ELGRINGO

$BTC $ETH $SOL

🚨 **BITCOIN CYCLE MATH – MOST PEOPLE IGNORE THIS** 🚨
📌 **BTC TOPS FOLLOW A CLEAR COMPRESSION MODEL BASED ON THE HALVING PRICE**
THIS IS DATA, NOT HOPIUM.
---
## 📊 HISTORICAL HALVING → TOP MULTIPLES
⛏️ 2012 HALVING ~$12 → TOP ~$1,150
➡️ **~95X**
⛏️ 2016 HALVING ~$650 → TOP ~$20,000
➡️ **~30X**
⛏️ 2020 HALVING ~$8,600 → TOP ~$69,000
➡️ **~8X**
👉 EACH CYCLE = LOWER MULTIPLE
👉 BITCOIN IS MATURING
👉 NO MORE X50 / X100 FANTASIES
---
## ⛏️ 2024 HALVING PRICE
🔥 **~$63,000** 🔥
BASED ON HISTORICAL COMPRESSION 👇
---
## 🎯 NEXT CYCLE TOP ESTIMATES
🔵 CONSERVATIVE SCENARIO
➡️ **X2.5**
📍 **$150K – $170K**
🟢 MOST PROBABLE SCENARIO
➡️ **X3 – X3.5**
📍 **$190K – $220K** ⭐️
🟣 VERY STRONG CYCLE
➡️ **X4**
📍 **~$250K**
⚠️ ABOVE $300K = HISTORICAL BREAK / EXTREME LIQUIDITY EVENT
---
## 📌 SMART DISTRIBUTION ZONES (FUTURES / SPOT)
💰 ZONE 1: **$150K – $170K**
➡️ TAKE 20–30% PROFITS
💰 ZONE 2: **$190K – $220K**
➡️ MAIN DISTRIBUTION (40–50%)
💰 ZONE 3: **$230K – $260K**
➡️ FINAL EXIT / POTENTIAL SHORT SETUPS
---
## 🧠 KEY TAKEAWAY
❌ TOPS ARE NOT RANDOM
❌ BITCOIN IS NOT A CASINO
✅ HALVINGS DEFINE THE STRUCTURE
LOWER MULTIPLES.
HIGHER PRICE FLOORS.
CLEAR DISTRIBUTION ZONES.
📈 **TRADE THE CYCLE — NOT THE NOISE** 🚀

⚠️ **DISCLAIMER:** THIS POST IS FOR INFORMATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY AND DOES NOT CONSTITUTE FINANCIAL ADVICE. ALWAYS DO YOUR OWN RESEARCH BEFORE INVESTING IN CRYPTO

$BTC $ETH $SOL

BITCOIN FACT THAT MOST PEOPLE IGNORE 👇
🔥 **BTC HAS NEVER GONE BELOW ITS PREVIOUS HALVING PRICE** 🔥
THIS IS NOT AN OPINION. THIS IS DATA.
📊 HISTORICAL FACTS:
* 2012 HALVING: ~$12 → BEAR LOW ~$65 (+440%)
* 2016 HALVING: ~$650 → BEAR LOW ~$3,100 (+377%)
* 2020 HALVING: ~$8,600 → BEAR LOW ~$15,500 (+80%)
📉 KEY INSIGHT:
EACH CYCLE, THE BEAR MARKET LOW STAYS **ABOVE** THE HALVING PRICE —
AND THE DISTANCE IS COMPRESSING AS BTC MATURES.
⛏️ WHY THIS MATTERS:
* HALVING = PERMANENT SUPPLY SHOCK
* STRONG LONG-TERM BUYING BELOW HALVING PRICE
* STRUCTURAL FLOOR, NOT RANDOM PRICE ACTION
🚨 2024 HALVING PRICE:
~**$63,000**
📌 BASED ON HISTORICAL COMPRESSION, NEXT BEAR MARKET LOW ESTIMATE: ~$82,000
⚠️ A MOVE BELOW $63K WOULD BE:
❌ A HISTORICAL FIRST
❌ A MAJOR REGIME BREAK
❌ LIKELY TIED TO EXTREME MACRO EVENTS
🧠 THIS IS WHY EXTREME BEAR TARGETS IGNORE STRUCTURE.
ZOOM OUT.
STUDY THE HALVINGS.
RESPECT THE DATA. 🚀📈

⚠️ **DISCLAIMER:** THIS POST IS FOR INFORMATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY AND DOES NOT CONSTITUTE FINANCIAL ADVICE. ALWAYS DO YOUR OWN RESEARCH BEFORE INVESTING IN CRYPTO

$BTC $ETH $SOL

STAY BULLISH

⚠️ **DISCLAIMER:** THIS POST IS FOR INFORMATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY AND DOES NOT CONSTITUTE FINANCIAL ADVICE. ALWAYS DO YOUR OWN RESEARCH BEFORE INVESTING IN CRYPTO

$BTC $ETH $SOL

オプション 1 : 私たちは84Kから反発し、新たな高値を見る
オプション 2 : 私たちは下回り、70Kを見る

⚠️ **免責事項:** この投稿は情報提供のみを目的としており、財務アドバイスを構成するものではありません。暗号に投資する前に必ず自分で調査を行ってください。

$BTC $ETH $SOL

🚀 BTC / XAU = MACRO GREEN LIGHT FOR BTC! 🚀
✅ ABOVE WEEKLY SUPPORT = LONGS ALLOWED
⚠️ BELOW SUPPORT = STAY DEFENSIVE
💥 BTC / XAU LEADS, BTC/USD FOLLOWS
🔥 BEST SETUPS : WHEN BTC / XAU REBOUNDS + RSI & PMO UP

⚠️ **DISCLAIMER:** THIS POST IS FOR INFORMATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY AND DOES NOT CONSTITUTE FINANCIAL ADVICE. ALWAYS DO YOUR OWN RESEARCH BEFORE INVESTING IN CRYPTO

$BTC $ETH $SOL

🚀🔥 NEW FED PRESIDENT MAY 2026 — RATE CUTS ACCELERATE! 🔥🚀

⚡ EVEN IF MARKETS SWING IN THE MEANTIME, BTC & CRYPTO ARE POSITIONED FOR MASSIVE UPSIDE!

❤️🔥 STAY BULLISH! ❤️🔥

⚠️ **DISCLAIMER:** THIS POST IS FOR INFORMATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY AND DOES NOT CONSTITUTE FINANCIAL ADVICE. ALWAYS DO YOUR OWN RESEARCH BEFORE INVESTING IN CRYPTO

$BTC $ETH $SOL

🔥📅 **経済アジェンダ — 2026年1月の第一週** 📅🔥

⚡ **2026年1月5日 — FED NOWCAST**
📊 アメリカの成長の迅速な推定 — 市場に影響を与える可能性
⚡ **2026年1月6日 — ADP雇用報告**
💼 今年の最初の主要な雇用信号 — ドルと暗号に影響
⚡ **2026年1月6日 — GSCPI (FED)**
🌍 サプライチェーン圧力指数 — インフレ傾向の初期信号
⚡ **2026年1月7日 — ADPの更新 / 修正**
📈 早期の雇用市場の勢いを確認または逆転

🔥 **重要な理由**
💣 これらのリリースは高いボラティリティを引き起こす可能性がある
💸 金利、USDの動き、暗号のセンチメントに影響を与える
🚀 大きな市場の揺れに向けた完璧なセットアップ

⚠️ **免責事項:** この投稿は情報提供のみを目的としており、財務アドバイスを構成するものではありません。暗号に投資する前に必ず独自のリサーチを行ってください。

$BTC $ETH $SOL

🚨 **FED ALERT! NEXT BIG DATES FOR BTC** 🚨

📅 **Dec 9–10, 2025**
📅 **Jan 27–28, 2026**
📅 **Mar 17–18, 2026**
📅 **Apr 28–29, 2026**
📅 **Jun 16–17, 2026**
📅 **Jul 28–29, 2026**
📅 **Sep 15–16, 2026**
📅 **Oct 27–28, 2026**
📅 **Dec 8–9, 2026**

⚡ WHY IT MATTERS: BTC AND CRYPTO MARKETS REACT STRONGLY TO FED RATE & QE/QT DECISIONS. KEEP YOUR ALERTS ON!

💎 TIP: WATCH DEC 9–10, 2025 CLOSELY — POTENTIAL VOLATILITY SPIKE

⚠️ **DISCLAIMER:** THIS POST IS FOR INFORMATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY AND DOES NOT CONSTITUTE FINANCIAL ADVICE. ALWAYS DO YOUR OWN RESEARCH BEFORE INVESTING IN CRYPT

$BTC $ETH $SOL

**🚨 BEARISH SCENARIO ON BITCOIN 🚨**

🔥 THIS IS THE LAST CHANCE FOR BEARS 🔥

📉 BTC COULD START A STRONG MOVE DOWN THERE
🎯 MAIN TARGET BELOW 74,000$
👉 HUGE LIQUIDITY POOL BELOW
👉 PERFECT RETEST LEVEL
👉 HIGH-PROBABILITY BEARISH SETUP

⚠️ IF BTC FAILS TO CLOSE ABOVE THIS LEVEL THE MARKET COULD TURN SHARPLY BEARISH

**STAY READY. VOLATILITY WILL BE BRUTAL.** 🔻🔥

⚠️ **DISCLAIMER:** THIS POST IS FOR INFORMATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY AND DOES NOT CONSTITUTE FINANCIAL ADVICE. ALWAYS DO YOUR OWN RESEARCH BEFORE INVESTING IN CRYPTO

$SEI

🔥🚀💎 SEI AT THE BEST ENTRY PRICE! 💎🚀🔥

💚📈 BULLISH ALERT! SEI IS READY TO TAKE OFF!

💎 PERFECT ENTRY FOR STRONG UPSIDE!

⚡🎯 NEXT TARGETS LOADING… MASSIVE GAINS POSSIBLE!

✅💸 HODL & RIDE THE WAVE!

⚠️ **DISCLAIMER:** THIS POST IS FOR INFORMATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY AND DOES NOT CONSTITUTE FINANCIAL ADVICE. ALWAYS DO YOUR OWN RESEARCH BEFORE INVESTING IN CRYPTO

$SUI NEXT $SOL

🚀💎 MASSIVE BULL ALERT! THE SEC APPROVES THE FIRST EVER 2X LEVERAGED SUI ETF ⚡️🔥 READY TO MOON! 🌕🚀

⚠️ **DISCLAIMER:** THIS POST IS FOR INFORMATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY AND DOES NOT CONSTITUTE FINANCIAL ADVICE. ALWAYS DO YOUR OWN RESEARCH BEFORE INVESTING IN CRYPTO

$BTC $ETH $SOL
---
# 🔍 **EXPLANATION OF THE SIGNALS — BTC WEEKLY**
### 🔴 **1. RED CIRCLE = MACD BEARISH CROSS**
THE MACD TURNED **RED**, SIGNALING BEARISH MOMENTUM. 📉
---
### ⛔ **2. RED SQUARE = FULL BEARISH CONFIRMATION**
THIS HAPPENS WHEN:
* THE **PMO BREAKS BELOW** ITS TRENDLINE → BEARISH TREND 📉
* THE **RSI (7) ENTERS OVERSOLD** → SELLING PRESSURE EXTREME ⚠️
---
### 🟢 **3. GREEN CIRCLE = MACD BULLISH CROSS**
THE MACD TURNED **GREEN**, SHOWING MOMENTUM RECOVERY. 📈✨
---
### ✅ **4. GREEN SQUARE = FULL BULLISH CONFIRMATION**
THIS HAPPENS WHEN:
* THE **PMO IS ABOVE** ITS TRENDLINE → BULLISH TREND 📈
* THE **RSI (7) ENTERS OVERBOUGHT** → BULLISH REVERSAL ZONE 💚🔥
---
### 🟡 **5. YELLOW MOVING AVERAGE = SMA 100 WEEKLY**
### 🟠 **6. ORANGE MOVING AVERAGE = EMA 100 WEEKLY**
BOTH ARE **IN PERFECT CONFLUENCE** WITH THE **OTE ZONE** OF THE LAST BULLISH MOVE.
➡️ MAJOR SUPPORT AREA. 🛡️💥
---
### ⬜ **7. UPPER WHITE BOX = WEEKLY RESISTANCE ZONE**
📌 BETWEEN **$91,280 AND $102,400**
➡️ BTC MUST BREAK THIS ZONE TO CONTINUE HIGHER. 🚀
---
### ⬜ **8. LOWER WHITE BOX = WEEKLY SUPPORT ZONE**
IF BTC BREAKS BELOW:
* THE **OTE ZONE**
* THE **SMA 100 + EMA 100**
➡️ THE NEXT SUPPORT IS **$64,420 – $73,880**. ⚠️🧊

⚠️ **DISCLAIMER:** THIS POST IS FOR INFORMATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY AND DOES NOT CONSTITUTE FINANCIAL ADVICE. ALWAYS DO YOUR OWN RESEARCH BEFORE INVESTING IN CRYPTO

$BTC $SUI $SOL

📊🌍 マクロ 2026 🚀

💸 低下する金利 ➜ より多くの市場流動性

💵 弱いドル (DXY↓) ➜ ビットコインの強化

🔥 安定したインフレーション 2–3% ➜ リスク資産にとってプラス

🌱 世界的成長 ~3% ➜ リセッションなし、健全な市場

🌍 新興市場への投資流入 ➜ 暗号通貨への新しい資本

🤖 AI & テクノロジーが経済的モメンタムを推進 ➜ NASDAQ & BTCとの相関

⚠️ 世界的な債務は高水準を維持 ➜ 中央銀行は流動性を支える可能性が高い

🚀 結論 : 暗号通貨に対する強気のセッティング

✔️ BTC & ETH が動きをリード

✔️ アルトコインは遅れて続く

⚠️ **免責事項:** この投稿は情報提供の目的のみであり、金融アドバイスを構成するものではありません。投資する前に必ずご自身で調査を行ってください。

$BTC $ETH $SOL

#BITCOIN VS #GOLD — WHAT THE CHARTS REALLY SHOW 🪙🌕

# 🥇 GOLD = SLOW & STEADY
📉 10–20 YEAR CYCLES
📈 VERY SLOW GROWTH OVER 50 YEARS
🪨 LONG-TERM TREND IS FLAT/STEADY
⚠️ NO STRUCTURAL ACCELERATION
---
# 🚀 BITCOIN = EXPLOSIVE & EXPONENTIAL
🔥 4-YEAR CYCLES (HALVINGS)
📈 EACH CYCLE = NEW ALL-TIME HIGH
💥 EXPONENTIAL GROWTH CONSISTENTLY
⚡ HUGE DRAWDOWNS BUT QUICK RECOVERY
---
# 📊 GRAPHICAL CONCLUSION
🔍 BTC HAS DONE IN 15 YEARS WHAT GOLD TOOK 50 YEARS TO DO
📈 BTC SLOPE = 15× FASTER THAN GOLD
🔥 EVERY BTC CYCLE OUTPERFORMS GOLD
🪨 GOLD = SLOW, BTC = EXPONENTIAL
---
# 🚀 FUTURE GRAPHICAL PROJECTION
🎯 BTC 2030 TARGET (LOG CHANNEL) = **$250K – $600K**
🎯 BTC 2040 TARGET (LOG CHANNEL) = **$1M – $2.5M**

💖🔥(NOT A PRICE PREDICTION — JUST WHAT THE HISTORICAL LOG TREND SHOWS)💖🔥

⚠️ **DISCLAIMER:** THIS POST IS FOR INFORMATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY AND DOES NOT CONSTITUTE FINANCIAL ADVICE. ALWAYS DO YOUR OWN RESEARCH BEFORE INVESTING IN CRYPT

$BTC $ETH $SOL

HOPE YOU TOOK THE LAST TRADE IDEA ON #BTC NOW YOU CAN PUT YOUR STOP AT B.E OR TAKE SOME PROFIT IT'S UP TO YOU .............PEACE

🔥 **BTC BOUNCED FROM THE WEEKLY EMA 100 AND SMA 100**
💥 MAJOR SUPPORT CONFIRMED
🚀 BULLISH CONTINUATION FAVORED
🟢 DIP WAS JUST A RETEST
📈 MOMENTUM READY TO RE-ACCELERATE

⚠️ **DISCLAIMER:** THIS POST IS FOR INFORMATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY AND DOES NOT CONSTITUTE FINANCIAL ADVICE. ALWAYS DO YOUR OWN RESEARCH BEFORE INVESTING IN CRYPTO

🚀🔥 **BTC/XAU ANALYSIS — EXTREME OVERSOLD & MASSIVE REVERSAL SETUP** 🔥🚀
📉 **THE RATIO JUST HIT THE 0.618 FIBONACCI LEVEL** — HISTORICALLY ONE OF THE STRONGEST BOUNCE ZONES 💥
📊 **PMO AT –0.5** = BEARISH MOMENTUM IS LOSING FORCE 😤➡️📈
THIS IS TYPICALLY WHERE REVERSALS BEGIN 🌀
⚠️ **RSI(7) AT 20** = EXTREME OVERSOLD 😱
MARKET IS STRETCHED TO THE DOWNSIDE AND READY FOR A VIOLENT REBOUND 🚀💚
💡 **ALL INDICATORS POINT TO THE SAME SCENARIO:**
✅ BTC/XAU IS AT A MAJOR SUPPORT
✅ MOMENTUM IS EXHAUSTED
✅ PROBABILITY OF A STRONG BOUNCE IS VERY HIGH
🏆 **MAIN TAKEAWAY:**
🔥 **BTC IS LIKELY TO OUTPERFORM GOLD FROM THIS LEVEL**
AS LONG AS THE 0.618 HOLD, THE NEXT MOVE IS USUALLY A SHARP UPSIDE EXPLOSION 🚀💚💚💚

$BTC #GOLD $ETH $SOL

⚠️ **DISCLAIMER:** THIS POST IS FOR INFORMATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY AND DOES NOT CONSTITUTE FINANCIAL ADVICE. ALWAYS DO YOUR OWN RESEARCH BEFORE INVESTING IN CRYPTO

$BTC トレードアイデア / もし私が正しければ、これは単なる修正であり、つまり底が入っているということです。そして、これは私たちが得られる最高の取引です。さもなければ..............私たちはF**.............平和

⚠️ **免責事項:** この投稿は情報提供のみを目的としており、金融アドバイスを構成するものではありません。暗号に投資する前に必ず自分でリサーチしてください。

🧠 FINAL CONCLUSION — WHAT BOTH CHARTS SAY TOGETHER

⭐ 1. BTC IS IN A TECHNICAL CORRECTION, NOT A REVERSAL

🧠 BTC/USD HAS COME BACK TO TEST:

✔️ THE WEEKLY SMA100 (MACRO SUPPORT)

✔️ THE LOWER BOUNDARY OF THE BULLISH CHANNEL

✔️ THE OTE ZONE

⭐ 2. THE 84K–86K ZONE IS A CYCLE SUPPORT

SMA100 (YELLOW) + EMA100 (ORANGE) + CHANNEL + OTE FORM A PERFECT CONFLUENCE.

👉 84K–86K = PROBABLE REBOUND ZONE (VERY STRONG)

👉 STRUCTURE ONLY THREATENED BELOW 82

⭐ 3. MOMENTUM IS VERY LOW → BOTTOM SIGNAL

ON BOTH CHARTS:

PMO / MACD INDICATORS = NEAR 2022 LEVELS

WEEKLY RSI = VERY LOW, LIKE PAST CYCLE BOTTOMS

🔥 EVERY TIME THESE SIGNALS APPEARED: THE BOTTOM WAS NEAR OR ALREADY FORMED.🔥

🚨 SHORT-TERM: GOLD OUTPERFORMING BTC

🔥 BUT RATIO APPROACHING HISTORICAL SUPPORT → POSSIBLE REVERSAL SOON

➡️ WHEN THIS RATIO REBOUNDS, BTC USUALLY SURGES STRONGLY.

⭐ 5. TARGET REMAINS: 130K–160K

DESPITE THE CORRECTION:

BULLISH CHANNEL INTACT

MACRO SUPPORTS INTACT

LOW MOMENTUM = INFLECTION ZONE

NO MAJOR STRUCTURAL BREAK

➡️ CHANNEL TARGET REMAINS 130K–160K

➡️ LONG-TERM BULL MARKET REMAINS INTACT

🎯 ULTRA-SHORT SUMMARY

✔️ BOTH CHARTS SAY THE SAME THING: WE ARE ON A CYCLE SUPPORT.

✔️ CORRECTION = HEALTHY, NOT A BEAR MARKET.

✔️ REBOUND LIKELY BETWEEN 84K AND 86K.

✔️ TARGETS MAINTAINED: 130K–160K.

⚠️ **DISCLAIMER:** THIS POST IS FOR INFORMATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY AND DOES NOT CONSTITUTE FINANCIAL ADVICE. ALWAYS DO YOUR OWN RESEARCH BEFORE INVESTING IN CRYPTO

🚀🔥 BTC 週間分析 — SMA100 & EMA100 エディション 🔥🚀

🔥🚀 BTCは週間チャートで大規模なコンフルエンスゾーンを再テストしました。

🔥🚀 価格はSMA100（黄色）の真上にあり、すべてのブル市場での主要な長期サポートです。

🔥🚀 EMA100（オレンジ）は84Kのすぐ下にあり、これは実際の構造的ブレイクの前の最終的なダイナミックサポートです。

🔥🚀 再テストはOTEゾーン内で発生しており、長期上昇チャネルの下部バンドにあります。

🔥🚀 これは典型的な「ブル市場のリトレースメント」構造であり、反転パターンではありません。

🔥🚀 84–86Kが保持される限り → 次のターゲットはチャネルの最上部で130K–160Kのままです。

🔥🚀 EMA100（84K）を破ることは、サイクルの最初の本当のベアリッシュシグナルとなるでしょう。

🔥🚀 それまでは → ブルリッシュ構造は完全に維持されています。

⚠️ **免責事項：** この投稿は情報提供のみを目的としており、金融アドバイスを構成するものではありません。暗号に投資する前に必ず自分で調査してください。

💔🔥 BTC VS GOLD (BTC/XAU) — ウィークリー分析 🔥💔

💔🔥 BTC/ゴールド比率が急落中 → 現在、ゴールドがビットコインを上回っています。

💔🔥 0.618フィボナッチレベル (~412M) が破られました → 強いベア信号。

💔🔥 下落時の次のサポート:

➡️ 0.705 (~358M)

➡️ 0.79 (~304M)

💔🔥 モメンタム指標は完全にベア → まだ反転の兆しなし。

💔🔥 RSIは20近く → 極端な売られ過ぎ、2022年の底値に近い。

💔🔥 メイントレンドラインが破られました → 市場構造がベアに変わりました。

💔🔥 解釈:

➡️ 比率が下がり続ける場合 → ゴールドがより強い資産として残ります。

➡️ サポートでの反発はBTCの力を取り戻す兆しとなるでしょう。

💔🔥 私たちは高リスク、高ボラティリティのマクロゾーンに入っています。

⚠️ **免責事項:** この投稿は情報提供のみを目的としており、金融アドバイスを構成するものではありません。投資する前に必ず自分で調査を行ってください。