Weekly Timeframe Trend: Bearish Structure: Lower Highs → Lower Lows Market State: Decline / Post-hype decay Price continues to respect a long-term descending structure. No bullish market structure shift (no Higher High, no sustained demand). Strong historical supply remains overhead (~0.20–0.30). Volume behavior shows exit liquidity, not institutional accumulation.
Conclusion (Weekly): This is not an investment phase. The asset has not demonstrated any conditions required for long-term positioning. --------- Daily Timeframe (Context & Compression) Trend: Bearish range Structure: Weak consolidation within a downtrend Price is compressing between: Supply: 0.103–0.106 Support: 0.092–0.094 (fragile) No confirmed daily Break of Structure (BOS) to the upside. Bullish candles lack continuation and volume confirmation.
Conclusion (Daily): This is pause, not strength. The market is consolidating before continuation, not preparing for reversal. ---------- 4H Timeframe (Execution Layer) Trend: Bearish Structure: LH LL LH LL Repeated failure to reclaim prior highs. Each bounce is weaker than the previous one. Liquidity is clearly resting below current lows (~0.092). Market favors stop-hunting to the downside.
Conclusion (4H): Sellers remain in control. Buyers show no commitment. ---- Base Case (60–70% Probability) Breakdown below 0.092 Acceptance below support Continuation toward 0.085 → 0.078 Potential stabilization only after liquidity is fully cleared ➡ This aligns with higher-timeframe bearish bias.
Bullish Reversal Scenario (<10% Probability) Requires: Weekly structure break Sustained demand Months of accumulation ➡ No evidence of this currently exists.
Alternative Scenario (20–30% Probability Short-Term Only) Liquidity sweep below 0.092 Fast reclaim Bullish BOS on 15m/30m Short-term relief move to 0.100–0.103 ➡ This is a tactical scalp, not a trend reversal.
When higher timeframes are bearish, lower-timeframe setups are counter-trend by default. The correct stance here is: Capital preservation Patience. Short-term execution only$MAGIC
#SUİ #SUI🔥 -4H: The momentum is complete. The green wave has done its job. The growth was fast → no base → no normal accumulation. The first serious reaction of the seller. The red candle is not accidental - it is a fixation + local skewed by longs. We are above key support, but without the strength to continue immediately. ➡️ This is not a reversal, but not a moment for FOMO-longs. --- -1D: The daily momentum is alive. The structure is not broken. The current price is the middle of the range, not the edge. Above are tight sell zones (2.3–2.8 and beyond). They don’t go there “in one breath”. --- The price must either make a correction (1.65–1.55 — looks very good) or make a sideways/dusty move with the impatient ones being knocked out. “This material is provided for informational and educational purposes only"