Web3 Daily Research

I’ve been analyzing this for the last 24 hours and this is VERY BAD.
World silver production: ~800M ounces
BofA & Citi shorts: 4.4 BILLION
I’ve spent two decades in macro, and I thought I had seen it all.
I WAS WRONG.
If silver keeps going up, the biggest banks in america will collapse.
Here’s what I uncovered:
Yesterday, silver hit $92. Then it dropped over 6% in a few minutes, pumped back up to around $91, and now it’s crashing again.
I’ve spent 20 years in these markets. Most people see a normal correction, but I see a TRAP.
At $90/oz, their combined short position is now a ~$390 BILLION liability.
That’s larger than the market cap of most global banks.
This is literally survival. The banks are doing everything they can to stay afloat.
WHY THE DIP TO $86 OVERNIGHT?
They had to do it. If silver had broken $100 yesterday, margin calls would have liquidated those banks.
They unloaded paper contracts during thin overnight liquidity to FORCE THE PRICE DOWN.
But look closer at the physical market:
While the paper price dropped $6, lease rates just went vertical.
The cost to borrow physical silver is skyrocketing.
We are in BACKWARDATION.
Spot Price > Futures Price.
It means people don’t want paper promise in 6 months, they want the metal NOW.
THE MATH IS TERMINAL:
We know the shorts are 4.4B ounces.
We know annual mining is ~800M ounces.
But at $90+, the recycling supply dries up because people hoard.
And industrial demand (AI chips, solar, EVs) is inelastic, they must buy at any price to keep factories running.
BofA and Citi aren't just short the metal, they’re short the industrial revolution.
THE "FORCE MAJEURE" IS NEXT
I warned you 2 weeks ago about "cash settlement."
It’s already starting in the wholesale markets.
Dealers are quoting unavailable or 6-week delays for volume delivery.
When the price snaps back above $92, and it will, it won't stop at $100.
It will gap to $150 overnight when the first major short declares force majeure.
THE TWO MARKETS ARE DETACHING:
1. Screen Price ($88): A fiction maintained by algorithms.
2. Street Price: Unobtainable.
They’re shaking the tree one last time to get your physical…
BUT DO NOT SELL.
We are witnessing the death of the paper derivative market in real-time.
Ladies and gentlemen, welcome to the commodities supercycle.
How do I know all of this?
I’ve studied macro for 10 years and I called almost every major market top, including the October BTC ATH.
Follow and turn notifications on. I’ll post the warning BEFORE it hits the headlines.

China just injected trillions into its economy.
The largest liquidity injection since COVID.
Gold could surge to $10,000 and silver to $150.
This move could ignite the largest commodity squeeze of our lifetime.
Here’s why:
Look at the chart on the left (M2 Money Supply).
China is currently executing the largest monetary expansion in its history outside of the COVID crisis.
China’s M2 money supply has gone vertical, now sitting north of $48 TRILLION (USD equivalent).
For perspective, that’s more than DOUBLE the US M2 money supply.
Historically, when China injects this much liquidity, it doesn’t stay trapped in domestic equities.
It leaks into the real economy, specifically into hard assets and commodities.
They’re printing fake paper money to secure REAL resources, like gold and silver.
Now, look at the chart on the right. This is where it gets dangerous.

While the world's largest consumer of commodities (China) is printing trillions to buy hard assets…
some of the world's largest financial institutions (BofA, Citi) are reportedly sitting on MASSIVE net short positions in silver.
The estimates show a combined short position of 4.4 Billion ounces.
Global annual mine supply is only ~800 Million ounces.
These banks are effectively short 550% of the entire planet's annual production.
This is a classic macro collision course.
On one side, you have a desperate need to debase currency (China printing yuan) which naturally bids up gold and silver prices.
On the other side, you have western institutions effectively betting against a price rise with positions that physically cannot be covered.
You cannot buy 4.4 billion ounces of silver to cover your short… IT DOESN’T EVEN EXIST.
We are looking at a potential "Commodity Supercycle 2.0."
If silver prices tick up significantly, driven by Chinese industrial demand (solar/EVs) and monetary debasement, these banks will face a margin call from HELL.
A short squeeze in a market this tight doesn't just mean higher prices, it means a complete repricing of the metal.
The fiat money supply is infinite but the silver in the ground IS NOT.
In a world where central banks are racing to debase their currencies, the only winning move is owning the assets they can't print.
If you still haven’t followed me, you’ll regret it.
#Silver #GOLD #china

🚨I predicted this WAR
Step 1: Bomb Venezuela
Step 2: Abduct President
Step 3: Steal 303B Barrels of oil
Here’s Trump's secret plan and what's next👇🧵

Before we start...
I was once with $0 in my pocket.
That’s why I give 0.01 $BTC ($1,000) to one person every day, to those who support me and engage with my threads.
To enter: jn my tg, follow, like, repost, and leave a comment under this article.
Results in 24h

➠ 1
◈ The US carried out strikes on targets inside Venezuela overnight
◈ Trump publicly claimed Maduro and his wife were captured
◈ Full confirmation across all institutions is still unfolding
◈ Markets will react to power signals before legal clarity
➠ 2
◈ The real driver here is not democracy or drug enforcement
◈ Venezuela holds the largest proven oil reserves on the planet
◈ Energy control equals leverage over inflation and geopolitics
◈ Oil is the fastest strategic asset to seize in a global slowdown
➠ 3
◈ The official narrative will focus on narco - terror and security
◈ That framing creates legal cover for intervention and seizures
◈ The strategic outcome is energy influence, not moral victory
◈ When oil is the objective, messaging becomes secondary
➠ 4
◈ China has been the primary buyer of Venezuelan crude for years
◈ Any forced regime shift rewires global export flows immediately
◈ Losing discounted supply forces China into higher - cost markets
◈ That tightens marginal supply and lifts global risk premiums
➠ 5
◈ Regime change is never a clean one - night operation
◈ Retaliation, sabotage risk, and shipping disruption follow
◈ Insurance costs and logistics friction stay elevated
◈ Even intact production trades with a persistent risk premium
➠ 6
◈ Rising oil prices act as a tax on growth
◈ Inflation fears resurface before central banks are ready
◈ Risk assets sell first, and crypto is treated as high beta
◈ Initial reactions are fear driven, not ideological
➠ 7
◈ The second - order effect is more important than the first
◈ Open intervention accelerates distrust in global power rules
◈ Capital starts looking for non - sovereign value storage
◈ Gold reacts first, Bitcoin follows if distrust persists
➠ 8
◈ The dollar reaction is not linear
◈ Short term crises can strengthen USD via flight to safety
◈ Medium term coercion erodes confidence in the system
◈ Confidence erosion is slow, then sudden, and irreversible
➠ 9
◈ Ignore social media certainty and focus on real signals
◈ Watch oil, credit spreads, and emerging market FX stress
◈ Then track real yields and rate expectations
◈ Crypto follows liquidity conditions with a delay
➠ 10
◈ If oil pushes inflation expectations higher, cuts get harder
◈ Tighter policy extends restrictive financial conditions
◈ Liquidity thins and altcoin bids disappear quickly
◈ Bitcoin holds better because survival is now its core feature
➠ 11
◈ If headlines reverse, expect violent mean reversion
◈ If confirmation stacks, volatility persists for weeks
◈ This is where overtrading narratives destroys accounts
◈ Smaller size and discipline matter more than conviction
➠ 12
◈ Base case if escalation continues
◈ Short term pressure on risk assets and illiquid alts
◈ Medium term BTC strength versus everything else
◈ Long term another structural push toward onchain systems
I share all of my calls and often run $1,000+ giveaways in my tg.
I’ll be making it private soon to share more low-cap calls, so join while it’s still open + don’t miss out on the current giveaway: @Web3DailyChat
➠ Loved this article? I share alpha threads daily, so make sure to:
◈ Follow me @web3daily
◈ Like, retpost, bookmark and leave a comment bellow if u loved it 👇

Reported losses from cryptocurrency phishing attacks plummeted 83% in 2025, falling to roughly $84 million from nearly $494 million the previous year.
According to a new annual report by Web3 security firm Scam Sniffer, incidents of “signature phishing” appear to be declining. However, the firm warned that this visible drop masks a darker underlying reality of more sophisticated actors.
Data Shows Phishing Losses Tracking Crypto Market CyclesThe annual report reveals a strong correlation between fraud and market volatility. Phishing activity peaked in the third quarter, resulting in losses of $31 million.
This surge coincided with the year’s strongest Ethereum price rally. During this period, ETH’s price rallied to near $5000 amid strong institutional interest in the digital asset.
The developments support the view that fraud behaves as a probability function of user activity, expanding as retail participation increases.
While the total volume of attacks declined, the lethality of individual incidents increased late in the year. In November, the number of victims fell by 42%, yet total financial losses spiked 137%.
This anomaly indicates that sophisticated attackers are abandoning low-value targets to focus on high-net-worth individuals, with the average loss per victim rising sharply to $1,225 during that period.
This anomaly signals a bifurcation in the threat landscape. Criminal groups are pivoting from mass-market spam to “whale hunting,” deploying sophisticated, targeted attacks aimed at high-net-worth individuals.
At the same time, technological upgrades within the crypto industry also introduced new vulnerabilities.
For context, the attackers quickly weaponized Ethereum’s “Pectra” upgrade, specifically exploiting EIP-7702.
This feature, designed to improve the user experience via account abstraction, was leveraged to bundle multiple malicious operations into a single signature, resulting in over $2.5 million in losses in August alone.
Scam Sniffer also pointed out that the total losses from these attacks could be significantly higher.
According to the firm, it tracked only on-chain signature scams and excluded losses from clipboard malware, social engineering, and direct private key compromises.
$Btc $eth