty over transaction execution and a programmable MEV supply chain, achieving autonomous transaction ordering and control over profit distribution. Core features include ACE application autonomous sorting, programmable MEV profit chain, fair distribution layer, and collateralizable order flow structure. Its Token $42 serves a dual role as network fuel and value anchor, used for node staking, Gas payments, AgentFi profit collateralization, and governance voting. The team comes from Flashbots, Anoma, EigenLayer, and has received investments from top funds like Figment, Fenbushi, Hack VC, making it one of the few projects with both a capital background and tangible products.
Just saw Binance's new Alpha and the contract has also entered the currently popular x402 track, with projects in the related track rising in turn, and the Semantic Layer is also beginning to emerge. It is a decentralized semantic layer network that gives each dApp sovereignty over transaction execution and a programmable MEV supply chain, achieving autonomous transaction ordering and control over profit distribution.

Core features include ACE application autonomous sorting, programmable MEV profit chain, fair distribution layer, and collateralizable order flow structure. Its Token $42 serves a dual role as network fuel and value anchor, used for node staking, Gas payments, AgentFi profit collateralization, and governance voting.

The team comes from Flashbots, Anoma, EigenLayer, and has received investments from top funds like Figment, Fenbushi, Hack VC, making it one of the few projects with both a capital background and tangible products.
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Major Event! Must-Read for Project Teams!! Today, the SEC's cryptocurrency ETP (spot ETF) "listing standards" have been released through new exchange filing documents. Summary: Any futures-tracking coin that has been listed on the Coinbase derivatives exchange for more than 6 months will be approved. This rule also promotes the possibility of staking through proposed rule 14.11 (e)(4)(G), which requires that if the assets available for immediate redemption are less than 85%, a liquidity risk management plan must be implemented. This regulation requires public comments and review. The comment period is likely to end 21 days after publication in the Federal Register. For newer altcoins without futures or Meme coins (such as Bonk and Trump coins), ETF approval will require compliance with the 40 Act. History shows that the 33 Act is more popular because it is purely spot.
Major Event! Must-Read for Project Teams!!

Today, the SEC's cryptocurrency ETP (spot ETF) "listing standards" have been released through new exchange filing documents. Summary:

Any futures-tracking coin that has been listed on the Coinbase derivatives exchange for more than 6 months will be approved.

This rule also promotes the possibility of staking through proposed rule 14.11 (e)(4)(G), which requires that if the assets available for immediate redemption are less than 85%, a liquidity risk management plan must be implemented.

This regulation requires public comments and review. The comment period is likely to end 21 days after publication in the Federal Register.

For newer altcoins without futures or Meme coins (such as Bonk and Trump coins), ETF approval will require compliance with the 40 Act. History shows that the 33 Act is more popular because it is purely spot.
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EU's von der Leyen: The trade agreement with the United States will bring stability, agreeing to implement a unified 15% tariff.
EU's von der Leyen: The trade agreement with the United States will bring stability, agreeing to implement a unified 15% tariff.
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Trump: We have reached an agreement with the EU, the EU will agree to purchase $750 billion worth of American energy, reaching the largest agreement ever, the EU agrees to open national trade with 0% tariffs, the EU will purchase hundreds of billions of dollars in military equipment.
Trump: We have reached an agreement with the EU, the EU will agree to purchase $750 billion worth of American energy, reaching the largest agreement ever, the EU agrees to open national trade with 0% tariffs, the EU will purchase hundreds of billions of dollars in military equipment.
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Trump reiterated that the chances of reaching a trade agreement with the EU are fifty-fifty, and there are 3 to 4 difficulties in the EU trade negotiations, with the tariff rate on the EU not to be lower than 15%. All trade agreements will begin on August 1. EU's von der Leyen: Reaching an agreement with Trump, believes the possibility of reaching an agreement is fifty-fifty.
Trump reiterated that the chances of reaching a trade agreement with the EU are fifty-fifty, and there are 3 to 4 difficulties in the EU trade negotiations, with the tariff rate on the EU not to be lower than 15%. All trade agreements will begin on August 1.

EU's von der Leyen: Reaching an agreement with Trump, believes the possibility of reaching an agreement is fifty-fifty.
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China and the United States will extend the tariff suspension period by another 90 days during talks in Sweden. This should be a good sign, avoiding a direct confrontation between China and the United States. The market now has 90 more days of imaginative space; if I had seen this news earlier, I might have held off on closing my positions.
China and the United States will extend the tariff suspension period by another 90 days during talks in Sweden.

This should be a good sign, avoiding a direct confrontation between China and the United States. The market now has 90 more days of imaginative space; if I had seen this news earlier, I might have held off on closing my positions.
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The results of doing something with a utilitarian mindset and doing it with a sense of public good are completely different. The more one pursues quick profits, the more likely they are to be bitten by the market. Sometimes, simplicity is better. Focus on doing one thing and do it to the fullest, have more ideals and less scheming, and you'll find it easier to succeed.
The results of doing something with a utilitarian mindset and doing it with a sense of public good are completely different. The more one pursues quick profits, the more likely they are to be bitten by the market. Sometimes, simplicity is better. Focus on doing one thing and do it to the fullest, have more ideals and less scheming, and you'll find it easier to succeed.
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China indicates that BRICS countries will soon take measures to reduce dependence on the US dollar.
China indicates that BRICS countries will soon take measures to reduce dependence on the US dollar.
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Trump: If we reach an agreement, the EU deal will be the biggest ever, let's see on Sunday if we can reach an agreement with the EU.
Trump: If we reach an agreement, the EU deal will be the biggest ever, let's see on Sunday if we can reach an agreement with the EU.
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When Trump invests a trillion in AI, who is providing trustworthy data for AI? When Trump invests a trillion dollars in AI, it may seem like a competition between models, chips, and data centers, but it also raises deeper questions about how the data that AI models rely on is validated, whether it is traceable, whether the training process is a black box, and whether the inference process can be audited. Can models collaborate, or must they fight their own battles? In simpler terms, when we obtain information from AI, who can ensure that the information provided by AI is correct? Data pollution is no longer just a joking term; a certain AI application that once claimed to be a ChatGPT killer has been deeply mired in a data pollution environment. When the data sources are all incorrect, how can the answers provided be right? Is today's AI intelligent? Maybe it is, but even the smartest AI needs model training. However, we cannot know which data was used for model training, we cannot verify whether the GPU actually completed an inference process, and we cannot establish a trust logic among multiple models. To truly advance AI to the next generation, we may need to solve these three problems simultaneously: 1. Training data must be trustworthy and verifiable. 2. The inference process must be auditable by third-party models. 3. Models must be able to coordinate computing power, exchange tasks, and share results without needing a platform to mediate. This cannot be solved by a single model, a single API, or a single GPU platform; it requires a truly constructed system for AI. This system should not only store data permanently and at low cost, giving the data itself the rights to be reviewed and to review, but also allow models to validate inference against each other. It must also support models in autonomously discovering computing power, coordinating tasks, and auditing every step of execution under specific conditions. This is difficult to achieve on centralized platforms, so is it possible to implement it on decentralized platforms? And why should we use a decentralized approach? I believe only blockchain can truly integrate "data storage, data execution, and data verification" into the same underlying network. This is also one of the greatest attractions of blockchain: immutability and transparency. However, the problem is that not every chain is suitable for serving as the underlying layer for AI. If purely for storage, IPFS protocol already exists, but mere storage is not enough. We also need the ability for smart contracts to directly invoke data, audit inference results, and even coordinate GPU resources to complete computational tasks. These features, not to mention IPFS, are currently beyond the capabilities of most L1 or AI applications. If there is any real connection, it might be that @irys_xyz has some opportunities. Irys is not a traditional storage chain but is prepared to be built into a data execution network for AI, treating data as programmable assets. Models can read data on-chain, validate inferences, invoke computing power, and implement pricing, authorization, profit-sharing, and verification through smart contracts. Of course, Irys still has some immature aspects at the moment, but this developmental direction seems correct. And whether it is centralized AI or decentralized AI, if the data sources are not trustworthy, then all computing power is like building a tower on sand. No matter how strong the model is, it is just a moon in the water and a flower in the mirror.
When Trump invests a trillion in AI, who is providing trustworthy data for AI?

When Trump invests a trillion dollars in AI, it may seem like a competition between models, chips, and data centers, but it also raises deeper questions about how the data that AI models rely on is validated, whether it is traceable, whether the training process is a black box, and whether the inference process can be audited. Can models collaborate, or must they fight their own battles?

In simpler terms, when we obtain information from AI, who can ensure that the information provided by AI is correct? Data pollution is no longer just a joking term; a certain AI application that once claimed to be a ChatGPT killer has been deeply mired in a data pollution environment. When the data sources are all incorrect, how can the answers provided be right?

Is today's AI intelligent? Maybe it is, but even the smartest AI needs model training. However, we cannot know which data was used for model training, we cannot verify whether the GPU actually completed an inference process, and we cannot establish a trust logic among multiple models.

To truly advance AI to the next generation, we may need to solve these three problems simultaneously:

1. Training data must be trustworthy and verifiable.

2. The inference process must be auditable by third-party models.

3. Models must be able to coordinate computing power, exchange tasks, and share results without needing a platform to mediate.

This cannot be solved by a single model, a single API, or a single GPU platform; it requires a truly constructed system for AI. This system should not only store data permanently and at low cost, giving the data itself the rights to be reviewed and to review, but also allow models to validate inference against each other. It must also support models in autonomously discovering computing power, coordinating tasks, and auditing every step of execution under specific conditions.

This is difficult to achieve on centralized platforms, so is it possible to implement it on decentralized platforms? And why should we use a decentralized approach?

I believe only blockchain can truly integrate "data storage, data execution, and data verification" into the same underlying network. This is also one of the greatest attractions of blockchain: immutability and transparency. However, the problem is that not every chain is suitable for serving as the underlying layer for AI.

If purely for storage, IPFS protocol already exists, but mere storage is not enough. We also need the ability for smart contracts to directly invoke data, audit inference results, and even coordinate GPU resources to complete computational tasks. These features, not to mention IPFS, are currently beyond the capabilities of most L1 or AI applications.

If there is any real connection, it might be that @irys_xyz has some opportunities. Irys is not a traditional storage chain but is prepared to be built into a data execution network for AI, treating data as programmable assets. Models can read data on-chain, validate inferences, invoke computing power, and implement pricing, authorization, profit-sharing, and verification through smart contracts.

Of course, Irys still has some immature aspects at the moment, but this developmental direction seems correct. And whether it is centralized AI or decentralized AI, if the data sources are not trustworthy, then all computing power is like building a tower on sand. No matter how strong the model is, it is just a moon in the water and a flower in the mirror.
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CNN report: Powell has told several colleagues and allies that he will never yield to President Donald Trump's demands for him to resign, pledging to stand firm for months against the unprecedented multi-faceted attacks from the president due to his refusal to cut interest rates.
CNN report: Powell has told several colleagues and allies that he will never yield to President Donald Trump's demands for him to resign, pledging to stand firm for months against the unprecedented multi-faceted attacks from the president due to his refusal to cut interest rates.
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BlackRock's Head of Digital Assets Joseph Chalom has left today to join the second largest #Ethereum treasury company Sharplink Gaming as Co-CEO. Chalom had worked at BlackRock for nearly 20 years, driving key projects such as the $ETH spot ETF, $BTC spot ETF, and blockchain tokenization funds, and was responsible for collaborations with institutions like Coinbase, Circle, and BNY Mellon.
BlackRock's Head of Digital Assets Joseph Chalom has left today to join the second largest #Ethereum treasury company Sharplink Gaming as Co-CEO.

Chalom had worked at BlackRock for nearly 20 years, driving key projects such as the $ETH spot ETF, $BTC spot ETF, and blockchain tokenization funds, and was responsible for collaborations with institutions like Coinbase, Circle, and BNY Mellon.
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Trump: I am considering issuing rebate checks to low-income Americans. I will use tariff revenue to rebate to Americans.
Trump: I am considering issuing rebate checks to low-income Americans. I will use tariff revenue to rebate to Americans.
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Trump: Most agreements will be completed before August 1st, and if not, then all will be completed. Most trade agreements are now completed. I haven't had much luck with Canada. I may impose tariffs unilaterally on Canada. There isn't much room for negotiation, and I don't intend to focus on reaching an agreement with Canada.
Trump: Most agreements will be completed before August 1st, and if not, then all will be completed. Most trade agreements are now completed. I haven't had much luck with Canada. I may impose tariffs unilaterally on Canada. There isn't much room for negotiation, and I don't intend to focus on reaching an agreement with Canada.
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Trump: We have a framework for our agreement with China. What China is doing is striving for a weaker currency. We are close to reaching a trade agreement with China. I have had many different disputes with Chinese President Xi Jinping. China and Japan dominate due to weak currencies.
Trump: We have a framework for our agreement with China. What China is doing is striving for a weaker currency. We are close to reaching a trade agreement with China. I have had many different disputes with Chinese President Xi Jinping. China and Japan dominate due to weak currencies.
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Trump: Powell is a very good man. Felt from Powell yesterday that he might be ready to lower interest rates. Had a good conversation with Powell about interest rates.
Trump: Powell is a very good man. Felt from Powell yesterday that he might be ready to lower interest rates. Had a good conversation with Powell about interest rates.
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It is said that the Bank of Japan expects to have enough data by the end of the year to assess the possibility of raising interest rates, and does not rule out the possibility that the Bank of Japan may raise interest rates this year.
It is said that the Bank of Japan expects to have enough data by the end of the year to assess the possibility of raising interest rates, and does not rule out the possibility that the Bank of Japan may raise interest rates this year.
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