Mad Lukas

Making money in crypto isn’t about luck — and it’s definitely not as simple as following random “signals” and getting rich. People who win long-term usually have a system: they know when to enter, when to stay out, and most importantly — how to protect their capital.
Below is my complete guide built on probability-based thinking — the same way professional investors operate.
Part 1: Follow the Market Trend
Big money is often made during strong bull trends.
In crypto, this is even more true because:
the market is extremely volatilecapital rotates into trends very quicklyduring a bull market, even “trash coins” can pump hard
And since investing is a probability game, you always want to put yourself in a position where:
Your odds of winning are the highest, with the least effort.
Why you must trade with the trend
Buying crypto in an uptrend is like riding a bicycle downhill:
even a small push gives you speedmarket sentiment is positivepeople FOMO in, creating strong momentum
That’s why in bull markets, everyone thinks they’re a genius.
How to identify a trend (simple)
An uptrend usually looks like:
price moving from bottom-left to top-righthigher highshigher lows
A downtrend is simply the opposite.
You can use basic tools like:
trendlinesmoving averages (MA50 / MA200)
Choose the right timeframe
Crypto has different playing styles:
day trading: minutes to hoursswing trading: days to weekslong-term investing: months to years
One key tip:
Your odds are best when short-, mid-, and long-term trends all align in the same direction.
Be careful in sideways markets
Most of the time, crypto doesn’t trend clearly — it moves sideways.
Sideways markets are where most traders get “chopped up”:
fake breakoutsconstant stop-loss hitsbuy and price dumps, sell and price pumps
For most people, staying out during sideways conditions is often the smartest move.
Part 2: Focus on Leading Narratives (Strong Sectors / Ecosystems)
Once the market trend is bullish, the next step isn’t buying random coins — it’s asking:
Where is the money flowing?
Because in crypto, capital follows narratives extremely clearly.
Examples of narratives that have led major cycles:
DeFiNFTsLayer 1 / Layer 2Meme coinsAI + CryptoRWA (Real World Asset tokenization)
Why choosing the right narrative matters
Crypto is like a race.
You don’t want to run in the lane full of potholes.
When a narrative is strong:
media talks about it constantlyKOLs push it nonstopvolume increasesmany coins within the ecosystem pump together
A strong narrative is like:
A rising tide that lifts all boats.
Part 3: Buy the Market Leader on a Breakout
Once you have:
a strong market trenda strong narrative
👉 the next step is to buy the leader
Why you should choose the leader
In every competition, the winner usually takes most of the reward.
Crypto is no different:
every narrative has its “flagship” coinstop coins attract liquiditymore likely to get listed on major exchangesoften backed by fundsless likely to die compared to small caps
Market leaders usually have:
high volumestrong communitysmoother moves than low-quality coinsfaster recovery during pullbacks
Best entry: breakout from a base
One of the best entry setups is:
buying when a coin breaks above resistance (breakout) from an accumulation zone
A base is the phase where price:
moves sidewaysabsorbs selling pressurebuilds momentum
A clean breakout often includes:
a strong candle close above resistancea clear volume spike
But remember:
Not all breakouts succeed.
3 possible outcomes:
breakout continues higherbreakout retests and then movesbreakout fails and traps buyers (“bull trap”)
That’s why risk management is mandatory.
Part 4: Let Your Winners Run
The most important thing in investing is not how often you’re right, but:
How much you make when you're right — and how much you lose when you're wrong.
You will be wrong often.
Even great traders might only win 30–50% of the time.
The survival formula
If you’re only right ~30% of the time:
you must have strong risk/rewardfor example: lose 1 to make 3, or more
Because:
a few big winners can cover many small lossesbut a single big loss can destroy your entire account
The right mindset for holding
Holding doesn’t mean “buy and pray.”
Holding correctly means:
hold your winnerscut your losers
Winners can go:
2x5x10x
But losers you refuse to cut can easily go:
-50%-80%straight to zero
Part 5: Cut Losses Fast — The Skill That Keeps You Alive
After you enter a trade, there is only one thing you truly control:
When you exit.
You cannot control:
Elon’s tweetsBinance FUDexchange hacksmacro newswhales dumping unexpectedly
But you can control maximum downside.
Why cutting losses early matters
The bigger the loss, the harder it is to recover:
-10% requires +11% to break even-20% requires +25%-50% requires +100%
The longer you hold a losing position:
the more opportunity you losethe heavier the psychological pressurethe easier it becomes to “baghold to death”
Every big loss starts as a small loss that wasn’t cut.
Cutting early doesn’t make you poor.
Not cutting is what blows you up.
Conclusion
To make money consistently in crypto, follow these 5 principles:
Trade with the market trendFocus on strong narratives/ecosystemsBuy the leader at the right breakout pointLet winners runCut losses quickly and decisively
Crypto can make you rich fast.
But it can also wipe you out just as fast.
The winner isn’t the person who’s right the most.
It’s the person who manages risk best — and survives long enough to catch the big opportunities.
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